Abstract
The probability density function (PDF) of a random variable associated with the solution of a partial differential equation (PDE) with random parameters is approximated using a truncated series expansion. The random PDE is solved using two stochastic finite element methods, Monte Carlo sampling and the stochastic Galerkin method with global polynomials. The random variable is a functional of the solution of the random PDE, such as the average over the physical domain. The truncated series are obtained considering a finite number of terms in the Gram–Charlier or Edgeworth series expansions. These expansions approximate the PDF of a random variable in terms of another PDF, and involve coefficients that are functions of the known cumulants of the random variable. To the best of our knowledge, their use in the framework of PDEs with random parameters has not yet been explored.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aulisa, E., Capodaglio, G., Ke, G.: Construction of h-refined continuous finite element spaces with arbitrary hanging node configurations and applications to multigrid algorithms. arXiv:1804.10632 (2018)
Babuška, I., Nobile, F., Tempone, R.: A stochastic collocation method for elliptic partial differential equations with random input data. SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 45, 1005–1034 (2007)
Babuška, I., Tempone, R., Zouraris, G.E.: Galerkin finite element approximations of stochastic elliptic partial differential equations. SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 42, 800–825 (2004)
Babuška, I., Tempone, R., Zouraris, G.E.: Solving elliptic boundary value problems with uncertain coefficients by the finite element method: the stochastic formulation. Comput. Methods Appl. Mech. Eng. 194, 1251–1294 (2005)
Bell, E.T.: Partition polynomials. Ann. Math. 29, 38–46 (1927)
Berberan-Santos, M.N.: Expressing a probability density function in terms of another PDF: A generalized Gram-Charlier expansion. J. Math. Chem. 42, 585–594 (2007)
Blinnikov, S., Moessner, R.: Expansions for nearly Gaussian distributions. Astron. Astrophys. Suppl. Ser. 130, 193–205 (1998)
Brenn, T., Anfinsen, S.N.: A revisit of the Gram-Charlier and Edgeworth series expansions. Preprint, https://hdl.handle.net/10037/11261 (2017)
Brenner, S.C., Scott, L.R.: The Mathematical Theory of Finite Element Methods. Texts in Applied Mathematics, 3rd edn., vol. 15. Springer, New York (2007)
Bui-Thanh, T., Ghattas, O., Martin, J., Stadler, G.: A computational framework for infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems part i: The linearized case, with application to global seismic inversion. SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 35, A2494–A2523 (2013)
Capodaglio, G.: Github webpage. https://github.com/gcapodag/MyFEMuS
Chacón, J. E., Duong, T.: Data-driven density derivative estimation, with applications to nonparametric clustering and bump hunting. Electron. J. Statist. 7, 499–532 (2013)
Chen, P., Schwab, C.: Model order reduction methods in computational uncertainty quantification. In: Ghanem, R., Higdon, D., Owhadi, H (eds.) Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification, pp 937–990. Springer, Cham (2017)
Cheng, Y.: Mean shift, mode seeking, and clustering. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 17, 790–799 (1995)
Ciarlet, P.G.: The Finite Element Method for Elliptic Problems. Classics in Applied Mathematics, vol. 40. SIAM, Philadelphia (2002)
Cliffe, K.A., Giles, M.B., Scheichl, R., Teckentrup, A.L.: Multilevel Monte Carlo methods and applications to elliptic PDEs with random coefficients. Comput. Visual. Sci. 14, 3–15 (2011)
Contaldi, C.R., Bean, R., Magueijo, J.: Photographing the wave function of the universe. Phys. Lett. B 468, 189–194 (1999)
Cramér, H.: On the composition of elementary errors: First paper: Mathematical deductions. Scand. Actuar. J. 1928, 13–74 (1928)
