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From Vegetation Zones to Climatypes: Effects of Climate Warming on Siberian Ecosystems

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Permafrost Ecosystems

Part of the book series: Ecological Studies ((ECOLSTUD,volume 209))

Abstract

Evidence for global warming over the past 200 years is overwhelming, based on both direct weather observation and indirect physical and biological indicators such as retreating glaciers and snow/ice cover, increasing sea level, and longer growing seasons (IPCC 2001, 2007). On the background of global warming at a rate of 0.6°C during the twentieth century (IPCC 2001), the temperature increase in central Siberia is registered as large as 1-2°C on average for both in summer and winter in the high latitudes, and up to 2-5°C in winter alone in the south (Tchebakova and Parfenova 2006). Recent GCM projections of the Hadley Center (Gordon et al. 2000) for Central Siberia show an increase in temperature of 4-6°C in summer and 2-9°C in winter; an increase in precipitation is shown as much as 30% by 2090. In the south of Central Siberia, January temperature increases by 2000 have already exceeded those predicted by the Hadley Center scenario for 2090. July temperature increase rates for 2000 are of the same order of magnitude as predicted from scenarios 4-6°C for 100 years. Predicted change in rainfall is positive while registered change has been negative (Tchebakova et al. 2008). Predicted changes, moreover, could occur at a rate of 0.1-0.4°C per decade (Watson et al. 1996).

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Acknowledgment

The study was partially supported by grant No. 06-05-65127 of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russia

    N. M. Tchebakova & E. I. Parfenova

  2. Rocky Mountain Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Moscow, ID, 83843, USA

    G. E. Rehfeldt

Authors
  1. N. M. Tchebakova
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  2. G. E. Rehfeldt
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  3. E. I. Parfenova
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Graduate School of Agriculture, Kyoto University, Kita-Shirakawa-Oiwake-Cho, Kyoto, 606-8502, Japan

    Akira Osawa

  2. Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russian Federation

    Olga A. Zyryanova

  3. Research Institute, Forestry & Forest Products, Matsunosato 1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8687, Japan

    Yojiro Matsuura

  4. Research Institute, Forestry & Forest Products, Kurokami 4-11-16, Kumamoto, 860-0862, Japan

    Takuya Kajimoto

  5. Dept. Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Edmonton, T6G 2H1, Canada

    Ross W. Wein

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Tchebakova, N.M., Rehfeldt, G.E., Parfenova, E.I. (2010). From Vegetation Zones to Climatypes: Effects of Climate Warming on Siberian Ecosystems. In: Osawa, A., Zyryanova, O., Matsuura, Y., Kajimoto, T., Wein, R. (eds) Permafrost Ecosystems. Ecological Studies, vol 209. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-9693-8_22

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