Abstract
Ein bewährtes Rezept zur Bewältigung von Beschaffungsrisiken ist die Streuung von Lieferquellen – getreu dem Motto „nicht alles auf eine Karte zu setzen“. In diesem Artikel soll diese Logik der Diversifikation um einen wichtigen Aspekt bereichert werden: Die Diversifikation von Lieferquellen ist ein Schlüssel zur Schaffung von Beschaffungsflexibilität. Diese Flexibilität stellt Firmen eine Realoption zur Verfügung, die effektiv als Hedge gegen exogene Risiken „ausgeübt werden kann“. Auf Grundlage einer Monte Carlo Simulation wird der Wert unterschiedlicher Diversifikationsund operationeller Hedging-Strategien untersucht und quantifiziert. Es zeigt sich, dass flexible Beschaffungsstrategien für Unternehmen, die exogenen Beschaffungsrisiken ausgesetzt sind, ein leistungsfähiges Instrument des strategischen Risikomanagements darstellen. Das Zusammenspiel von Diversifikation und Flexibilität ist entscheidend. Das Vehikel dieser Studie, ein zweistufiges Entscheidungsmodell, ist bewusst einfach gehalten, um essentielle Effekte isolieren zu können.
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Sting, F., Braun, M., Huchzermeier, A. (2010). Simulationsstudie: Exogene Risiken in der Beschaffung – Zusammenspiel von Diversifikation und Flexibilität. In: Bogaschewsky, R., Eßig, M., Lasch, R., Stölzle, W. (eds) Supply Management Research. Gabler. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8833-1_6
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