Abstract
Although the UK is a relatively low-risk environment where landslides are concerned such events do have important socio-economic impacts and fatalities do occur. This report considers the potential for landslide events in Scotland in the light of future climate change. In particular, the UKCIP02 (deterministic) and UKCP09 (probabilistic) climate change forecasts, current climate data and historic trends in Scotland’s climate are discussed to obtain a clear picture of recent, current and likely future trends. The outcomes from this analysis are then reconciled with a view of likely future landslide hazard trends and a picture of potential future landslide risk in Scotland is presented.
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Acknowledgments
The work described in this paper was supported by the European Commission through the project SafeLand “Living with landslide risk in Europe: assessment, effects of global change, and risk management strategies” under Grant Agreement No. 226479 in the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission. This support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional funding from Transport Scotland is also gratefully acknowledged.
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© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
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Winter, M.G., Shearer, B. (2014).
Landslide Hazard and Risk in a Changing Climate.
In: Sassa, K., Canuti, P., Yin, Y. (eds) Landslide Science for a Safer Geoenvironment. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-04999-1_38
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-04999-1_38
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