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Profit sharing, labour share and financial structure

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Abstract

In this paper, we study the effects of the Profit-Sharing rule on an oligopolistic economy. Many believed that the Japanese economy was strong because Japan adopted the Profit-Sharing rule (or the Japanese management system) in the 1980s. However, Japan was trapped in a prolonged recession after the collapse of the bubble economy in the 1990s. The Japanese management system and its regulated financial system have come under criticism as factors of the crisis. We derive a condition that a firm and its union adopt the Profit-Sharing rule voluntarily and construct a macrodynamic model of financial instability. We demonstrate in this study that the Profit-Sharing rule in Japan further stabilises the economy when the financial structure of the economy is already stable.

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Notes

  1. Ros and Skott (1998) examined the trade liberalisation in a macrodynamics model and discussed that it led to a cumulative process of contraction of the capital stock.

  2. Krugman and Taylor (1978) developed a stagnationist model for a developing country. Lavoie (1995), Dutt (1995) and Flaschel and Skott (2006) support the stagnationist view.

  3. Blecker (1989, 2002) and Bhaduri and Marglin (1990) argued that exhilarationism could result from international price competition. There are few empirical studies in this field. See, for example, Stockhammer and Onagan (2004), Azetsu, Koba, and Nakatani (2010) and Nishi (2010). Azetsu et al. (2010) and Nishi (2010) insisted that Japanese economy represented a profit-let demand (an exhilarationist regime) in the medium-long term by applying structural VAR model.

  4. Investment booms (euphoria) and financial crises (serious depressions) are interpreted as macroeconomic instability in mathematical models based on the financial instability hypothesis. The Japanese management system was criticised as one of the factors contributing towards the decline in economic growth and productivity. On the contrary, we mainly focus on the function of income distribution of Profit-Sharing rule in this paper.

  5. Ninomiya and Takami (2010) examined the effects of the Profit-Sharing rule on the macrodynamics of financial instability. They showed that the rule would make the economy unstable. However, they did not consider the effect of the exhilarationist regime on the investment function.

  6. This is an effect of the exhilarationist regime.

  7. Mankiw (1994) shows an example of skeptical view that ‘They wonder why, if profit sharing such a good idea, firms and workers do not sign such contracts without prodding from the government’. Our procedure is regarded as a reply to Mankiw (1994) and increases the validity of the macrodynamic model in the second stage.

  8. Another approach is Takami and Nakamura (2012), which considers the endogenous timing in the basically same wage setting duopoly model as ours between the Profit Sharing firm and the conventional Non-Profit-Sharing firm.

  9. The bargaining model can also deal with various variables other than the wage rate and the sharing parameter. For example, that model can handle the degree of partial privatisation in a mixed oligopoly model such as Nakamura and Takami (2015).

  10. The condition we obtained in the sequential move game differs from Sørensen (1992) in that each firm and union may not adopt the Profit-Sharing rule simultaneously. This conclusion is not revised even if two unions have different bargaining power.

  11. We neglect possible feedback effects of the Profit-Sharing rule on labour productivity in this paper.

  12. When the labour share increases, the saving also increases, in addition to the consumption. This effect may promote investment by the increase in the saving. In general, this indirect effect emerges by means of a change in the interest rate. However, we ascertain that the interest rate does not depend on the labour share, since we adopt the Eq. (20).

    On the other hand, Ninomiya (2006), Ninomiya and Tokuda (2017) verify that the interest rate is determined by the bond market. The following equation determines the interest rate:

    $$ - [(c + g - y) + (M^{d} - M^{s} )] = 0, $$
    (20′)

    Ordering Eqs. (16)–(18), and (20′), we should convey that the interest rate depends on the labour share and rewrite Eq. (17), as follows:

    $$ g = g(y,\kappa ,i(y,\kappa ,h)), $$

    However, we assume the indirect effect \( (g_{i} i_{\kappa } ) \) is not significant and adopt the Eq. (20), in order to simplify the analysis in this paper. We would like to consider the indirect effect in future research.

  13. Ninomiya (2007b) discusses financial instability by developing Asada (1995). Ninomiya (2016) examine financial instability, financial cycles, and the effects of inflation targeting in a mixed competitive–oligopolistic system.

  14. The dynamic system (S a ) has some similarity with the Kaldorian business cycle models, such as Asada (1995) and Ninomiya (2007b). The Kaldorian business cycle models adopt Assumption 1 and prove the existence of closed orbits by applying Hopf bifurcation theorem. However, Asada (1995) and Ninomiya (2007b) considered the dynamic equation of capital stock and did not consider the income distribution, such as stagnationist and exhilarationist regimes. We introduce the sharing parameter κ into the dynamics system (S a ) and the dynamic equation κ into the dynamic system (S c ). Flaschel and Skott (2006), for example, constructed macrodynamic models that considered the dynamic equation of profit share. However, they ignored the financial structure and they did not discuss the nature of a cycle.

  15. We used Mathematica for the numerical simulation.

  16. The equilibrium values of y in both cases are about 0.22 \( (y^{*} \cong 0.22). \).

  17. Many previous researchers considered only this factor. Our game theoretical model in the previous section is very important. The game theoretical model presents an endogenous determination of the ratio of the firm that adopts the Profit-Sharing rule. When firms that adopt the Profit-Sharing rule seriously decline, the labour share (aggregate sharing parameter κ) may not increase, even if the sharing parameter θ increases. This is one of the reasons why we adopt the game theoretical model in the first step. Our game theoretical model suggests that the Profit Sharing rule has two factors (ε and θ). We will examine institutional frameworks or policies that increase the labour share or income by developing our game theoretical model. This will become part of our future agenda.

