Sex and survival outcomes in patients with renal cell carcinoma receiving first-line immune-based combinations

Background There is an ongoing debate as to whether sex could be associated with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) benefit. Existing literature data reveal contradictory results, and data on first-line immune combinations are lacking. Method This was a real-world, multicenter, international, observational study to determine the sex effects on the clinical outcomes in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients treated with immuno-oncology combinations as first-line therapy. Results A total of 1827 mRCC patients from 71 cancer centers in 21 countries were included. The median OS was 38.7 months (95% CI 32.7–44.2) in the overall study population: 40.0 months (95% CI 32.7–51.6) in males and 38.7 months (95% CI 26.4–41.0) in females (p = 0.202). The median OS was higher in males vs. females in patients aged 18-49y (36.9 months, 95% CI 29.0–51.6, vs. 24.8 months, 95% CI 16.8–40.4, p = 0.426, with + 19% of 2y-OS rate, 72% vs. 53%, p = 0.006), in the clear cell histology subgroup (44.2 months, 95% CI 35.8–55.7, vs. 38.7 months, 95% CI 26.0–41.0, p = 0.047), and in patients with sarcomatoid differentiation (34.4 months, 95% CI 26.4–59.0, vs. 15.3 months, 95% CI 8.9–41.0, p < 0.001). Sex female was an independent negative prognostic factor in the sarcomatoid population (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.15 − 2.57, p = 0.008). Conclusions Although the female’s innate and adaptive immunity has been observed to be more active than the male’s, women in the subgroup of clear cell histology, sarcomatoid differentiation, and those under 50 years of age showed shorter OS than males. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00262-024-03719-0.

Although immune-based therapies have clearly extended patient survival, the immunotherapy benefit and response rate are variable, and extensive efforts have been undertaken to identify robust biomarkers or clinical factors for optimal patient selection [8].Biological factors, specific for certain individuals, have a clear effect on the variation in immunotherapy response.
Currently, there is an ongoing debate as to whether sex could be associated with ICI benefit [9].Sex-based differences are involved in immune profiles [10], but it is unclear whether these differences play a role in immunotherapy benefit.

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Existing literature data reveal contradictory results.Conforti et al. reported in a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials that male cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) derived greater efficacy than female patients [11].Conversely, others following data found no difference in overall survival (OS) from ICIs when comparing the efficacy of these treatments between males and females [12,13].A retrospective analysis performed in patients with metastatic RCC (mRCC) revealed no difference between nivolumab and everolimus among the two sexes, although the small sample size limits clear conclusions [14].The CheckMate-214 trial on nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus sunitinib in the first-line treatment of intermediate/poor-risk mRCC patients showed a wider OS advantage from ICI-combination among females (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.34-0.78)compared to males (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.55-0.92)[2], while inconsistent conclusions derived in mRCC population from a following meta-analysis [15].
Nevertheless, the existence of sexual dimorphism in immunological responses is supported by several observations, from the evidence of sex-associated molecular mechanisms to the reports on specific immune features potentially altering treatment responsiveness [16,17].In a comprehensive analysis of molecular biomarkers from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), sex-associated divergent patterns were observed in RCC.The higher mutation rate for the PBRM1 gene was in male clear cell RCC (ccRCC) patients and higher tumor mutation burden (TMB) and cytolytic activity (CYT) of T cells in males with renal papillary cell carcinoma.In the same research, sex-based differences were also in multiple immune features, including immune checkpoints (e.g., CD28 and CD86) and immune cell populations (e.g., active CD4 + T cells) [17].
In addition to these elements, which highlight the importance of molecular profiling and immune components for the ICI response, sex imbalance includes predominance and age selectivity for women in Xp11.2 translocation RCC [18] as well as the known differences in environmental stressors and lifestyle or behavior, disparities in body mass index (BMI) and comorbidities, sex hormone modulation with updated data on hormone changes during immunotherapy, and an increased emphasis on epigenetic influence [19][20][21][22].
The ARON-1 study (ClinicalTrials.govidentifier NCT05287464) was a multicenter, international, retrospective study to collect real-world data on clinical outcomes of metastatic RCC patients treated with immuno-oncology combinations as first-line therapy [23,24].In the current manuscript, we present the results from the analysis focused on the impact of sex on immune-based combinations effectiveness, stratified by ICI plus ICI, or ICI plus antiangiogenic agent.

Study design and population
The study population included patients diagnosed at age ≥ 18 years with RCC and radiologically confirmed metastatic disease, treated from January 1st, 2016, to October 1st, 2023, in 71 cancer centers in 21 countries (Table S1).All included patients had known data on age, sex, tumor histology, prognostic risk group according to the International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (IMDC) criteria, previous nephrectomy, sites of metastases, type of immunocombination, durations and response to therapy according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors 1.1 (RECIST 1.1) measured by investigators in each center.Pre-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and body mass index (BMI) were also collected.The NLR was recorded from the routinely performed blood cell count, as the absolute count of neutrophils divided by the absolute count of lymphocytes from peripheral blood samples collected at baseline.BMI was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared.Normal weight (BMI = 18.5-24.9kg/m 2 ), overweight (BMI = 25-29.9kg/m2), and obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) were classified based on the World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations.
Clinical data were retrospectively and locally extracted, at each participating center, from the patients' medical records.The pathological information was abstracted from pathology reports for clinical use.First-line therapy was continued until the evidence of clinical and/or radiological tumor progression, unacceptable toxicities as per clinical local practice, or death.Computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, and laboratory tests were performed following standard local procedures.
Patients with lacking the above-mentioned information were excluded from the ARON-1 study.
The study was conducted according to Good Clinical Practice (GCP) and has been designed with the ethical principles laid down in the Declaration of Helsinki on human experimentation.The study protocol was approved by the Ethical Committee of the coordinating center (Marche Region-2021-492, Study Protocol "ARON 1 Project") and by the Institutional Review Boards of international participating centers.

Study objectives
Our primary objective was to assess OS of metastatic patients treated with first-line immune combinations according to the patient's sex.Secondary objectives were the comparison of the tumor response [progression disease (PD), stable disease (SD), partial response (PR), complete response (CR)], objective response rate (ORR), to first-line treatment, between female and male patients.OS was calculated from the start of treatment to death for any cause.Patients without a tumor progression to the following line of treatment or death or lost at follow-up at the time of analysis were censored at their last follow-up date.Adverse events, dose reductions, and treatment interruptions were also collected.

Statistical considerations
The comparison between subgroups was performed with the chi-square test.The best cut-off for the number of metastatic sites was calculated by ROC curve and resulted > 2. For BMI and NLR, the best cut-offs calculated by ROC curves were ≥ 25 and ≥ 4.
OS was calculated from the time of the start of first-line therapy until death.Progression-free survival (PFS) was calculated as the time from the start of first-line therapy to documented disease progression or death from any cause, whichever occurred first.Patients without disease progression or death or lost at follow-up at the time of the analysis were censored at the last follow-up visit.The analysis of OS between groups was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.To identify independent prognostic factors for OS, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed.The list of variables included sex, age, BMI, nephrectomy, sarcomatoid differentiation, IMDC group, number and type of metastatic sites.
The chi-square test was used to compare groups for categorical variables.P values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.Statistical analyses were conducted using MedCalc version 19.6.4 (MedCalc Software, Broekstraat 52, 9030 Mariakerke, Belgium).
Six hundred and two patients (33%) received second-line therapies, 32% of males and 35% of females, respectively.The complete list of second-line treatments is reported in Table 2.

Severe adverse events, dose reductions, and treatment interruptions
Data on severe adverse events (SAEs) (Grade 3-4) were available for 1493 patients from the ARON-1 dataset and are illustrated in Table S6; SAEs were reported in 32% of males and 35% of females (Table S6).
The proportion of adverse events was higher in females than in males with BMI < 25 kg/m 2 (female-to-male ratio, FMR: 1.6).The FMR was 3.0 for hypothyroidism and 1.5 for diarrhea.In patients treated with the IO + IO combination, the FMR was 1.1, being 1.9 in the BMI < 25 kg/m 2 subgroup and 1.6 for ICI interruptions.On the other hand, patients treated with IO + TKI combinations showed a FMR of 1.2.The proportion of hypothyroidism (FMR = 2.5), diarrhea (FMR = 2.0), and hypertension (FMR = 1.5) were higher in females, who were also characterized by a higher proportion of TKI interruptions (FMR = 1.2).

Univariate and multivariate analyses
In patients with sarcomatoid differentiation, at univariate analysis, sex, age, nephrectomy status, IMDC group, bone and liver metastases were significantly associated with OS.In multivariate analysis, only the nephrectomy status did not confirm their prognostic role (Table 3).
In the clear cell histology subgroup, at univariate analysis, sex, age, BMI, nephrectomy status, sarcomatoid differentiation, IMDC group, number of metastatic sites, lymph node, bone, liver and brain metastases were significantly associated with OS.In multivariate analysis, age, nephrectomy status, sarcomatoid differentiation, IMDC group, bone, liver and brain metastases confirm their prognostic role (Table S2).
In the non-clear cell histology subgroup, at univariate analysis, sex, age, BMI, nephrectomy status, sarcomatoid differentiation, IMDC group, number of metastatic sites, lymph node, bone, liver and brain metastases were significantly associated with OS.In multivariate analysis, age, nephrectomy status, sarcomatoid differentiation, IMDC group, bone, liver and brain metastases confirm their prognostic role (Table S3).
Univariate and multivariate analyses in the overall population and patients under 50 years of age are presented in Tables S4 and S5, respectively.

Discussion
Sex is a known factor that influences cancer occurrence, progression, and prognosis [25,26].Sex differences are observed in the innate and adaptive immune escape mechanisms.Female seems to have a more efficient and stronger immune response than males, representing most cases of autoimmune disease, just as women infected with HIV have a lower viral load than men [27,28].The underlying biological, hormonal, and metabolic mechanisms explaining these findings might be also involved in sexspecific differences in immunotherapy response.
Previous research showed that mRCC female patients treated with ICI in the US in 2015-2016, i.e., before approval of immune-based combinations, had an increased risk of death than male patients (HR: 1.12, p = 0.004) [29].Otherwise, a meta-analysis that included three trials with immune checkpoint inhibitor combination therapies in the first-line setting and one trial with ICI in the second-line did not demonstrate any difference in survival between males and females [30].To date, real-world data on the possible association between sex and oncological outcomes in patients treated with first-line immune-based combinations are lacking.With this goal, we performed a sub-analysis of the international, real-world, ARON-1 study, which included 1827 patients treated with IO + IO vs. IO + TKI in 71 cancer centers in 21 countries.
For the entire cohort, we did not demonstrate the difference in OS and ORR between the sexes.Interestingly, we observed that among patients with clear cell histology, sarcomatoid differentiation, or < 50 years of age, the females showed lower OS than males.Specifically, the 2y-OS rate was 19% higher for male patients aged 18-49y (males vs. females, 72% vs. 53%, p = 0.006).Our results do not confirm previous data on localized disease showing a reduced risk of death in female RCC patients with < 59 years [31].
Recent OS results from the third prespecified interim analysis of Phase 3 KEYNOTE-564 study showed OS benefit for the adjuvant pembrolizumab vs. placebo for the treatment of clear cell RCC.Interestingly, greater OS benefit was for males [HR (95% CI), female vs. male: HR 1.08 (0.57-2.04) vs. 0.50 (0.33-0.75), respectively] and patients under 65 years of age [32].At multivariate analyses, the negative impact of female sex on OS was maintained only in patients with sarcomatoid histology.These data are consistent with our previous work including patients with sarcomatoid histology treated with cabozantinib in advanced treatment lines [33] and suggest sex female as a prognostic negative factor irrespective to treatment administered.
One reason for these findings could be the sex hormoneassociated immunomodulation of the RCC tumor microenvironment (TME) [34,35].Recent research using single-cell RNA sequencing data showed that RCC TME of males had a higher level of CD8 + T-cell infiltration than females, but were mostly exhausted CD8 + T-cells, where the exhausted state was induced by androgen [36].This androgen-mediated immune dysfunction in male RCC patients could play a key role in the ICI response; the PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors, through the hormonal effects on the PD-1/PD-L1 pathway and the reinvigoration of T-cell activities, could make the tumors markedly more responsive to immunotherapy [36].
Sex hormones can also shape the interaction between the immune system and genes, extending their influence at the epigenetic level [37].In RCC, sex-specific mutation spectra emerged and involved mutations of X chromosome encoded genes, such as KDM5C, and chromatin remodeling genes with epigenetic effects, such as BAP1.A mutation sequencing study on clear cell RCC identified a significantly increased mutation rate of KDM5C in male and BAP1 in female patients [38].Interestingly, mutations of BAP1 gene were previously associated with poorer prognosis in RCC, highlighting potential implications of genetic and epigenetic events in the sex-related disparities of the clinical outcome [30].
