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Akaike’s Information Criterion

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International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science

The Information Criterion I(g : f) that measures the deviation of a model specified by the probability distribution f from the true distribution g is defined by the formula

$$I(g : f) = E\log g(X) - E\log f(X).$$

Here E denotes the expectation with respect to the true distribution g of X. The criterion is a measure of the deviation of the model f from the true model g, or the best possible model for the handling of the present problem.

The following relation illustrates the significant characteristic of the log likelihood:

$$I(g : {f}_{1}) - I(g : {f}_{2}) = -E(\log {f}_{1}(X) -\log {f}_{2}(X)).$$

This formula shows that for an observation x of X the log likelihood logf(x) provides a relative measure of the closeness of the model f to the truth, or the goodness of the model. This measure is useful even when the true structure g is unknown.

For a model f(Xa) with unknown parameter a the maximum likelihood estimate a(x) is defined as the value of a that maximizes the likelihood f(xa...

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© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Akaike, H. (2011). Akaike’s Information Criterion. In: Lovric, M. (eds) International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_110

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