Abstract
What have been the driving forces for the establishment of government R&D priorities in the principal nations, and how have these evolved to the present time? What, if anything, can we learn from this history about how they are likely to evolve in the future? Does history suggest an asymptotic approach to a steady state or, instead, a series of challenges or waves of fresh problems that elicit new responses from governments and corresponding readjustments of scientific priorities, and surges or recessions in budgets for science? To what extent, as a result of this, is cyclic behavior likely to persist into the future? If it does, what are the new challenges most likely to generate future resurgences of activity in science and technology? Are there any natural or inherent limits to the fraction of GNP or the percentage of the work force likely to be devoted to R&D or, equally importantly, “downstream” technical activities in the future?
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Brooks, H. (1990). Lessons of History: Successive Challenges to Science Policy. In: Cozzens, S.E., Healey, P., Rip, A., Ziman, J. (eds) The Research System in Transition. NATO ASI Series, vol 57. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2091-0_2
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