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A radiomics-clinical combined nomogram-based on non-enhanced CT for discriminating the risk stratification in GISTs

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Abstract

Purpose

To discriminate the risk stratification in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) by preoperatively constructing a model of nonenhanced computed tomography (NECT).

Methods

A total of 111 GISTs patients (77 in the training group and 34 in the validation Group) from two hospitals between 2015 and 2022 were collected retrospectively. One thousand and thirty-seven radiomics features were extracted from non-contract CT images, and the optimal radiomics signature was determined by univariate analysis and LASSO regression. The radiomics model was developed and validated from the ten optimal radiomics features by three methods. Covariates (clinical features, CT findings, and immunohistochemical characteristics) were collected to establish the clinical model, and both the radiomics features and the covariates were used to build the combined model. The effectiveness of the three models was evaluated by the Delong test.

Results

The experimental results showed that the clinical models (75.3%, 70.6%), the radiomics models (79.2%, 79.4%) and the combined models (81.8%, 82.4%) all had high accuracy in predicting the pathological risk of GIST in both training and validation groups. The AUC values of the combined models were significantly higher in both the training groups (0.921 vs 0.822, p= 0.032) and the validation groups (0.913 vs 0.792, p= 0.019) than that of the clinical models. According to the calibration curve, the combined model nomogram is clinically useful.

Conclusions

The clinical-radiomics combined model and based on NECT performed well in discriminating the risk stratification in GISTs. As a quantitative technique, radiomics is capable of predicting the malignant potential and guiding treatment preoperatively.

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Data availability statement

Data from this study are patient-private and not available to the public. Other researchers may request data from corresponding authors if necessary.

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Funding

This work was supported by Röntgen Imaging Research Special Project of Medical Research Development Fund Project of Beijing Health Alliance Charitable Foundation (SD202008-015).

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Authors

Contributions

PW conceived and designed the study, wrote the first draft of the manuscript, and analyzed the data. JY conceived and designed the study, data curation, methodology. HQ data collection. JH data collection. ZY article proofreading. QS data collection. CY designed the study and finalized the manuscript, resources, project administration. All authors revised and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chengxin Yan.

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Conflict of interest

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

Ethics statement

The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by the Second Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences Ethics Committees. The informed consent is waived.

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Wang, P., Yan, J., Qiu, H. et al. A radiomics-clinical combined nomogram-based on non-enhanced CT for discriminating the risk stratification in GISTs. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 149, 12993–13003 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-023-05170-7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-023-05170-7

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