Sex hormones, in particular androgens, seem to have a critical influence also on the gut microbiota composition [16].In mouse model, the sex differences in gut microbiota started with puberty, and upon castration, the gut microbiota of the male was similar to the female [39].Early life microbial exposures determined sex hormone levels and the transfer of gut microbiota from male to female resulted in increased female testosterone, reduced autoimmunity, and metabolic variations [40].Although hormones and genes are the most well-characterized factors mediating the sex differences in immune responses, lifestyle and other environmental variables can also contribute to differential modulation of the immune system between the sexes.A sex dimorphism is reported in many health-related behaviors, such as diet, physical activities, or alcohol consumption.These factors, which further affect the patient's immune status and immune surveillance, are extremely difficult to measure and reflect the complex interactions among environmental, biological and immunological elements, that require a deeper understanding and future efforts to explain sex and gender disparities in anti-cancer immune response and cancer immunotherapy efficacy [41].The type of systemic treatment in our study cohort follows the available standard of care for mRCC, with the majority of patients having received IO + TKI equally between the genders.There was no difference in OS according to the type of immune-based combination; however, numerically, the ORR was higher in female patients treated with IO + IO and in male patients treated with IO + TKI.
According to previous data on different cancer types treated with ICI, showing that female patients have an increased risk of severe adverse events than male patients [42], the proportion of severe adverse events such as hypothyroidism, diarrhea, and hypertension, as well as treatment interruptions, were higher in women treated with IO + TKI.The greater risk for autoimmunity and severe side effects appear paradoxically conflicting with the less favorable immunotherapeutic response.The highest incidence in females of autoimmune diseases and SAEs may be partly explained by the localization of specific genes and micro-RNAs to the X-chromosome and by escape from physiological X-chromosome inactivation in immune cells in women [43].At the same time, sex hormonedependent differences affect the immune cell numbers, composition and ratio.Thus, younger females, compared to older females and males, tend to have cold and immuneinfiltrated tumors, but with higher expression of inhibitory immune checkpoints, higher density of immune-suppressive cells including regulatory T cells (T-Reg), and tumor neoantigens less visible to the immune system, ultimately less responsive when stimulated by ICI [16,44,45].
It is important to underline that, in our study, only 26% of patients were female.This imbalance in gender representation is similar to that reported by the Checkmate-214 trial and it is in line with less than 30% of female patients included in the Keynote-426, Checkmate-9ER, and CLEAR trials [5][6][7].Despite the incidence ratio of RCC in males to females of 2:1 [46] and the implemented cancer clinical trials in the last 20 years, the issue of underrepresentation of female patients remains to be addressed [47].Considering the gender differences in the immune system, behaviors, and lifestyle, as well as the heterogeneity of efficacy and outcomes with ICI treatment [48], specific measures such as stratifying patients by gender should be promptly applied in clinical trials [49].
The current study has several strengths, including the large sample size.To our knowledge, it is the first real-world study that investigates the influence of sex on first-line immune combinations and that showed the female sex as a negative prognostic factor in patients with sarcomatoid histology.
We acknowledge some limitations of our study.First, the retrospective data analysis and, consequently, the lack of a central radiological review to confirm response and/ or progression, and to assess the ORR.Second, data on other environmental factors or molecular and epigenetic events, still not fully understood, could act as modifiers on TME, further influencing the response to immune-based combinations.A further understanding of sex differences in epidemiology, biology, and treatment outcomes will help to personalize the therapeutic choices for the mRCC patients.

Conclusion
Although the female's innate and adaptive immunity has been observed to be more active than the male's, our realworld evidence on mRCC patients treated with immunebased combinations in first-line setting did not demonstrate a difference in OS and ORR in the overall population.However, women in the subgroup of clear cell histology, sarcomatoid differentiation, and those under 50 years of age showed shorter OS than males.Female sex was an independent negative prognostic factor in the sarcomatoid histology population.A further understanding is required to better clinically address these differences.

Lorena
Incorvaia and Fernando Sabino Marques Monteiro have contributed equally.Sebastiano Buti and Matteo Santoni are the Senior authors.

Fig. 1
Fig. 1 Overall Survival by gender in the ARON-1 study population and stratified by tumor histology and presence of sarcomatoid differentiation