Abstract
In this paper, we propose a time series based method for analyzing and predicting personal medical data. First, we introduce an auto-regressive integrated moving average model which is good for all time series processes. Second, we describe how to identify a personalized time series model based on the patient’s history information, followed by estimating the parameters in the model. Furthermore, a case study is presented to show how the proposed method works. In addition, we forecast the laboratory tests for the next twelve months in the future, with giving the corresponding prediction limits. Finally, we draw our contributions as our conclusions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Alpha Global IT, http://www.alpha-it.com/
Box, G.E.P., Cox, D.R.: An Analysis of Transformations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 26(2), 211–252 (1964)
Box, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M.: TIme Series Analysis Forecasting and Control, 2nd edn. Holden-Day, San Franscisco (1976)
Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A.: Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 74, 427–431 (1979)
Dickey, D.A., Bell, B., Miller, R.: Unit Roots in Time Series Models: Tests and Implications. The American Statistician 40(1), 12–26 (1986)
Dunn, P.F.: Measurement and Data Analysis for Engineering and Science. McGraw–Hill, New York (2005) ISBN 0-07-282538-3
Garg, A., Adhikari, N., McDonald, H., Rosas-Arellano, M., Devereaux, P., Beyene, J., Sam, J., Haynes, R.: Effects of Computerized Clinical Decision Support Systems on Practitioner Performance and Patient Outcomes: A Systematic Review. Jama 293(10), 1223 (2005)
Mills, T.C.: Time Series Techniques for Economists. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1990)
Pandit, S.M., Wu, S.-M.: Time Series and System Analysis with Applications. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Chichester (1983)
Percival, D.B., Walden, A.T.: Spectral Analysis for Physical Applications: Multitaper and Conventional Univariate Techniques, pp. 190–195. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1993) ISBN 0-521-43541-2
Slutzky, E.: The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclic Processes. Econometrica 5, 105–146 (1937); Translated from the earlier paper of the same title in Problems of Economic Conditions
Stead, W.W., Garrett Jr., L.E., Hammond, W.E.: Practicing nephrology with a computerized medical record. Kidney Int. 24(4), 446–454 (1983)
Yule, G.U.: On a method of Investigating Periodicities in Disturbed Series with Special Reference to Wolfer’s Sunspot Numbers. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical or Physical Character 226, 267–298 (1927)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Hu, Q.V., Huang, X.J., Melek, W., Kurian, C.J. (2010). A Time Series Based Method for Analyzing and Predicting Personalized Medical Data. In: Yao, Y., Sun, R., Poggio, T., Liu, J., Zhong, N., Huang, J. (eds) Brain Informatics. BI 2010. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 6334. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15314-3_27
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15314-3_27
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-15313-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-15314-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)