Cramér, H.: Mathematical Methods of Statistics. Princeton Mathematics Series, vol. 9. Princeton University Press, Curray (2016)
Dashti, M., Stuart, A.M.: The Bayesian approach to inverse problems. In: Ghanem, R., Higdon, D., Owhadi, H (eds.) Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification, pp 311–428. Springer, Cham (2017)
de Kock, M.B., Eggers, H.C., Schmiegel, J.: Edgeworth versus Gram-Charlier series: x-cumulant and probability density tests. Phys. Part. Nuclei Lett. 8, 1023–1027 (2011)
Di Marco, V.B., Bombi, G.G.: Mathematical functions for the representation of chromatographic peaks. J. Chromatogr. A 931, 1–30 (2001)
Eggers, H.C., de Kock, M.B., Schmiegel, J.: Determining source cumulants in femtoscopy with Gram-Charlier and Edgeworth series. Modern Phys. Lett. A 26, 1771–1782 (2011)
Fan, M., Vittal, V., Heydt, G.T., Ayyanar, R.: Probabilistic power flow studies for transmission systems with photovoltaic generation using cumulants. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 27, 2251–2261 (2012)
Fishman, G.S.: Monte Carlo: Concepts, Algorithms, and Applications. Springer, New York (1996)
Frauenfelder, P., Schwab, C., Todor, R.A.: Finite elements for elliptic problems with stochastic coefficients. Comput. Methods Appl. Mech. Eng. 194, 205–228 (2005)
Fukunaga, K., Hostetler, L.: The estimation of the gradient of a density function, with applications in pattern recognition. IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 21, 32–40 (1975)
Ghanem, R.G., Spanos, P.D.: Stochastic finite element method: Response statistics. In: Ghanem, R. G., Spanos, P. D. (eds.) Stochastic Finite Elements: A Spectral Approach, pp 101–119. Springer, New York (1991)
Gunzburger, M.D., Webster, C.G., Zhang, G.: Stochastic finite element methods for partial differential equations with random input data. Acta Numer. 23, 521–650 (2014)
Hernandez, V., Roman, J.E., Vidal, V.: SLEPc: A scalable and flexible toolkit for the solution of eigenvalue problems. ACM Trans. Math. Softw. 31, 351–362 (2005)
Huang, S., Quek, S., Phoon, K.: Convergence study of the truncated Karhunen–Loeve expansion for simulation of stochastic processes. Int. J. Numer. Methods Eng. 52, 1029–1043 (2001)
Izenman, A.J.: Review papers: Recent developments in nonparametric density estimation. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86, 205–224 (1991)
Jondeau, E., Rockinger, M.: Gram–Charlier densities. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 25, 1457–1483 (2001)
Juszkiewicz, R., Weinberg, D., Amsterdamski, P., Chodorowski, M., Bouchet, F.: Weakly non-linear Gaussian fluctuations and the Edgeworth expansion. arXiv:astro-ph/9308012 (1993)
Kendall, M.G.: Advanced Theory Of Statistics, vol. I. Charles Griffin, London (1943)
Li, C.F., Feng, Y.T., Owen, D.R.J., Li, D.F., Davis, I.M.: A Fourier–Karhunen–Loève discretization scheme for stationary random material properties in SFEM. Int. J. Numer. Methods Eng. 73, 1942–1965 (2008)
Ma, X., Zabaras, N.: An efficient Bayesian inference approach to inverse problems based on an adaptive sparse grid collocation method. Inverse Probl. 25, 035013 (2009)
Marzouk, Y.M., Najm, H.N., Rahn, L.A.: Stochastic spectral methods for efficient Bayesian solution of inverse problems. J. Comput. Phys. 224, 560–586 (2007)
Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.: The Monte Carlo method. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 44, 335–341 (1949)
Mihoubi, M.: Bell polynomials and binomial type sequences. Discrete Math. 308, 2450–2459 (2008)
Ñíguez, T.M., Perote, J.: Forecasting heavy-tailed densities with positive Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier expansions. Oxf. Bull. Econ. Statist. 74, 600–627 (2012)
Nobile, F., Tempone, R., Webster, C.G.: An anisotropic sparse grid stochastic collocation method for partial differential equations with random input data. SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 46, 2411–2442 (2008)
