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Analysis on the Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of Multidimensional Return to Poverty in Chinese Rural Households

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Abstract

Existing studies rarely focus on the quantitative measurement of the multi-dimensional return to poverty in Chinese rural households. Therefore, this paper assessed the dynamic evolution of multidimensional return to poverty in Chinese rural households based on the China family panel studies during 2010–2018, applied methods like artificial neural network and multi-dimensional measurement model. Here are the results: (1) Chinese rural households’ multidimensional return-to-poverty index dropped significantly from 0.0567 in 2012 to 0.0425 in 2018, mainly due to the decreased poverty returning rate. (2) Annual net income per capita was a major contributor to the decrease of multidimensional return to poverty, followed by four indicators in health dimension—adult health, out of pocket healthcare payment, health insurance, and senior and children health. (3) Chinese rural households’ multidimensional return-to-poverty index manifested great spatial heterogeneity—increasing from Eastern China, to Central China, then to Western China. In the end, this paper proposed policy suggestions on preventing poverty returning and promoting common prosperity.

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Notes

  1. Xi (2021). Speech at the National Poverty Alleviation Summary and Commendation Conference. People's Daily.

  2. https://m.thepaper.cn/baijiahao_13900295.

  3. The Chinese government set the poverty line of 2300 yuan per person per year in 2010. On the basis of constant price, the poverty line was 2487 yuan in 2012; 2610 yuan in 2014; 3,000 yuan in 2016, and 3535 yuan in 2018 respectively in this paper.

  4. Eastern China: Liaoning province, Hebei province, Tianjin city, Shandong province, Jiangsu province, Shanghai city, Zhejiang province, Fujian province, and Guangdong province.

    Central China: Heilongjiang province, Jilin province, Shanxi province, Henan province, Anhui province, Jiangxi province, Hubei province, and Hunan province.

    Western China: Gansu province, Shaanxi province, Sichuan province, Chongqing city, Guizhou province, Yunnan province, and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.

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Funding

The funding was provided by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 72074053, 42001156), Shandong Youth Science and technology innovation team (Grant No. 2020RWE009).

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Correspondence to Yingzhi Guo.

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Wang, S., Guo, Y. & He, Z. Analysis on the Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of Multidimensional Return to Poverty in Chinese Rural Households. Soc Indic Res 165, 31–52 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-022-03000-w

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