Abstract
The official position of the Cuban government is that there will be no transition, and thus there will not be any “transition government” either. This is not to say that Cuban officials do not understand that Fidel will in fact die or be incapacitated at some time in the future. Despite dozens of jokes to the contrary, Fidel of course will die and someone will take his place at the helm of the Cuban state. This is well understood by Cuban officials even if they very rarely think of this matter in terms of anything approaching immediacy even in 2005, the year of his seventy-ninth birthday.1
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Notes
Marcel Niedergang, Les Vingt Amériques latines, Paris, Seuil, 1969.
Rut Diamint (Ed.), Control civil y fuerzas armadas en las nuevas democracias latinoamericanas, Buenos Aires, Grupo Editor Latinoamericano, 1998.
It is interesting to note the extent to which the AIDS and cholera epidemics have been incorporated by some into the security agenda of nations of the Americas. Juan Domingo Silva, “La Epidemia VIH/SIDA: una situación de riesgo emergente para la seguridad,” in Estudios político-militares, II, 4, 2nd semester 2002, pp. 37–50.
Alfred Stepan, Authoritarian Brazil, New York, Yale University Press, 1973.
A wider ranging study is that of Pere Vilanova, “Fuerzas armadas y sociedad: naturaleza y funciones,” in Carlos Contreras Quina (Ed.), América Latina: una realidad expectante, Santiago, Comisión Sudamericana de Paz, 1993, pp. 237–257.
Isabel Jaramillo, “La Seguridad de Cuba en los años ’90,” Cuadernos de Nuestra América, XI, 21, January–June 1994, pp. 139–158, especially pp. 141, 155.
There is even some debate as to whether the Chilean army was as “Prussianized” as some have argued. See William Sater, The Great Myth, Berkeley, University of California Press, 2002.
and for the opposite view see the many works on the subject of Frederick Nunn, e.g. his Yesterday’s Soldiers, and The Time of the Generals: Latin American Professional Militarism in World Perspective, Lincoln, University of Nebraska Press, 1992.
For the story of Brazil in World War I, see Arthur Oscar Saldanha da Gama, A Marinha do Brasil na Segunda Guerra Mundial, Rio de Janeiro, Capemi Editora, 1982.
For Brazil in World War II, see Ricardo Neto Bonalume and Cesar Campiani Maximiano, Onde estão nossos heróis, São Paulo, Santuaro, 1995.
For the Mexican case, see Marco Moya Palencia, 1942: Mexicanos al grito de guerra!, Mexico, Porrûa, 1992, pp. 35–77.
Pope Atkins, Latin America, p. 287, and Horacio L. Veneroni, Estados Unidos y las fuerzas armadas de América Latina; la dependencia militar, Buenos Aires, Periferia, 1973, pp. 21–57.
See the naval and air force sections of the different national chapters of English, Armed Forces; and the post-1880s chapters of Robert Schiena, Latin America: A Naval History, 1810–1987, Annapolis, United States Naval Institute Press, 1987.
See Veneroni, Estados Unidos, in all its chapters to see how much this was true in the 1960s and 1970s, and Edgardo Mercado Jarrín, Un Sistema de seguridad y defensa sudamericano, Lima, IPEGE, 1990.
Hugo Palma and Alejandro San Martín, Seguridad, defensa y fuerzas armadas en el Peril, Lima, Centro Peruano de Estudios Internacionales, 2002.
See Ángela Ferriol Muruaga et al., Cuba: crisis, ajuste y situación social,1990–1996, Havana, Ciencias Sociales, 1998, pp. 151–154.
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© 2005 Hal Klepak
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Klepak, H. (2005). The FAR and the Politics of “No Transition”: But Who Else?. In: Cuba’s Military 1990–2005. Studies of the Americas. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781403980601_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781403980601_9
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