Abstract
Background
Whether smoking is a risk factor for ischemic stroke (IS) recurrence in IS survivors is still uncovered, and evidences are sparse. Meanwhile, an add-on effect of clopidogrel was observed in myocardial infarction patients who smoked, but whether the paradox exists in IS patients is still unsolved. The objectives of this study are to explore the association between smoking behavior after index stroke and IS recurrence and to explore whether the paradox exists.
Methods
A prospective cohort of first-ever IS patients was conducted between 2010 and 2019. The prognosis and smoking features of enrolled patients were obtained via telephone follow-up every 3 months. Fine-gray model with interaction terms was applied to measure the relationships between stroke recurrence and smoking behaviors after index stroke and to explore the add-on effect of clopidogrel in smoking patients.
Results
There were 171 (24.26%) recurrences and 129 (18.30%) deaths during follow-up in 705 enrolled IS patients. One hundred forty-six (20.71%) patients smoked after index stroke. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of interaction terms between antiplatelet drug and follow-up smoking (smoking status and daily smoking amount) were 1.092 (95% CI: 0.524, 2.276) and 0.985 (95% CI: 0.941, 1.031), respectively. A significantly higher risk of recurrence was observed in patients with a higher daily smoking amount during follow-up (per cigarette), with HR being 1.027 (95% CI: 1.003, 1.052).
Conclusions
Smoking could elevate the risk of IS recurrence, and IS survivor should be advised to quit or smoke less. Add-on effect of clopidogrel may not exist in smoking strokers taking clopidogrel.
Similar content being viewed by others
Abbreviations
- BMI:
-
Body mass index
- CE:
-
Cardio-embolism
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- CIF:
-
Cumulative incidence function
- CYP:
-
Cytochrome P450
- HR:
-
Hazard ratio
- IS:
-
Ischemic stroke
- LAR:
-
Large artery atherosclerosis
- MI:
-
Myocardial infarction
- mRS:
-
Modified Rankin score
- ODC:
-
Stroke of other determined causes
- PRU:
-
P2Y12 reaction unit
- SAO:
-
Small artery occlusion
- SI:
-
Smoking index
- SMD:
-
Standard mean difference
- TOAST:
-
Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment
- VIF:
-
Variance inflammation coefficient
References
Hankey GJ (2017) Stroke. Lancet (London, England) 389:641–654
Wang Y, Xu J, Zhao X, Wang D, Wang C, Liu L et al (2013) Association of hypertension with stroke recurrence depends on ischemic stroke subtype. Stroke 44:1232–1237
Amsterdam EA, Wenger NK, Brindis RG, Casey DE Jr, Ganiats TG, Holmes DR Jr et al (2014) 2014 AHA/ACC guideline for the management of patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on practice guidelines. J Am Coll Cardiol 64:e139–e228
Chinese Society of Neurology, Society CS (2022) Chinese guideline for the secondary prevention of ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack 2022. Chinese Journal of Neurology 55:1071–1110
Xu G, Liu X, Wu W, Zhang R, Yin Q (2007) Recurrence after ischemic stroke in chinese patients: impact of uncontrolled modifiable risk factors. Cerebrovascular Diseases (Basel, Switzerland) 23:117–120
Chen J, Li S, Zheng K, Wang H, Xie Y, Xu P et al (2019) Impact of smoking status on stroke recurrence. J Am Heart Assoc 8:e011696
Ha E, Jo JY, Ahn AL, Oh EJ, Choi JK, Cho DY et al (2016) Predictors of successful smoking cessation after inpatient intervention for stroke patients. Korean J Fam Med 37:85–90
Hou L-S, Li J-J, Du X-D, Yan P-J, Zhu C-R (2017) Application of competing risks model in predicting smoking relapse following ischemic stroke. J. Sichuan Univ (Med Sci edn) 48:579–583
Kodaira M, Miyata H, Numasawa Y, Ueda I, Maekawa Y, Sueyoshi K et al (2016) Effect of smoking status on clinical outcome and efficacy of clopidogrel in acute coronary syndrome. Circ J 80:1590–1599
