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A Machine Learning Computational Framework Develops a Multiple Programmed Cell Death Index for Improving Clinical Outcomes in Bladder Cancer

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Abstract

Comprehensive action patterns of programmed cell death (PCD) in bladder cancer (BLCA) have not yet been thoroughly investigated. Here, we collected 19 different PCD patterns, including 1911 PCD-related genes, and developed a multiple programmed cell death index (MPCDI) based on a machine learning computational framework. We found that in the TCGA-BLCA training cohort and the independently validated GSE13507 cohort, the patients with high-MPCDI had a worse prognosis, whereas patients with low-MPCDI had a better prognosis. By combining clinical characteristics with the MPCDI, we constructed a nomogram. The C-index demonstrated that the nomogram was significantly more accurate compared to other variables, including MPCDI, age, gender, and clinical stage. The results of the decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram had a better net clinical benefit compared to other clinical variables. Subsequently, we revealed the heterogeneity of BLCA patients, with significant differences in terms of overall immune infiltration abundance, immunotherapeutic response, and drug sensitivity in the two MPCDI groups. Encouragingly, the high-MPCDI patients showed better efficacy for commonly used chemotherapeutic drugs than the low-MPCDI patients, which suggests that MPCDI scores have a guiding role in chemotherapy for BLCA patients. In conclusion, the MPCDI developed and verified in this study is not only an emerging clinical classifier for BLCA patients, but it also serves as a reliable forecaster for both chemotherapy and immunotherapy, which can guide clinical management and clinical decision-making for BLCA patients.

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Data Availability

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Dr.Jianming Zeng (University of Macau), and all the members of his bioinformatics team, biotrainee, for generously sharing their experience and codes.

Funding

This work did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

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Contributions

LCH, QWS, and MYM designed the study and supervised the completion, LCH, QWS, HJH, LJX, and MYM contributed to data collection and analysis, LCH and QWS wrote the manuscript, and LCH and MYM reviewed the background and edited the manuscript. All the authors approved the final version of the manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Chunhong Li or Yiming Mao.

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The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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This study does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

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Li, C., Qin, W., Hu, J. et al. A Machine Learning Computational Framework Develops a Multiple Programmed Cell Death Index for Improving Clinical Outcomes in Bladder Cancer. Biochem Genet (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10528-024-10683-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10528-024-10683-y

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