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System Effects of Widespread Use of Fully Automated Vehicles—Three Scenarios

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Disrupting Mobility

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Mobility ((LNMOB))

Abstract

As a promising technology close to entering the market, fully automated vehicles (AVs) have been widely analyzed from many angles. In spite of many discussions and articles published on the subject, there has been little structured analysis of the broader system-level effects of full adoption of AVs, and therefore a lack of consideration of the potential effects of multiple simultaneous causal relationships and feedback loops. This paper utilizes an existing system dynamics model that conceptually illustrates many important dynamics in surface transportation systems. It builds on this model, incorporating changes that are likely to occur under three different scenarios of AV adoption.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Massachusetts Institute of Technology| Car2go Group GmbH, Fasanenweg, 13-15, 70771, Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany

    Wolfgang Gruel

  2. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77, Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA, USA

    Joseph M. Stanford

Authors
  1. Wolfgang Gruel
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  2. Joseph M. Stanford
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Correspondence to Wolfgang Gruel .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Dept Future Technologies and Europe, VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH Dept Future Technologies and Europe, Berlin, Germany

    Gereon Meyer

  2. Transport.Sustainability Research Center, University of California, Berkeley Transport.Sustainability Research Center, Richmond, California, USA

    Susan Shaheen

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Gruel, W., Stanford, J.M. (2017). System Effects of Widespread Use of Fully Automated Vehicles—Three Scenarios. In: Meyer, G., Shaheen, S. (eds) Disrupting Mobility. Lecture Notes in Mobility. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51602-8_9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51602-8_9

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-51601-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-51602-8

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