Gagne JJ, Bykov K, Choudhry NK, Toomey TJ, Connolly JG, Avorn J (2013) Effect of smoking on comparative efficacy of antiplatelet agents: systematic review, meta-analysis, and indirect comparison. BMJ (Clinical Research ed) 347:f5307
Zhao ZG, Chen M, Peng Y, Chai H, Liu W, Li Q et al (2014) The impact of smoking on clinical efficacy and pharmacodynamic effects of clopidogrel: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart (British Cardiac Society) 100:192–199
Swiger KJ, Yousuf O, Bliden KP, Tantry US, Gurbel PA (2013) Cigarette smoking and clopidogrel interaction. Curr Cardiol Rep 15:361
KY. S, SR. S, AP. H, EJ. T. (2006) Smoking influences the effectiveness of dual antiplatelet therapy on long-term outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention. J Am Coll Cardiol 47:B36
Ovbiagele B, Wang J, Johnston SC, Wang A, Wang D, Wang Y et al (2017) Effect of clopidogrel by smoking status on secondary stroke prevention. Circulation 135:315–316
Zhang Q, Wang Y, Song H, Hou C, Cao Q, Dong K et al (2017) Clopidogrel and ischemic stroke outcomes by smoking status: smoker’s paradox? J Neurol Sci 373:41–44
WHO MONICA Project Principal Investigators (1988) The World Health Organization MONICA Project (monitoring trends and determinants in cardiovascular disease): a major international collaboration. J Clin Epidemiol 41:105–114
Zhu HM, Yi HL, Guan J, Xu HJ, Liu SR, Zou JY et al (2019) Relationship between smoking and the severity of osa. Lin Chung Er Bi Yan Hou Tou Jing Wai Ke Za Zhi 33(862-865):869
Lovett JK, Coull AJ, Rothwell PM (2004) Early risk of recurrence by subtype of ischemic stroke in population-based incidence studies. Neurology. 62:569–573
Eriksson M, Norrving B, Terent A, Stegmayr B (2008) Functional outcome 3 months after stroke predicts long-term survival. Cerebrovascular Diseases (Basel, Switzerland) 25:423–429
Wang M, Rajan SS, Jacob AP, Singh N, Parker SA, Bowry R et al (2020) Retrospective collection of 90-day modified rankin scale is accurate. Clin Trials 17:637–643
Fine JP, Gray RJ (1999) A proportional hazards model for the subdistribution of a competing risk. Publications of the American Statistical Association 94:496–509
Borgan O, Zhang Y (2015) Using cumulative sums of martingale residuals for model checking in nested case-control studies. Biometrics 71:696–703
Lin DY, Wei LJ, Ying Z (1993) Checking the cox model with cumulative sums of martingale-based residuals. Biometrika 80:557–572
Parikh NS, Parasram M, White H, Merkler AE, Navi BB, Kamel H (2022) Smoking cessation in stroke survivors in the united states: a nationwide analysis. Stroke 53:1285–1291
Wu AD, Lindson N, Hartmann-Boyce J, Wahedi A, Hajizadeh A, Theodoulou A et al (2022) Smoking cessation for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 8:CD014936
Lawrence M, Pringle J, Kerr S, Booth J, Govan L, Roberts NJ (2015) Multimodal secondary prevention behavioral interventions for tia and stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PloS One 10:e0120902
Zheng S, Yao B (2019) Impact of risk factors for recurrence after the first ischemic stroke in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Clin Neurosci 60:24–30
Wang Y, Wang Y, Zhao X, Liu L, Wang D, Wang C et al (2013) Clopidogrel with aspirin in acute minor stroke or transient ischemic attack. N Engl J Med 369:11–19
Dahabreh IJ, Kent DM (2011) Index event bias as an explanation for the paradoxes of recurrence risk research. JAMA 305:822–823
Lavie CJ, Milani RV, Ventura HO (2009) Obesity and cardiovascular disease: risk factor, paradox, and impact of weight loss. J Am Coll Cardiol 53:1925–1932
Smits LJ, van Kuijk SM, Leffers P, Peeters LL, Prins MH, Sep SJ (2013) Index event bias-a numerical example. J Clin Epidemiol 66:192–196
