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Delta-radiomics features for predicting the major pathological response to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer

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Abstract

Objectives

To investigate if delta-radiomics features have the potential to predict the major pathological response (MPR) to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.

Methods

Two hundred six stage IIA-IIIB NSCLC patients from three institutions (Database1 = 164; Database2 = 21; Database3 = 21) who received neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy and surgery were included. Patients in Database1 were randomly assigned to the training dataset and test dataset, with a ratio of 0.7:0.3. Patients in Database2 and Database3 were used as two independent external validation datasets. Contrast-enhanced CT scans were obtained at baseline and before surgery. The delta-radiomics features were defined as the relative net change of radiomics features between baseline and preoperative. The delta-radiomics model and pre-treatment radiomics model were established. The performance of Immune-Related Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (iRECIST) for predicting MPR was also evaluated.

Results

Half of the patients (106/206, 51.5%) showed MPR after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy. For predicting MPR, the delta-radiomics model achieved a satisfying area under the curves (AUCs) values of 0.768, 0.732, 0.833, and 0.716 in the training, test, and two external validation databases, respectively, which showed a superior predictive performance than the pre-treatment radiomics model (0.644, 0.616, 0.475, and 0.608). Compared with iRECIST criteria (0.624, 0.572, 0.650, and 0.466), a mixed model that combines delta-radiomics features and iRECIST had higher AUC values for MPR prediction of 0.777, 0.761, 0.850, and 0.670 in four sets.

Conclusion

The delta-radiomics model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance compared to pre-treatment radiomics model and iRECIST criteria in predicting MPR preoperatively in neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy for stage II-III NSCLC.

Clinical relevance statement

Delta-radiomics features based on the relative net change of radiomics features between baseline and preoperative CT scans serve a vital support tool in accurately identifying responses to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy, which can help physicians make more appropriate treatment decisions.

Key Points

• The performances of pre-treatment radiomics model and iRECIST model in predicting major pathological response of neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy were unsatisfactory.

• The delta-radiomics features based on relative net change of radiomics features between baseline and preoperative CT scans may be used as a noninvasive biomarker for predicting major pathological response of neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy.

• Combining delta-radiomics features and iRECIST can further improve the predictive performance of responses to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy.

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Abbreviations

AUC:

Area under the curve

CR:

Complete response

CT:

Computed tomography

IASLC:

International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer

ICC:

Intraclass correlation coefficient

ICIs:

Immune checkpoint inhibitors

irAEs:

Immune-related adverse events

iRECIST:

Immune-Related Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors

LASSO:

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator

LR:

Logistic regression

LUAD:

Lung adenocarcinoma

MPR:

Major pathologic response

NSCLC:

Non-small cell lung carcinoma

PD:

Progressive disease

PR:

Partial response

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic

ROIs:

Regions of interest

SD:

Stable disease

TNM:

Tumor node metastasis

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank all colleagues for helping us during the current study.

We thank the patients and their families, and the participating study teams for making this study possible.

HSS, JF, and YDL did the conception and design of the study and the acquisition of data. XYH, YW, CYD, JL, XJ, KLZ, YML, JL, RY, ZC, and JG did analysis and interpretation of the data. XYH and MLW draft the article. All authors did final approval of the version to be submitted.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers: 82071921).

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Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Yongde Liao, Jun Fan or Heshui Shi.

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Guarantor

The scientific guarantor of this publication is Heshui Shi.

Conflict of interest

Chengyu Ding is an employee of ShuKun (BeiJing) Technology Co., Ltd.. The rest of the authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies, whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.

Statistics and biometry

No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.

Informed consent

Written informed consent was waived by the institutional review board.

Ethical approval

This retrospective study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Wuhan Union Hospital (0648–01).

Study subjects or cohorts overlap

No study subjects or cohorts have been previously reported in other places.

Methodology

• Retrospective

• Diagnostic or prognostic study

• Multicentre study

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Han, X., Wang, M., Zheng, Y. et al. Delta-radiomics features for predicting the major pathological response to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer. Eur Radiol 34, 2716–2726 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-023-10241-x

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