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Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models

  • Book
  • © 1986

Overview

Editors:
  1. Andrew M. Isserman

    1. West Virginia University, USA

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Table of contents (11 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xvii
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  2. Economic Determinants of Fertility and Migration Rates

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
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    2. Forecasting Birth and Migration Rates: The Theoretical Foundation

      • Andrew Isserman
      Pages 3-30

    3. Forecasting Regional Births: An Economic-Demographic Approach

      • Dennis Ahlburg
      Pages 31-51

    4. Forecasting Interregional Migration: An Economic-Demographic Approach

      • Jacques Ledent
      Pages 53-77

  3. Regional Economic-Demographic Modeling

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 79-79
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    2. Economic-Demographic Interactions in the Growth of Texas

      • Thomas Plaut
      Pages 81-104

    3. An Econometric-Demographic Model of New York State

      • Carol Greenberg, Charles Renfro
      Pages 105-125

    4. The Effects of Refining Demographic-Economic Interactions in Regional Econometric Models

      • Carol Taylor
      Pages 127-155

  4. Interregional Economic-Demographic Modeling

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 157-157
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    2. Economic-Demographic Linkages in an Interregional Model

      • Walter Isard, Christine Smith
      Pages 159-175

    3. Multistate Demoeconomic Modeling and Projection

      • Andrei Rogers, Pamela Williams
      Pages 177-202

    4. The ECESIS Economic-Demographic Model of the United States

      • Paul Beaumont, Andrew Isserman, David McMillen, David Plane, Peter Rogerson
      Pages 203-238

  5. The Challenges Ahead

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 239-239
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    2. Regional Economic-Demographic Modeling: Progress and Prospects

      • Jeffrey Williamson
      Pages 241-260

    3. Intuition, Science, and the Application of Regional Models

      • William Alonso
      Pages 261-269
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Keywords

About this book

Population change and population forecasts are receiving considerable attention from governmental planners and policy-makers, as well as from the private sector. Old patterns of population redistribution, industrial location, labor-force participation, household formation, and fertility are changing. The resulting uncertainty has increased interest in forecasting because mere extrapolations of past trends are proving inadequate. In the United States of America popUlation forecasts received even more attention after federal agencies began distributing funds for capital infrastructure to state and local governments on the basis of projected future populations. If the national government had based those funding decisions on locally prepared projections, the optimism of local officials would have resulted in billions of dollars worth of excess capacity in sewage treatment plants alone. Cabinet-level inquiries concluded that the U. S. Department of Commerce should (1) assume the responsibility for developing a single set of projections for use whenever future population was a consideration in federal spending decisions and (2) develop methods which incorporate both economic and demographic factors causing population change. Neither the projections prepared by economists at the Bureau of Economic Analysis nor those prepared by demographers at the Bureau of the Census were considered satisfactory because neither method adequately recognized the intertwined nature of demographic and economic change. Against this background, the American Statistical Association (ASA) and the U. S.

Editors and Affiliations

  • West Virginia University, USA

    Andrew M. Isserman

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models

  • Editors: Andrew M. Isserman

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-4980-5

  • Publisher: Springer Dordrecht

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing 1986

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-0-89838-140-5Published: 30 November 1985

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-94-010-8704-9Published: 22 November 2011

  • eBook ISBN: 978-94-009-4980-5Published: 06 December 2012

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XVIII, 269

  • Topics: Economics, general

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