Abstract
A reliable series of statistics is the basis for any analysis within the forest industry sector. A dependable set of statistics is equally important for short-term developmental measures as well as long-term forecasting of the forest industry. The fact that international trade in wood products is increasingly interdependent on trading partners suggests that trade analysis can no longer rely on established national statistics, but need to be framed within the context of worldwide statistics. This article reflects the distortion in trade data, when analysis is simply based on national statistics, without any reference to the international trade statistics. Such trade data are often the source of inappropriate trade and industrial policies that explain the slow growth of the value-added wood products manufacturing sectors throughout Southeast Asia.
Zusammenfassung
Zuverlässige Statistiken sind die Grundlage für jede Berechnung in der holzverarbeitenden Industrie. Verlässliche Zahlen sind ebenso unerlässlich für kurzfristige Entwicklungsmaßnahmen, als auch für langfristige Vorhersagen. Die Tatsache, dass der internationale Handel mit Holzprodukten zunehmend von gegenseitiger Abhängigkeit seiner Handelspartner geprägt ist, legt es nahe, dass Handelsanalysen sich nicht länger nur auf nationale Zahlen stützen dürfen, sondern auf Statistiken weltweit fußen müssen. Die vorliegende Arbeit gibt die Verzerrung von Handelsdaten wieder, welche entsteht, wenn Berechnungen nur Statistiken nationaler Ebene in Betracht ziehen, und der Bezug zu internationalen Zahlen außer Acht gelassen wird. Solche Daten sind vielfach die Ursache unangemessener Handels- und Herstellungsstrategie, wodurch sich das langsame Wachstum im Bereich der industriellen Herstellung hochwertiger Holzprodukte im gesamten Süd–Ost asiatischen Raum erklärt.
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Ratnasingam, J., Ioras, F. The Asian furniture industry: the reality behind the statistics. Holz Roh Werkst 63, 64–67 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00107-004-0536-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00107-004-0536-4