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Living with the Unexpected

Linking Disaster Recovery to Sustainable Development in Montserrat

  • Book
  • © 1999

Overview

Authors:
  1. Anja K. Possekel

    1. Institute for Geography, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

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  • The study shows an applicable combination of hazard-management and development planning

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Table of contents (7 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-X
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  2. Introduction

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 1-7

  3. Theoretical Reflections

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 9-54

  4. Strategic Planning as Methodical Consequence

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 55-74

  5. Montserrat - A Complex System

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 75-176

  6. Structuring the Future and Hazard Management - Scenarios as a Participative Planning Method for Reconstruction

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 177-189

  7. Living on the Edge of a Volcano -Scenarios for Montserrat

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 191-249

  8. ”Living with the Unexpected” - Perspectives for a Constructive Dealing with Complexity and Uncertainty

    • Anja K. Possekel
    Pages 251-262

  9. Back Matter

    Pages 263-287
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Keywords

About this book

Living with the Unexpected deals with complexity and uncertainty, two major challenges in a world faced with climate change and hazards. The study focuses on appropriate methods which enable vulnerable communities to cope effectively with natural hazards and disasters. The central goal of the book is an applicable combination of hazard management and development planning. Therefore, the reconstruction process following a disaster is understood as an opportunity for structural changes and self-organisation processes that foster sustainable development. In this context the potential of scenario planning as an evolutionary and participatory learning approach is addressed. The empirical research concentrates on the time before and during the volcanic crisis on the Caribbean Island Montserrat. Particular methods used are a systematic analysis of the complex system Montserrat, more than 200 interviews with stakeholders and citizens – concentrating on resource and hazard perceptions – as wellas the organization and execution of various scenario workshops. The study shows that the opportunity to realise sustainable development on the island with the help of a participative, adaptive reconstruction process is better than ever. The population is sensitised to disasters and an uncertain future. Their preparedness to accept measures which are designed to reduce their vulnerability is high. This book demonstrates how we can learn to live with the Unexpeted. 

Authors and Affiliations

  • Institute for Geography, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

    Anja K. Possekel

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