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An analysis of working capital efficiency and shareholder return

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Abstract

Since 1997, CFO Magazine has published a ranking of 1000 companies in its “Working Capital Scorecard.” Our research explores the question as to whether working capital management practices based on the accounting metrics used by CFO Magazine serve as a basis for investor-based strategies for superior return generation. We examine the stock performance of top ranked companies from 1997 to 2012 against benchmark portfolios. Controlling for market, market capitalization, book to market, momentum factors, liquidity factors, and corporate governance; the higher ranked firms produce statistically higher excess returns than bottom ranked firms. In bull market periods, firms with superior working capital management outperformed their counterparts on a raw and risk-adjusted basis. These top ranked firms also provide statistically significant active returns regardless of market cycle. In sum, our results indicate that shareholders reward firms with superior working capital management strategies with higher raw and risk-adjusted performance over longer holding periods across the economic cycle especially in bear markets cycles.

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Notes

  1. Due to the data limitations and availability from Research Insight®, the measures that we calculate are slightly different from the results calculated from REL Research.

  2. We run both the t test and nonparametric tests on the working capital measures between top rank 25 sample and bottom rank 25 sample, and the results show that top rank 25 sample has statistically (at least 1 % level) better working capital measures in all cases. The results are omitted for brevity.

  3. According to CFO Magazine, the publication dates are the first day of the month in which the survey appears: June for 1997, 2009, 2010; July for 1998, 1999, 2001, 2007, 2011; August for 2000, 2002, 2012; and September for 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2008.

  4. For 2012, we hold the portfolio until December 31, 2012, due to the return data availability from CRSP.

  5. CFO Magazine has a different classification of the industry as the standard industry code (SIC). For example, Aerospace and Defense Industry includes companies from 20 different 4-digit SIC codes. We use the industry definition of CFO Magazine to select matched sample.

  6. We further test whether the top rank 25 sample has statistically superior raw returns compared with the bottom rank 25 sample. The results are reported in Table 5.

  7. Since the liquidity measures are highly skewed in our overall sample, we take log of these measures to calculate the correlations.

  8. Since the liquidity measures are highly skewed, we use cross-sectional medians instead of averages when reporting the descriptive statistics.

  9. The difference is statically significant at the 1 percent level.

  10. Due to data availability, we test the data for G-index for 1997–2006.

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Filbeck, G., Zhao, X. & Knoll, R. An analysis of working capital efficiency and shareholder return. Rev Quant Finan Acc 48, 265–288 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-015-0550-0

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