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Predicting Urban Heat Island Mitigation with Random Forest Regression in Belgian Cities

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Intelligence for Future Cities (CUPUM 2023)

Abstract

An abundance of impervious surfaces like building roofs in densely populated cities make green roofs a suitable solution for urban heat island (UHI) mitigation. Therefore, we employ random forest (RF) regression to predict the impact of green roofs on the surface UHI (SUHI) in Liege, Belgium. While there have been several studies identifying the impact of green roofs on UHI, fewer studies utilize a remote-sensing-based approach to measure impact on Land Surface Temperatures (LST) that are used to estimate SUHI. Moreover, the RF algorithm, can provide useful insights. In this study, we use LST obtained from Landsat-8 imagery and relate it to 2D and 3D morphological parameters that influence LST and UHI effects. Additionally, we utilise parameters that influence wind (e.g., frontal area index). We simulate the green roofs by assigning suitable values of normalised difference-vegetation index and built-up index to the buildings with flat roofs. Results suggest that green roofs decrease the average LST.

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Correspondence to Mitali Yeshwant Joshi .

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© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

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Joshi, M.Y., Aliaga, D.G., Teller, J. (2023). Predicting Urban Heat Island Mitigation with Random Forest Regression in Belgian Cities. In: Goodspeed, R., Sengupta, R., Kyttä, M., Pettit, C. (eds) Intelligence for Future Cities. CUPUM 2023. The Urban Book Series. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-31746-0_16

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-31746-0_16

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-31745-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-31746-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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