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Using AHP-VW model to evaluate the landslide susceptibility—a case study of Zigui County, Hubei Province, China

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Abstract

Geological hazards, especially landslides, occurred frequently in Zigui County, which significantly caused a great threat to the safety of people’s lives and property. At present, the investigation of landslides in Zigui County mainly focuses on the cause analysis of a certain characteristic landslide, while the regional landslide susceptibility analysis is absent in Zigui County. To effectively control the landslides in Zigui County, this paper utilized analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and variable weight theory (VW) to evaluate the landslide susceptibility in Zigui County based on five evaluation indicators (lithology, slope, distance from the fault, distance from the river, and landform). The results in the AHP model showed that the susceptibility areas of very low, low, medium, and high account for 14.16%, 38.11%, 36.31%, and 11.42%, respectively, while the results in the AHP-VW model are 12.41%, 29.67%, 32.19%, and 25.73%, respectively. Based on the area under curve (AUC) results, the accuracy of the AHP-VW model has been greatly improved by introducing the VW in the landslide susceptibility evaluation. Additionally, this paper also verified that rainfall and human activities are two important factors to induce landslides. The adaptive prevention and control methods are also proposed and recommended in Zigui County according to the composition factors and precipitating factors.

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Correspondence to Chuanming Ma.

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Zhang, Z., Zhou, A., Huang, P. et al. Using AHP-VW model to evaluate the landslide susceptibility—a case study of Zigui County, Hubei Province, China. Arab J Geosci 14, 2095 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-021-08476-3

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