Abstract
When decisions must be made in the face of uncertainty, decision analysis may be helpful. It is a quantitative analytical technique which describes a problem in terms of (a) multiple possible courses of action, (b) the probabilities that certain events and outcomes will occur, and (c) the value of the expected outcomes resulting from different courses of action. The principal goal of decision analysis is to determine the most appropriate course of action given the data available. When there is a great deal of uncertainty, it will often not be possible to identify an optimal strategy. In this case, decision analysis helps to structure a problem explicitly and rationally using the information that is available. Decision analysis has been used in socioeconomic evaluations as a means of quantifying the outcomes associated with various medical diagnostic modalities and treatments.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Further Reading
Beck RJ, Pauker SG (1983) The Markov process in medical prognosis. Med Decis Making 3: 419–458
Crane VS (1988) Economic aspects of clinical decision making: applications of clinical decision analysis. Am J Hosp Pharm 45: 548–553
Doubilet P, Begg CB, Weinstein MC, Braun P, McNeil BJ (1985) Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation: a practical approach. Med Decis Making 5: 157–177
Kassirer JP, Moskowitz AJ, Joseph L, Pauker SG (1987) Decision analysis: progress report. Ann Intern Med 106: 275–291
McNeil BJ, Pauker SG (1984) Decision analysis for public health: principles and illustrations. Annu Rev Public Health 5: 135–161
Pauker SG (1976) Coronary artery surgery: the use of decision analysis. Ann Intern Med 85: 8–18
Pauker SG, Kassirer JP (1978) Clinical application of decision analysis: a detailed illustration. Semin Nucl Med 8: 324–335
Pauker SG, Kassirer JP (1980) The threshold approach to clinical decision making. N Engl J Med 302: 1109–1117
Pauker SG, Kassirer JP (1987) Decision analysis. N Engl J Med 316: 250–258
Simon DG (1986) A cost-effectiveness analysis of cyclosporine in cadaveric kidney transplantation. Med Decis Making 6: 199–205
Sox HC, Blatt MA, Higgens MC, Marton KI (1988) Medical decision making. Boston, Butterworth
Weiss JC, Melman ST (1988) Cost-effectiveness in the choice of antibiotics for the initial treatment of otitis media in children; a decision analysis approach. Pediatr Infect Dis J 7: 23–26
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1990 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Luce, B.R., Elixhauser, A., Culyer, A.J. (1990). Decision Analysis. In: Culyer, A.J. (eds) Standards for the Socioeconomic Evaluation of Health Care Services. Health Systems Research. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-75490-6_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-75490-6_12
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-75492-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-75490-6
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive