Skip to main content

Farmers’ Livelihoods Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Change in Didesa Basin Southern Part of Abay Basin, Ethiopia

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Climate Change Adaptation in Africa

Part of the book series: Climate Change Management ((CCM))

Abstract

Projections suggest that there are considerable changes in climate in Ethiopia. The rate of change will increase in the future with variations across different agro-ecological-zones. These poses challenges to policy makers to devise climate resilient development strategies, as exposure and adaptive capacity differ among society located even within common cultural and administrative units. The study assesses the livelihoods vulnerability of smallholder’s farmers in the Didessa basin applying the Livelihood Vulnerability Index framed within the LVI-IPCC vulnerability framework through cross-sectional household survey conducted on 450 households in the basin complemented with secondary data of rain fall and temperature. For each agro ecological zones, LVI index and LVI-IPCC vulnerability score was calculated. The result shows that, each of these metrics varied systematically where the lowland agro ecological zone is the most exposed zone, the highland is the most sensitive zone and the midland is the most in adaptive capacity to climate variability and change. The overall LVI-IPCC scores indicate that lowland households may be more vulnerable than highland and midland households (0.067 versus −0.012, −0.013, respectively). Overall; the lowland is the most vulnerable followed by highland Agro-ecology. The findings of the study will have policy relevance in identifying source and forms of vulnerability for better design of agro-ecological specific adaptation measure there by strengthen most vulnerable sectors. The study recommends that increasing adaptive capacity to climate variability and change to the range of climate extremes that they experience (drought, floods wheatear related shocks). The study also recommends the flexible application of LVI-IPCC as tools for the climate related analysis and impact assessment by substituting the value of the indicator that is expected to change and recalculating the overall vulnerability index. The study LVI might be used to project future vulnerability, for example under simple climate change scenarios.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Abate, F. (2009). Climate change impact on livelihood, vulnerability and coping, mechanisms: A case study of West-Arsi Zone, Ethiopia.

    Google Scholar 

  • Adger, W. N. (2007). Vulnerability of global environmental change 16 (3): 268–281. Agriculture: Ricardian approach. World Bank Policy Research Paper No. 4342.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W. (2004). Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 14(1), 31–52.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bankoff, G., Frerks, G., & Hilhorst, D. (2004). Mapping vulnerability: Disasters, development and people. London: Earth Scan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simane B., Zaitchik B. F., & Mesfin D. (2012). Building climate resilience in the blue Nile/Abay Highlands: A framework for action international journal of environmental research and public health. ISSN 1660-4601 www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph.

  • Simane B., Zaitchik B. F., & Foltz, J. D. (2014). Agro ecosystem specific climate vulnerability analysis: Application of the livelihood vulnerability index to a tropical highland region. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change doi:10.1007/s11027-014-9568-1.

  • Belay T., Hengsdijk, H., Rötter, R., Kahiluoto, H., Asseng S., & Van Ittersum, M. (2013). Adapting to climate variability and change: Experiences from cereal-based farming in the Central Rift and Kobo Valleys. Ethiopia Env’tal Management, 52, 1115–1131. doi: 10.1007/s00267-013-0145-2.

  • Birkmann J. (2006). Measuring vulnerability to remote disaster-resilient societies: Conceptual frameworks and definitions. In J. Birkmann (Ed). Measuring Vulnerability to natural hazards: Towards disaster resilient societies. (pp. 9–54). United Nations University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buzuneh A. (2011). Flow regime and land cover changes in the Didessa sub-basin of the Blue Nile River, South-Western Ethiopia: Combining empirical analysis and community perception. M.Sc. Thesis Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Uppsala, Sweden.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boko, M., Niang, I., Nyong, A., Vogel, C., Githeko, A., Medany, M., et al. (2007). Africa. In M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, D. Van Linden (Eds.).

    Google Scholar 

  • Can, N. D., Tu1, V. H., & Hoanh, C. T. (2013). Application of livelihood vulnerability index to assess risks from flood vulnerability and climate variability—a case study in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam.

    Google Scholar 

  • Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J.-L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., et al. (2013). Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility In Midgley, (Ed). Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC. (pp. 1029–1136). Cambridge University Press, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415324.024.

  • Conway, D., & Schipper, E. L. F. (2011). Adaptation to climate change in Africa: Challenges and opportunities identified from Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 21(1), 227–237.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooper, P. J. M., Dimes, J., Rao, K. P. C., Shapiro, B., Shiferaw, B., & Twomlow, S. (2008). Coping better with current climatic variability in the rain-fed farming systems of sub-Saharan Africa: An essential first step in adapting to future climate change? Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 126(1), 24–35. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2008.01.007.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CSA. (2012a). Agricultural sample survey 2011/2012, vol IV: Report on land utilization. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: Central Statistical Agency.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deressa, T. T., Hassan, R. M., & Ringler, C. (2011). Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 149(1), 23.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deressa, T. T., Hassan, R. M., Ringler, C., Alemu, T., & Yesuf, M. (2009). Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19(2), 248–255.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Etwire, P. M., Al-Hassan, R. M., Kuwornu, J. K., & Osei-Owusu, Y. (2013). Application of livelihood vulnerability index in assessing vulnerability to climate change and variability in Northern Ghana. Journal of Environment and Earth Science, 3(2), 157–170.

    Google Scholar 

  • EPA. (2011). Ethiopia’s climate-resilient green economy (CRGE). Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fussel, H. (2010). How inequitable is the global distribution of responsibility, capability, and vulnerability to climate change: A comprehensive indicator-based assessment. Global Environmental Change, 20, 597–611. IFPRI Discussion Paper 00804. Washington, DC USA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gutu, T., Bezabih, E., & Mengistu, K. (2012). Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Shewa. Ethiopia. Journal of Agricultural Science, 3(6), 871–888.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hahn, Micah B., Riederer, Anne M., & Foster, Stanley O. (2009). The Livelihood vulnerability index: A pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability and change a case study in Mozambique. Global Environmental Change, 19, 74–88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC. (2007). Climate change: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. In Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report (Ch. 9). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kirtman, B., Power, S. B., Adedoyin, J. A., Boer, G. J., Bojariu, R., Camilloni, I., et al. (Eds.). (2013) Near-term climate change: projections and predictability. In: Climate Change 2013: working group i to the fifth assessment report of the IPCC. United Kingdom and New York, USA: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lobell, D. B., Bänziger, M., Magorokosho, C., & Vivek, B. (2011). Nonlinear heat effects on African maize as evidenced by historical yield trials. Nature Climate Change, 1(1), 42–45. doi:10.1038/nclimate1043.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maddison, D. (2007). The perception of and adaptation to climate change in Africa. In CEEPA. Discussion paper no. 10. centre for environmental economics and policy in Africa. Pretoria, South Africa: University of Pretoria.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nhemachena, C. and Hassan, R. (2007). Micro‐level analysis of farmers’ adaptation to climate change in Southern Africa. In IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 00714. Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • NMA. (2015). National metrological agency-didessa basin climate variables secondary data. Ethiopia: Addis Ababa.

    Google Scholar 

  • Patt, A., Klein, R. J., & de la Vega-Leinert, A. (2005). Taking the uncertainty in climate-change vulnerability assessment seriously. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 337(4), 411–424.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sewagegn A. (2011). The economic impacts of climate change on crop agriculture and the role of agricultural technologies towards better adaptation: A case in Choke Mountain watersheds of Ethiopia (Thesis). Addis Ababa: Addis Ababa University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shewmake S. (2008). Vulnerability and the impact of climate change in South Africa’s Limpopo River Basin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sullivan, C., Meigh, J. R., & Fediw, T. S. (2002). Derivation and testing of the water poverty index phase 1. UK: Final Report. Department for International Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swain, M., & Swain, M. (2011). Vulnerability to agricultural drought in Western Orissa: A case study of representative blocks. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 24, 47–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, D. S. G., Twyman, C., Osbahr, H., & Hewitson, B. (2007). Adaptation to climate change and variability: Farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa. Climatic Change, 83(3), 301–322. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9205-4.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Von Braun, J. (2007). The world food situation: new driving forces and required actions. (p. 18). Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • World Bank. (2010). In: Economics of adaptation to climate change, Ethiopia. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/12504 License: CC BY 3.0 Unported.,www.iwmi.org/Publications/IWMI_Research_Reports/index.aspx. Accessed March 24, 2014.

Download references

Acknowledgements

This research was supported in part by Addis Ababa university climate change thematic research project. We would like to thanks the anonymous reviewers of the climate change adaptation in Africa for their constructive comments and suggestion to improve the manuscript.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that no conflict of interest

.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chala Dechassa .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Dechassa, C., Simane, B., Alamirew, B. (2017). Farmers’ Livelihoods Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Change in Didesa Basin Southern Part of Abay Basin, Ethiopia. In: Leal Filho, W., Belay, S., Kalangu, J., Menas, W., Munishi, P., Musiyiwa, K. (eds) Climate Change Adaptation in Africa. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49520-0_17

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics