Abstract
The prospect of rapid, trace-gas induced climate change over the next 100–150 years has raised scientific and policy interest on the rates at which plant species, particularly tree species, can respond to these changes (Houghton et al. 1992; Davis & Zabinski 1992). Two particular responses are of interest over the next century: migration or movement of range limits and changes in abundance (i.e., tree density). This paper focuses on tree species migration, and particularly on what the fossil pollen record can tell us about potential rates of future migration.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Bard E, Hamelin B, Fairbanks RG (1990) U/Th ages obtained by mass spectrometry on corals from Barbados: Sea level during the past 130,000 years. Nature 346:456–458
Birks, HJB (1989) Holocene isochrone maps and patterns of tree-spreading in the British Isles. J Biogeogr 16:502–540
Burrough, PA (1986) Principles of Geographical Information Systems for Land Resources Assessment, Monographs on soil and resources survey No 12 Clarendon Press, Oxford
Canham CD, Loucks OL (1984) Catastrophic windthrow in the presettlement forests of Wisconsin. Ecology 65:803–809
COHMAP (Cooperative Holocene Mapping Project) (1988) Climatic changes of the last 18,000 years: Observations and model simulations. Science 241:1043–1052
Darley-Hill S, Johnson WC (1981) Acorn dispersal by the blue jay(Cyanocitta cristata). Oecologia 50:231–232
Davis MB (1976) Pleistocene biogeography of temperate deciduous forests. Geoscience and Man 13:13–2
Davis MB (1981a) Quaternary history and the stability of forest communities.in West DC, Shugart HH, Botkin DB (eds) Forest Succession: Concepts and Application. Springer-Verlag, New York
Davis MB (1981b) Outbreaks of forest pathogens in Quaternary history. Proc 4th Int Palynol Conf Lucknow, India 3:216–227
Davis MB (1989) Lags in vegetation response to greenhouse warming. Clim. Change 15:75–82
Davis MB, Schwartz MW, Woods K (1991) Detecting a species limit from pollen in sediments. J Biogeogr 18:653–668
Davis MB, Woods KD, Webb SL, Futyma RP (1986) Dispersal versus climate: Expansion ofFagus andTsuga into the Great Lakes. Vegetatio 67:93–103
Davis MB, Zabinski C (1992) Changes in geographical range resulting from greenhouse warming: effects on biodiversity in forests.in Peters RL, Lovejoy TE (eds) Global Warming and Biological Diversity, 297–308. Yale University Press
Davis RB, Jacobson GL Jr (1985) Late Glacial and Early Holocene landscapes in Northern New England and adjacent areas of Canada. Quat Res 23:341–368
Delcourt PA, Delcourt HR (1987) Long-term forest dynamics of the temperate zone. Springer, New York
ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc) (1992) Understanding GIS, The Arc/Info Method. Revision 6. Redlands, CA
Godman RM, Lancaster K (1990)Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr. Eastern Hemlock.in Burns RM, Honkala BH (eds) Silvics of North America. Volume 1, Conifers, 604–612. Agriculture Handbook 654. U.S. Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture. Washington, DC
Houghton JT, Callander BA, Varney SK (eds) (1992) Climate change 1992. The supplementary report to the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Huntley B (1991) How plants respond to climate change: Migration rates, individualism and the consequences for plant communities. Annals of Botany 67:15–22
Johnson, WC, Adkisson CS (1985) Dispersal of beech nuts by blue jays in fragmented landscapes. Am Mid Nat 113:319–324
MacDonald GM (1993) Fossil pollen analysis and the reconstruction of plant invasions. Adv in Ecol Res 24:67–110
MacDonald GM, Beukens RP, Keiser WE. (1991) Radiocarbon dating of limnic sediments: a comparative analysis and discussion. Ecology 72:1150–1155
NAPD (North American Pollen Database) (1994) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Paleoclimatology Program
Olsson IU (1986) Radiometric dating.in Berglund BE (ed) Handbook of Holocene Palaeoecology and Palaeohydrology, 273–312. Wiley, Chichester
Ritchie JC, MacDonald GM (1986) The patterns of post-glacial spread of white spruce. J of Biogeogr 13:527–540
Schwartz MW (1992) Modelling effects of habitat fragmentation on the ability of trees to respond to climatic warming. Biodiv and Conserv 2:51–61.
Solomon AM, Tharp ML, West DC, Taylor GE, Webb JM, Trimble JC (1984) Response of unmanaged forests to CO2-induced climate change: Available information, initial tests and data requirements. US Dept of Energy, Washington, DC
Stuiver M, Reimer PJ (1993) Extended 14C data base and revised Calib 3.0 14C age calibration program. Radiocarbon 35:215–230
Webb SL (1986) Potential role of passenger pigeons and other vertebrates in the rapid Holocene migration of nut trees. Quat Res 26:367–375
Webb T III, Bartlein PJ, Harrison SP, Anderson KH (1993) Vegetation, lake levels and climate in eastern North America for the past 18,000 years.in Wright HE Jr, Kutzbach JE, Webb T III, Ruddiman WF, Street-Perrott A, Bartlein PJ, (eds) Global Climates since the Last Glacial Maximum, 415–467. Univ of Minn Press, Minneapolis
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1997 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
King, G.A., Herstrom, A.A. (1997). Holocene tree migration rates objectively determined from fossil pollen data. In: Huntley, B., Cramer, W., Morgan, A.V., Prentice, H.C., Allen, J.R.M. (eds) Past and Future Rapid Environmental Changes. NATO ASI Series, vol 47. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-60599-4_7
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-60599-4_7
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-61877-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-60599-4
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive