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Prediction of COVID-19 Outbreak with Current Substantiation Using Machine Learning Algorithms

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Intelligent Interactive Multimedia Systems for e-Healthcare Applications

Abstract

Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is a novel disease that originated from the SARS-CoV-2 virus. COVID-19 is a worldwide pandemic that has affected a multitude of people all over the world. It affects humans in multiple ways such as difficulty in breathing (trouble in respiratory syndrome), fever, cold and dry cough. This has affected numerous people throughout the world. In India, there are numerous COVID-19 cases and the number is rapidly increasing. There is no exact vaccination and medical treatment for those presently affected. According to the current government report, all states in India are involved in the stepping up phase. Especially now a day’s, in rural areas in states much more people are affected because of lack of knowledge of how to handle the pandemic. This chapter proposes machine learning (ML) algorithms to help predict the current perspective of the COVID-19 in Virudhunagar district. The algorithms classify the COVID-19 affected regions into various zones such as: danger, moderate, and safe zone respectively. In addition, we propose a system to predict COVID-19 affected zones using the covid-19 dataset of Virudhunagar district from the period of March to July 2020. The deep learning algorithm efficiently predicts the zones with an accuracy of 98.06%, less error rate of 1.94% when compared with the C5.0 algorithm accuracy of 95.92% and error rate of 4.08%. By using the proposed system, health departments can predict the danger zones swiftly and act promptly to prevent infection in various states.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to show gratitude to the management of Kalasalingam Academy of Research and Education for providing the fellowship to carry out this research work. We are also thankful to our alumni student Arun Pandian, who provided the real-time covid-19 dataset for Virudhunagar district.

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Correspondence to R. Ramalakshmi .

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Indumathi, N., Shanmuga Eswari, M., Salau, A.O., Ramalakshmi, R., Revathy, R. (2022). Prediction of COVID-19 Outbreak with Current Substantiation Using Machine Learning Algorithms. In: Tyagi, A.K., Abraham, A., Kaklauskas, A. (eds) Intelligent Interactive Multimedia Systems for e-Healthcare Applications. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-6542-4_10

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