Abstract
Understanding how the UAE K12 education system performs with data-driven evidence is key to inform better policy making to support UAE vision to upskill human capital growth for its economic transformation. In this study, we investigate the potential of using machine learning techniques to understand key learning factors contributing to UAE student math performance on the TIMSS 2019 assessment. Due to the fact that learning factors co-exist and interact with one another, we explore the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) approach to explain the complexity of the model. The results highlight the importance and contributions of each learning factor and uncover the relationships between the learning factors. Understanding key learning factors and identifying evidence-based intervention opportunities will help policymakers with informed education intervention designs to improve student mathematics learning, in order to improve UAE student TIMSS math performance over the long run.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
Retrieved from the TIMSS 2019 International Database Downloads, https://timss2019.org/international-database/.
References
Hanushek, E.A., Woessmann, L.: Education, knowledge capital, and economic growth. Econ. Educ. 171–182 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-815391-8.00014-8
Hanushek, E.A., Woessmann, L.: How much do educational outcomes matter in OECD countries? Econ. Policy 26(67), 427–491 (2011)
Ibourk, A.: Determinants of educational achievement in Morocco: a micro-econometric analysis applied to the TIMSS study. Int. Educ. Stud. 6(12), 25–36 (2013)
Sandoval-Hernández, A., Białowolski, P.: Factors and conditions promoting academic resilience: a TIMSS-based analysis of five Asian education systems. Asia Pac. Educ. Rev. 17(3), 511–520 (2016)
Sulku, S.N., Abdioglu, Z.: Public and private school distinction, regional development differences, and other factors influencing the success of primary school students in Turkey. Educ. Sci.: Theory Pract. 15(2), 419–31 (2015)
Suri, T., Boozer, M.A., Ranis, G., Stewart, F.: Paths to success: the relationship between human development and economic growth. World Dev. 39(4), 506–522 (2011)
Drent, M., Meelissen, M.R.M., van der Kleij, F.M.: The contribution of TIMSS to the link between school and classroom factors and student achievement. J. Curric. Stud. 45(2), 198–224 (2013)
Bofah, E.A., Hannula, M.S.: TIMSS data in an African comparative perspective: investigating the factors influencing achievement in mathematics and their psychometric properties. Large-Scale Assess. Educ. 3(1), 1–36 (2015)
Filiz, E., Enes, Öz.: Educational data mining methods for TIMSS 2015 mathematics success: Turkey case. Sigma J. Eng. Nat. Sci. 38(2), 963–77 (2020)
Kwak, Y.: An analysis of the Korean science education environment for 20 years of TIMSS. J. Korean Earth Sci. Soc. 39(4), 378–387 (2018)
Cardoso, A.P., Ferreira, M., Abrantes, J.L., Seabra, C., Costa, C.: Personal and pedagogical interaction factors as determinants of academic achievement. Procedia-Soc. Behav. Sci. 29, 1596–1605 (2011)
DeFreitas, K., Bernard, M.: Comparative performance analysis of clustering techniques in educational data mining. IADIS Int. J. Comput. Sci. Inf. Syst. 10(2) (2015)
Martinez Abad, F., Chaparro Caso López, A.A.: Data-mining techniques in detecting factors linked to academic achievement. School Eff. School Improv. 28(1), 39–55 (2017)
UAE Vision 2021. First-Rate Education System (2019). https://www.vision2021.ae/en/national-agenda-2021/list/first-rate-circle
Mullis, I.V.S., Martin, M.O. (eds.): TIMSS 2019 Assessment Frameworks. Boston College, TIMSS & PIRLS International Study Center (2017). http://timssandpirls.bc.edu/timss2019/frameworks/
Baradwaj, B.K., Pal, S.: Mining Educational Data to Analyze Students’ Performance (2012). ArXiv:1201.3417
Ifenthaler, D., Yau, J.-K.: Utilizing learning analytics to support study success in higher education: a systematic review. Educ. Tech. Res. Dev. 68(4), 1961–1990 (2020)
Kiray, S.A., Gok, B., Selman Bozkir, A.: Identifying the factors affecting science and mathematics achievement using data mining methods. J. Educ. Sci. Environ. Health 1(1), 28–48 (2015)
Lee, J., Shute, V.J.: Personal and social-contextual factors in K–12 academic performance: an integrative perspective on student learning. Educ. Psychol. 45(3), 185–202 (2010)
Akessa, G.M., Dhufera, A.G.: Factors that influences students’ academic performance: a case of Rift Valley University, Jimma, Ethiopia. J. Educ. Pract. 6(22), 55–63 (2015)
Kabakchieva, D.: Predicting student performance by using data mining methods for classification. Cybern. Inf. Technol. 13(1), 61–72 (2013)
Lau, E.T., Sun, L., Yang, Q.: Modeling, prediction and classification of student academic performance using artificial neural networks. SN Appl. Sci. 1(9), 1–10 (2019)
Liem, G.A.D., Martin, A.J., Porter, A.L., Colmar, S.: Sociocultural antecedents of academic motivation and achievement: role of values and achievement motives in achievement goals and academic performance. Asian J. Soc. Psychol. 15(1), 1–13 (2012)
Schumacher, P., Olinsky, A., Quinn, J., Smith, R.: A comparison of logistic regression, neural networks, and classification trees predicting success of actuarial students. J. Educ. Bus. 85(5), 258–263 (2010)
Bahadır, E.: Using neural network and logistic regression analysis to predict prospective mathematics teachers’ academic success upon entering graduate education. Kuram ve Uygulamada Egitim Bilimleri 16(3), 943–964 (2016). https://doi.org/10.12738/estp.2016.3.0214
De Witte, K., Kortelainen, M.: What explains the performance of students in a heterogeneous environment? Conditional efficiency estimation with continuous and discrete environmental variables. Appl. Econ. 45(17), 2401–2412 (2013)
Nath, S.R.: Factors influencing primary students’ learning achievement in Bangladesh. Res. Educ. 88(1), 50–63 (2012)
Mohtar, L.E., Halim, L., Samsudin, M.A., Ismail, M.E.: Non-cognitive factors influencing science achievement in Malaysia and Japan: an analysis of TIMSS 2015. EURASIA J. Math. Sci. Technol. Educ. 15(4), 1697 (2019)
Pérez, P.M., Castejón Costa, J.-L., Corbi, R.G.: An explanatory model of academic achievement based on aptitudes, goal orientations, self-concept and learning strategies. Span. J. Psychol. 15(1), 48–60 (2012)
Yoo, J.E., Rho, M.: TIMSS 2015 Korean student, teacher, and school predictor exploration and identification via random forests. SNU J. Educ. Res. 26(4), 43–61 (2017). https://s-space.snu.ac.kr/bitstream/10371/168474/1/26(4)_03.pdf. Accessed 30 March 2022
Mohammadpour, E., Shekarchizadeh, A., Kalantarrashidi, S.A.: Multilevel modeling of science achievement in the TIMSS participating countries. J. Educ. Res. 108(6), 449–464 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1080/00220671.2014.917254
Bernardo, A.B., Cordel, M.O., Lucas, R.I., Teves, J.M., Yap, S.A., Chua, U.C.: Using machine learning approaches to explore non-cognitive variables influencing reading proficiency in English among Filipino learners. Educ. Sci. 11(10), 628 (2021). https://doi.org/10.3390/educsci11100628
Nadaf, A., Eliëns, S., & Miao, X.: Interpretable-machine-learning evidence for importance and optimum of learning time. Int. J. Inf. Educ. Technol. 11(10), 444–449 (2021). https://doi.org/10.18178/ijiet.2021.11.10.1548
Lundberg, S., Lee, S.-I.: A unified approach to interpreting model predictions. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 30, 4765–4774 (2017)
Lundberg, S.M., Erion, G.G., Lee, S.-I.: Consistent Individualized Feature Attribution for Tree Ensembles (2019). ArXiv:180203888 Cs Stat
Lundberg, S.M., Erion, G., Chen, H., DeGrave, A., Prutkin, J.M., Nair, B., Katz, R., Himmelfarb, J., Bansal, N., Lee, S.-I.: From local explanations to global understanding with explainable AI for trees. Nat. Mach. Intell. 2 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-019-0138-9. https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10167481
Fishbein, B., Foy, P., Yin, L.: TIMSS 2019 User Guide for the International Database, 2nd ed. Boston College, TIMSS & PIRLS International Study Center (2021). https://timssandpirls.bc.edu/timss2019/international-database/
Martin, M.O., von Davier, M., Mullis, I.V.: Methods and Procedures: TIMSS 2019 Technical Report. International Association for the Evaluation of Educational Achievement (2020)
CatBoost.: github.com/catboost/catboost (2020). [Online]. https://github.com/catboost/catboost
Hair, J.F., Ringle, C.M., Sarstedt, M.: PLS-SEM: indeed a silver bullet. J. Mark. Theory and Pract. 19(2), 139–152 (2011). https://ssrn.com/abstract=1954735
Teo, T.W., Choy, B.H.: In: Tan, O.S., Low, E.L., Tay, E.G., Yan, Y.K. (eds.) Singapore Math and Science Education Innovation. ETLPPSIP, vol. 1, pp. 43–59. Springer, Singapore (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-1357-9_3
OECD: Early learning matters, the international early learning and child well-being study (2018)
OECD: Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives: A Strategic Approach to Education and Skills Policies for the United Arab Emirates (2015). https://www.oecd.org/education/A-Strategic-Approach-to-Education-and%20Skills-Policies-for-the-United-Arab-Emirates.pdf
City, E.A., Elmore, R.F., Fiarman, S.E., Teitel, L.: A Network Approach to Improving Teaching and Learning. Harvard Education Press, Cambridge (2009)
McCombs, B.L.: The role of the self-system in self-regulated learning. Contemp. Educ. Psychol. 11, 314–332 (1986)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Nadaf, A., Monroe, S., Chandran, S., Miao, X. (2023). Learning Factors for TIMSS Math Performance Evidenced Through Machine Learning in the UAE. In: Cheng, E.C.K., Wang, T., Schlippe, T., Beligiannis, G.N. (eds) Artificial Intelligence in Education Technologies: New Development and Innovative Practices. AIET 2022. Lecture Notes on Data Engineering and Communications Technologies, vol 154. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-8040-4_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-8040-4_4
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-19-8039-8
Online ISBN: 978-981-19-8040-4
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)