Skip to main content

Weighting Component Models by Predicting from Data Streams Using Ensembles of Genetic Fuzzy Systems

  • Conference paper
Flexible Query Answering Systems (FQAS 2013)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 8132))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Our recently proposed method to predict from a data stream of real estate sales transactions based on ensembles of genetic fuzzy systems was extended to include weighting component models. The method consists in incremental expanding an ensemble by models built over successive chunks of a data stream. The predicted prices of residential premises computed by aged component models for current data are updated according to a trend function reflecting the changes of the market. The impact of different techniques of weighting component models on the accuracy of an ensemble was compared in the paper. Three techniques of weighting component models were proposed: proportional to their estimated accuracy, time of ageing, and dependent on property market fluctuations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Bifet, A., Holmes, G., Pfahringer, B., Gavaldà, R.: Improving Adaptive Bagging Methods for Evolving Data Streams. In: Zhou, Z.-H., Washio, T. (eds.) ACML 2009. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 5828, pp. 23–37. Springer, Heidelberg (2009)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  2. Bifet, A., Holmes, G., Pfahringer, B., Kirkby, R., Gavalda, R.: New ensemble methods for evolving data streams. In: Elder IV, J.F., et al. (eds.) KDD 2009, pp. 139–148. ACM Press, New York (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Brzeziński, D., Stefanowski, J.: Accuracy Updated Ensemble for Data Streams with Concept Drift. In: Corchado, E., Kurzyński, M., Woźniak, M. (eds.) HAIS 2011, Part II. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6679, pp. 155–163. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  4. Cordón, O., Herrera, F.: A Two-Stage Evolutionary Process for Designing TSK Fuzzy Rule-Based Systems. IEEE Tr. on Sys., Man and Cyber., Part B 29(6), 703–715 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Demšar, J.: Statistical comparisons of classifiers over multiple data sets. Journal of Machine Learning Research 7, 1–30 (2006)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Elwell, R., Polikar, R.: Incremental Learning of Concept Drift in Nonstationary Environments. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 22(10), 1517–1531 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Gaber, M.M.: Advances in data stream mining. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2(1), 79–85 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. García, S., Herrera, F.: An Extension on “Statistical Comparisons of Classifiers over Multiple Data Sets” for all Pairwise Comparisons. Journal of Machine Learning Research 9, 2677–2694 (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Graczyk, M., Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B.: Nonparametric Statistical Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Regression Problems. In: Setchi, R., Jordanov, I., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds.) KES 2010, Part I. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6276, pp. 111–120. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Kempa, O., Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B.: Investigation of bagging ensembles of genetic neural networks and fuzzy systems for real estate appraisal. In: Nguyen, N.T., Kim, C.-G., Janiak, A. (eds.) ACIIDS 2011, Part II. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6592, pp. 323–332. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  11. Król, D., Lasota, T., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K.: Investigation of Evolutionary Optimization Methods of TSK Fuzzy Model for Real Estate Appraisal. International Journal of Hybrid Intelligent Systems 5(3), 111–128 (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. Kuncheva, L.I.: Classifier ensembles for changing environments. In: Roli, F., Kittler, J., Windeatt, T. (eds.) MCS 2004. LNCS, vol. 3077, pp. 1–15. Springer, Heidelberg (2004)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  13. Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K.: Investigation of the eTS Evolving Fuzzy Systems Applied to Real Estate Appraisal. Journal of Multiple-Valued Logic and Soft Computing 17(2-3), 229–253 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, G., Trawiński, B.: Empirical Comparison of Resampling Methods Using Genetic Fuzzy Systems for a Regression Problem. In: Yin, H., Wang, W., Rayward-Smith, V. (eds.) IDEAL 2011. LNCS, vol. 6936, pp. 17–24. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  15. Lughofer, E., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K., Kempa, O., Lasota, T.: On Employing Fuzzy Modeling Algorithms for the Valuation of Residential Premises. Information Sciences 181, 5123–5142 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Maloof, M.A., Michalski, R.S.: Incremental learning with partial instance memory. Artificial Intelligence 154(1-2), 95–126 (2004)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Minku, L.L., White, A.P., Yao, X.: The Impact of Diversity on Online Ensemble Learning in the Presence of Concept Drift. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering 22(5), 730–742 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Trawiński, B.: Evolutionary fuzzy system ensemble approach to model real estate market based on data stream exploration. Journal for Universal Computer Science 19(4), 539–562 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G.: An Analysis of Change Trends by Predicting from a Data Stream Using Genetic Fuzzy Systems. In: Nguyen, N.-T., Hoang, K., Jędrzejowicz, P. (eds.) ICCCI 2012, Part I. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 7653, pp. 220–229. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  20. Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G.: An Attempt to Employ Genetic Fuzzy Systems to Predict from a Data Stream of Premises Transactions. In: Hüllermeier, E., Link, S., Fober, T., Seeger, B. (eds.) SUM 2012. LNCS, vol. 7520, pp. 127–140. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  21. Trawiński, B., Smętek, M., Telec, Z., Lasota, T.: Nonparametric Statistical Analysis for Multiple Comparison of Machine Learning Regression Algorithms. International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science 22(4), 867–881 (2012)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  22. Tsymbal, A.: The problem of concept drift: Definitions and related work. Technical Report. Department of Computer Science, Trinity College, Dublin (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Wang, H., Fan, W., Yu, P.S., Han, J.: Mining concept-drifting data streams using ensemble classifiers. In: Getoor, L., et al. (eds.) KDD 2003, pp. 226–235. ACM Press, New York (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Widmer, G., Kubat, M.: Learning in the presence of concept drift and hidden contexts. Machine Learning 23, 69–101 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Zliobaite, I.: Learning under Concept Drift: an Overview. Technical Report. Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Vilnius University, Vilnius (2009)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G. (2013). Weighting Component Models by Predicting from Data Streams Using Ensembles of Genetic Fuzzy Systems. In: Larsen, H.L., Martin-Bautista, M.J., Vila, M.A., Andreasen, T., Christiansen, H. (eds) Flexible Query Answering Systems. FQAS 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8132. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40769-7_49

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40769-7_49

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40768-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-40769-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics