Abstract
The strategic voting across families of various electoral systems is often depicted as “settling for lesser evil” (e.g. Cox in Making votes count. Strategic coordination in the world’s electoral systems. Cambridge University Press, New York, 1997; Gschwend 2004) in order to prevent the worst outcome of elections. In this paper we experimentally (13 sessions with 18–30 participants, 546 voting situations) explore the degree of strategic voting (as compared to non-voting) framed in situations with (non-compulsory) costly voting where voters face outcomes with positive and negative payoffs (“stopping the evil” framing) and/or with solely negative payoffs (“settling for lesser evil” framing). We explore voters’ decisions in rather complex environment of the two-round electoral system, with symmetric amount of private information about the preferences of electorate available to them and show that voters’ behavior does differ markedly in both the situations. The results have implications for the representation and democracy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Abramowitz, A.I.: Viability, electability, and candidate choice in a presidential primary election: a test of competing models. J. Polit. 51(4), 977–992 (1989)
Barry, B., Jones, P.E.: Strategic voting in the USA. In: Grofman, B., Blais, A., Bowler, S. (eds.) Duverger’s law of plurality voting: the logic of party competition in Canada, India, the United Kingdom, and the United States, pp. 47–64. Springer, New York (2009)
Battaglini, M., Morton, R., Palfrey, T.: Efficiency, equity, and timing of voting mechanisms. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 101(3), 409–424 (2007)
Blais, A.: To vote or not to vote. The merits and limits of rational choice theory. University of Pittsburgh Press, Pittsburgh (2001)
Blais, A., Gidengil, E., Nevitte, N.: Do polls influence the vote? In: Brady, H.E., Johnston, R. (eds.) Capturing Campaign Effects. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor (2006)
Blais, A., Laslier, J.-F., Laurent, A., Sauger, N., vd Straeten, K.: One-round vs two-round elections: an experimental study. Fr. Polit. 5, 278–286 (2007)
Blais, A., St-Vincent A., Laslier, J.-F., Sauger, N., vd Straeten, K.: Strategic vote choice in one round and two round elections: an experimental study. Polit. Res. Quart. 20, 637–646 (2011)
Blumenstiel, J.E.: Voter fragmentation and the differentiation of vote functions. In: Weßels, B., Rattinger, H., Rossteutscher, S., Schmitt-Beck, R. (eds.) Voters on the Move or on the Run?, pp. 17–39. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2014)
Blumenstiel, J.E., Plischke, T.: Changing motivations, time of the voting decision, and short-term volatility and the dynamics of voter heterogeneity. Elect. Stud. 37, 28–40 (2015)
Burlacu, D.E.: Do voters choose the lesser evil? How much do parties lose in corrupted countries? Working paper available at: http://www.elecdem.eu/media/universityofexeter/elecdem/pdfs/florence/Burlacu_Do_voters_choose_the_lesser_evil.pdf (2012)
Cox, G.W.: Making votes count. Strategic coordination in the world’s electoral systems. Cambridge University Press, New York (1997)
Deltas, G., Herrera, H., Pollborn, M.: Learning and coordination in the presidential primary system. Working Paper available at: http://works.bepress.com/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1017&context=polborn (2015)
Finkel, S.E., Muller, E.N., Opp, H.D.: Personal influence, collective rationality and mass political action. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 83, 885–903 (1989)
Fischbacher, U.: z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments. Exp. Econ. 10(2), 171–178 (2007)
Gregor, M., Hrbková, L.: Předvolební průzkumy. In: Šedo, J. (ed.) České prezidentské volby v roce 2013. Brno, Centrum pro studium demokracie a kultury (2014)
Gschwend, T.: Strategic voting in mixed-electoral systems. SFGElsevier, Reutlingen (2004)
Hahn, K., Iyengar, S.: Consumer demand for election news: the horserace sells. Paper Prepared for Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, 30 Aug 2002. Available at: http://pcl.stanford.edu/common/docs/research/iyengar/2002/APSA2002.pdf
Kacprzyk, J., Zadrozny, S., Nurmi, H., Fedrizzi, M.: On some voting paradoxes: a fuzzy preference and a fuzzy majority set. In: Ventre, A., Maturo, A., Hoskova-Mayerova, S., Kacprzyk, J. (eds.) Multicriteria and multiagent decision making with applications to economic and social sciences, pp. 219–236. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)
Kleinnienhuijs, J., Walter, A.S.: News, discussion and associative issue ownership. Harv. Int. J. Press/Polit. 19(2), 226–245 (2014)
Knight, B., Schiff, N.: Momentum and social learning in presidential primaries. J. Polit. Econ. 118, 1110–1150 (2010)
Matthews, S.J., Pickup, M., Cutler, F.: The mediated horserace: campaign polls and poll reporting. Can. J. Polit. Sci./Revue canadienne de science politique 45(2), 261–287 (2012)
Morton, R.B.: Analyzing elections. New institutionalism in American politics. W. W. Norton & Company, New York (2004)
Morton, R.B., Williams, K.: Learning by voting sequential choices in presidential primaries and other elections. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor (2001)
Morton, R.B., Müller, D., Page, L., Torgler, B.: Exit polls, turnout, and bandwagon voting: evidence from a natural experiment. Working paper available at: http://nyuad.nyu.edu/content/dam/nyuad/departments/research/documents/ssel/Rebecca_Morton/FrenchVoting_FINAL_EER_Version5_2015.pdf (2015)
Opp, K.D.: The rationality of political protest: a comparative analysis of rational choice theory. Westview Press, Boulder (1999)
Payne, J.M., Zovatto, G.D., Carrillo Florez, F., Allamand Zavala, A.: Democracies in development: politics and reform in Latin America. Inter-American Development Bank and International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, New York (2002)
Patterson, T.E.: Out of order. Vintage Books, New York (1994)
Pérez-Liňán, A.: Evaluating presidential runoff elections. Elect. Stud. 25, 129–146 (2006)
Pétry, F., Bastien, F.: Follow the pollsters: inaccuracies in media coverage of the horse-race during the 2008 Canadian election. Can. J. Polit. Sci./Revue canadienne de science politique 46(1), 1–26 (2013)
Rickerhshauser, J., Aldrich, J.D.: “It’s the electability, stupid”—or maybe not? Electability, substance, and strategic voting in presidential primaries. Elect. Stud. 26(2), 371–380 (2007)
Strömbäck, J., Shehata, A.: Structural biases in British and Swedish election coverages. J. Stud. 8(5), 798–812 (2007)
Taagepera, R.: Predicting party sizes. The logic of simple electoral systems. Oxford University Press, New York (2007)
Wittrock, J., Lewis-Beck, M.J.: French double ballot effects. American experience. In: Dolez, B., Grofman, B., Laurent, A. (eds.) In Situ and Laboratory Experiments on Electoral Law Reform. French Presidential Elections. Springer, New York (2011)
Acknowledgement
We gratefully acknowledge the support of the Czech Science foundation (Project GA13-20548S) and Masaryk University Grant (Project MUNI/M/0045/2013).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Chytilek, R., Tóth, M. (2017). Stopping the Evil or Settling for the Lesser Evil: An Experimental Study of Costly Voting with Negative Payoffs in a TRS Electoral System. In: Maturo, A., Hošková-Mayerová, Š., Soitu, DT., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Recent Trends in Social Systems: Quantitative Theories and Quantitative Models. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 66. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40585-8_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40585-8_9
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-40583-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-40585-8
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)