  18. However, Itami (2005) also pointed out that the causal relationship is not large. Karabarbounis and Neiman (2014) noted that recession is not related to the shifts in the labour share. We need further study of the relationship between labour share and recession in future research.

  19. This effect is consistent with the stagnationist regime.

  20. Nishimura and Inoue (1994) and Yoshikawa (1994) also pointed out this fact. Azetsu, Koba, and Nakatani (2010) showed that the increase in profit share increased both profit and wage income in the medium term in Japan by applying a simulation analysis based on an empirical study. They argued that this feature produced an incentive to adopt the Profit-Sharing rule. Our game theoretical model explains the endogenous determination of the ratio for a firm that adopts the Profit-Sharing rule.

  21. Ninomiya and Tokuda (2011) indicated that the financial structure of Japan’s economy was fragile after the collapse of the bubble economy by applying VAR analysis. On the contrary, Ninomiya and Tokuda (2012) indicated that Korean financial structure has become robust since the monetary crisis of 1997.

  22. This is consistent with the exhilarationist regime.

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to anonyous referees, Professor Yasuyuki Osumi (University of Hyogo) and Toshiyuki Kawai (Shiga University) for their many valuable comments. This study has been supported by the Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (21530299, 23530325, 16K03633) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science. The authors would like to thank Enago (http://www.enago.jp) for the English language review.

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Appendix

Appendix

1.1 (Case A) Both firms (first and second mover) adopt the profit sharing rule

$$ w_{1}^{A} = \frac{{ - a + 4\bar{w}}}{3},\;w_{2}^{A} = \frac{{ - a + 7\bar{w}}}{6},\;\theta_{1}^{A} = \frac{2 + \alpha }{3},\;\theta_{2}^{A} = \frac{1 + \alpha }{2} $$
(39a)
$$ v_{1}^{A} = \frac{{(1 - \alpha )(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{12b},v_{2}^{A} = \frac{{(1 - \alpha )(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{18b} $$
(39b)
$$ u_{1}^{A} = \frac{{\alpha (\alpha - \bar{w})^{2} }}{12b},u_{2}^{A} = \frac{{(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{18b} $$
(39c)

1.2 (Case B) Firm 1 (first mover) chooses the Profit-Sharing rule and Firm 2 (second mover) adopts the conventional Non-Profit-Sharing

$$ \begin{aligned} w_{1}^{B} & = \frac{{ - a (2 - \alpha ) + 2(5 - \alpha )\bar{w}}}{8 - \alpha },w_{2}^{B} = \frac{{3\alpha a(16 - 5\alpha )\bar{w}}}{2(8 - \alpha )}, \\ \theta_{1}^{B} & = \frac{{\alpha^{2} + 2\alpha + 4}}{8 - \alpha },\quad \theta_{2}^{B} = 0. \\ \end{aligned} $$
(40a)
$$ v_{1}^{B} = \frac{{(\alpha^{2} + 3\alpha - 4)(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{4b(\alpha - 8)},v_{2}^{B} = \frac{{(\alpha - 2)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{{b(\alpha - 8)^{2} }} $$
(40b)
$$ u_{1}^{B} = \frac{{\alpha (\alpha + 4)(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{4b(8 - \alpha )},u_{2}^{B} = \frac{{3\alpha (2 - \alpha )(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{{2b(\alpha - 8)^{2} }} $$
(40c)

1.3 (Case C) Firm 1 (first mover) chooses the conventional Non-Profit-Sharing and Firm 2 (second mover) adopts the Profit-Sharing rule

$$ w_{1}^{C} = \frac{{\alpha a + (6 - \alpha )\bar{w}}}{6},w_{2}^{C} = \frac{{ - (6 + \alpha )a + (30 + \alpha )\bar{w}}}{24},\theta_{1}^{C} = 0,\,\theta_{2}^{C} = \frac{1 + \alpha }{2}, $$
(41a)
$$ v_{1}^{C} = \frac{{(\alpha - 2)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{64b},v_{2}^{C} = \frac{{(1 - \alpha )(6 + \alpha )^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{288b}, $$
(41b)
$$ u_{1}^{C} = \frac{{(2 - \alpha )\alpha (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{48b},u_{2}^{C} = \frac{{\alpha (6 + \alpha )(a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{288b} $$
(41c)

1.4 (Case D) Both firms (first and second movers) adopt conventional Non-Profit-Sharing

$$ \begin{aligned} w_{1}^{D} = \frac{{\alpha (\alpha + 4)a - (\alpha^{2} + 6\alpha - 16)\bar{w}}}{2(8 - \alpha )}, \hfill \\ w_{2}^{D} = \frac{{\alpha (\alpha^{2} + 2\alpha + 16)a - (\alpha^{3} + 2\alpha^{2} + 24\alpha - 64)\bar{w}}}{8(8 - \alpha )},\;\theta_{1}^{D} = 0,\,\theta_{2}^{D} = 0, \hfill \\ \end{aligned} $$
(42a)
$$ v_{1}^{D} = \frac{{(\alpha^{2} + 2\alpha - 8)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{576b},v_{2}^{D} = \frac{{(\alpha^{3} + 12\alpha - 32)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{{144b(\alpha - 8)^{2} }}, $$
(42b)
$$ u_{1}^{D} = \frac{{\alpha (\alpha - 2)\left( {\alpha + 4} \right)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{48b(\alpha - 8)},u_{2}^{D} = \frac{{\alpha \left( {\alpha - 2} \right)(\alpha^{2} + 2\alpha + 16)^{2} (a - \bar{w})^{2} }}{{96b(\alpha - 8)^{2} }}. $$
(42c)

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Ninomiya, K., Takami, H. Profit sharing, labour share and financial structure. Evolut Inst Econ Rev 15, 89–111 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40844-017-0090-5

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