Nobile, F., Tempone, R., Webster, C.G.: A sparse grid stochastic collocation method for partial differential equations with random input data. SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 46, 2309–2345 (2008)
Noh, Y.K., Sugiyama, M., Liu, S., du Plessis, M.C., Park, F.C., Lee, D.D.: Bias reduction and metric learning for nearest-neighbor estimation of Kullback-Leibler divergence. In: Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, pp. 669–677 (2014)
O’brien, M.: Using the Gram-Charlier expansion to produce vibronic band shapes in strong coupling. J. Phys. Condens. Matter 4, 2347 (1992)
Olivé, J., Grimalt, J.O.: Gram-Charlier and Edgeworth-Cramér series in the characterization of chromatographic peaks. Anal. Chimica Acta 249, 337–348 (1991)
Pender, J.: Gram Charlier expansion for time varying multiserver queues with abandonment. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 74, 1238–1265 (2014)
Petrov, V.V.: Limit Theorems of Probability Theory: Sequences of Independent Random Variables. Tech. rep., Oxford, New York (1995)
Petrov, V.V.: Sums of Independent Random Variables. Ergebnisse der Mathematik und ihrer Grenzgebiete, vol. 82. Springer, Berlin (2012)
Popovic, R., Goldsman, D.: Easy Gram-Charlier valuations of options. J. Deriv. 20, 79–97 (2012)
Rickman, J., Lawrence, A., Rollett, A., Harmer, M.: Calculating probability densities associated with grain-size distributions. Comput. Mater. Sci. 101, 211–215 (2015)
Sasaki, H., Noh, Y.K., Sugiyama, M.: Direct density-derivative estimation and its application in KL-divergence approximation. In: Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, pp. 809–818 (2015)
Schevenels, M., Lombaert, G., Degrande, G.: Application of the stochastic finite element method for gaussian and non-gaussian systems. In: ISMA2004 International Conference on Noise and Vibration Engineering, pp. 3299–3314 (2004)
Sedgewick, R., Flajolet, P.: An introduction to the analysis of algorithms. Pearson Education India, Bengaluru (2013)
Stuart, A.M.: Inverse problems: a Bayesian perspective. Acta Numer. 19, 451–559 (2010)
Tartakovsky, D.M., Broyda, S.: PDF equations for advective–reactive transport in heterogeneous porous media with uncertain properties. J. Contam. Hydrol. 120–121, 129–140 (2011)
Wallace, D.L.: Asymptotic approximations to distributions. Ann. Math. Statist. 29, 635–654 (1958)
Wan, X., Karniadakis, G.E.: An adaptive multi-element generalized polynomial chaos method for stochastic differential equations. J. Comput. Phys. 209, 617–642 (2005)
Xiu, D., Hesthaven, J.S.: High-order collocation methods for differential equations with random inputs. SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 27, 1118–1139 (2005)
Zapevalov, A., Bol’shakov, A., Smolov, V.: Simulating of the probability density of sea surface elevations using the Gram-Charlier series. Oceanology 51, 407–414 (2011)
Acknowledgements
MG and HW thank the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, for support and hospitality during the program Uncertainty Quantification for Complex Systems: Theory and Methodologies where work on this paper was undertaken. This work was supported by UK EPSRC grant numbers EP/K032208/1 and EP/R014604/1. GC and MG were supported in part by the US Air Force Office of Scientific Research grant FA9550-15-1-0001 and by the US Department of Energy Office of Science grant DE-SC0016591.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interests
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Dedicated to Professor Enrique Zuazua on the occasion of his 60th birthday.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Capodaglio, G., Gunzburger, M. & Wynn, H.P. Approximation of Probability Density Functions for PDEs with Random Parameters Using Truncated Series Expansions. Vietnam J. Math. 49, 685–711 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10013-020-00465-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10013-020-00465-5