Yousufuddin M, Takahashi PY, Major B, Ahmmad E, Al-Zubi H, Peters J et al (2019) Association between hyperlipidemia and mortality after incident acute myocardial infarction or acute decompensated heart failure: a propensity score matched cohort study and a meta-analysis. BMJ Open 9:e028638
Deeks JJ, Higgins JP, Altman DG (2019) on behalf of the Cochrane Statistical Methods Group. Analysing data and undertaking meta-analyses. Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions:241–284
Ives SP, Heuschmann PU, Wolfe CD, Redfern J (2008) Patterns of smoking cessation in the first 3 years after stroke: the South London Stroke Register. Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil 15:329–335
Austin V, Crack PJ, Bozinovski S, Miller AA, Vlahos R (2016) COPD and stroke: are systemic inflammation and oxidative stress the missing links? Clin Sci (Lond) 130:1039–1050
Miller AA, Budzyn K, Sobey CG (2010) Vascular dysfunction in cerebrovascular disease: mechanisms and therapeutic intervention. Clin Sci (Lond) 119:1–17
Frelinger AL 3rd, Bhatt DL, Lee RD, Mulford DJ, Wu J, Nudurupati S et al (2013) Clopidogrel pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics vary widely despite exclusion or control of polymorphisms (CYP2C19, ABCB1, PON1), noncompliance, diet, smoking, co-medications (including proton pump inhibitors), and pre-existent variability in platelet function. J Am Coll Cardiol 61:872–879
Kim YG, Suh JW, Park JJ, Oh IY, Yoon CH, Cho YS et al (2014) Different influences of hematocrit on the results of two point-of-care platelet function tests, the VerifyNow assay and multiple electrode platelet aggregometry. PloS One 9:e114053
Kim YG, Suh JW, Kang SH, Park JJ, Yoon CH, Cho YS et al (2016) Cigarette smoking does not enhance clopidogrel responsiveness after adjusting VerifyNow P2Y12 reaction unit for the influence of hemoglobin level. JACC Cardiovasc Interv 9:1680–1690
Sibbing D, Gross L (2016) Smoking and clopidogrel response revisited: hemoglobin levels explaining the smoker’s paradox. JACC Cardiovasc Interv 9:1691–1693
Gurbel PA, Bliden KP, Logan DK, Kereiakes DJ, Lasseter KC, White A et al (2013) The influence of smoking status on the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of clopidogrel and prasugrel: the paradox study. J Am Coll Cardiol 62:505–512
Wong MC, Tam WW, Cheung CS, Wang HH, Tong EL, Sek AC et al (2013) Drug adherence and the incidence of coronary heart disease- and stroke-specific mortality among 218,047 patients newly prescribed an antihypertensive medication: a five-year cohort study. Int J Cardiol 168:928–933
Zhang J, Zhu P, Liu B, Yao Q, Yan K, Zheng Q et al (2019) Time to recurrence after first-ever ischaemic stroke within 3 years and its risk factors in chinese population: a prospective cohort study. BMJ Open 9:e032087
Funding
This research was supported by grants from National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 82173618, no. 81673273, and no. 30600511, http://www.nsfc.gov.cn/). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The funding agreement ensured the authors’ independence in designing the study.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding authors
Ethics declarations
Ethical approval and consent to participate
The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of the West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China (ethical approval number: “2009 year 50”). All patients had signed informed consent before the baseline survey. We confirmed that all methods were performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary Information
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Yao, Q., Zhang, BY., Lin, YD. et al. Association between post-stroke smoking and stroke recurrence in first-ever ischemic stroke survivors: based on a 10-year prospective cohort. Neurol Sci 44, 3595–3605 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-023-06873-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-023-06873-y