Skip to main content

An Eastern European Perspective on the Recent Financial Crisis and an Examination of Poland’s Exceptionalism

  • Chapter
Emerging Economies During and After the Great Recession

Abstract

The article reviews the growth of the Eastern European countries after their transition and up to 2007 and then assesses the impact of the US financial crisis on them, making appropriate references to the growth of the South East Asian economies in the 1980s with which they share many features during their convergence process with the Western European economies. The macroeconomic policy responses are outlined and their success measured. The final part of the chapter looks specifically at Poland’s experience on the grounds that it has been an exceptional economy both before and after the crisis for a number of reasons. These include the role of small and medium-sized enterprises, inward FDI, its low export/GDP ratio, tight financial regulations and the pursuit of macroprudential policies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abiad, A., Leigh, D. and A. Mody (2007) ‘International Finance and Income Convergence: Europe is Different’, IMF Working Paper 07/64, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Aghion, P., Harmgart, H. and N. Weisshaar (2010) ‘Fostering Growth in CEE Countries: A Country-Tailored Approach to Growth Policy’, EBRD Working Paper No. 118, London: European Bank of Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Andrle, M., Garcia-Saltos, R. and G. Ho (2013) ‘The Role of Domestic and External Shocks in Poland: Results from an Agnostic Estimation Procedure’, IMF Working Paper No. 220, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Andrle, M., Garcia-Saltos, R. and G. Ho (2014) ‘A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers: The Case of Poland and the Euro Area’, IMF Working Paper 14/186, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arrabitel, O., Heinz, F., Martin, R., Przybyla, M., Rawdanowicz, L., Serafini, R. and T. Zumer (2007) ‘Determinants of Growth in the Central and Eastern European EU Member States — A Production Function Approach’, ECB Occasional Paper No. 61, Frankfurt: European Central Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Åslund, A. (2010) The Last Shall be the First — The East European Financial Crisis, Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Åslund, A. (2012) ‘Lessons from Reforms in Central and Eastern Europe in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis’, PIIE Working Paper 12/7, Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Aydin, B. (2008) ‘Banking Structure and Credit Growth in Central and Eastern European Countries’, IMF Working Paper 08/215, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Benkovskis, K., Fadejeva, L., Stehrer, R. and J. Worz (2012) ‘How Important is Total Factor Productivity for Growth in Central, Eastern and Southeastern European Countries?’, Working Paper No. 5, Department of Latvijas Banka, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies and Foreign Research Division of Oesterreichische Nationalbank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Berglof, E., Korniyenko, Y., Plekhanov, A. and J. Zettlmeyer (2009) ‘Understanding the Crisis in Emerging Europe’, EBRD Working Paper, no. 109, London: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Berkmen, P., Gelos, G., Rennhack, R. and J. Walsh (2009) ‘The Global Financial Crisis: Explaining Cross-Country Differences in the Output Impact’, IMF Working Paper 09/280, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Caporale, G., Rault, C., Sova, R. and A. Sova (2009) ‘Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ten New EU Members’, Discussion Paper no. 940, London: Brunel University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carstensen, K. and F. Toubal (2004) ‘Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis’, Journal of Comparative Economics, 32(1), pp. 3–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chowdhury, I. and L. Keller (2012) ‘Managing Large-Scale Capital Inflows: The Case of the Czech Republic, Poland and Romania’, IMF Working Paper 12/138, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chudik, A. and M. Fratzscher (2011) ‘Identifying the Global Transmission of the 2007–2009 Financial Crisis in a GVAR Model’, European Economic Review, 55(3), pp. 325–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clarida, R., Galí, J and M. Gertler (1998) ‘Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence’, European Economic Review, 42(6), pp. 1033–67.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Connolly, R. (2009) ‘Financial Vulnerabilities in Emerging Europe: An Overview’, BOFIT Working Paper, no. 3, Helsinki: Bank of Finland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Connolly, R. (2012) ‘The Determinants of the Economic Crisis in Post-Socialist Europe’, Europe–Asia Studies, 64(1), pp. 35–67.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cottarelli, C., Dell’Ariccia, G. and I. Vladkova-Hollar (2005) ‘Early Birds, Late Risers, and Sleeping Beauties: Bank Credit Growth to the Private Sector in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Balkans’, IMF Working Paper 03/213, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Darvas, Z. (2011a) ‘Beyond The Crisis: Prospects For Emerging Europe’, Comparative Economic Studies, 53(2), pp. 261–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Darvas, Z. (2011b) ‘Exchange Rate Policy and Economic Growth After the Financial Crisis in Central and Eastern Europe’, Eurasian Geography and Economics, 52(3), pp. 390–408.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Haas, R. and S. Knobloch (2010) ‘In the Wake of The Crisis: Dealing with Distressed Debt Across the Transition Region’, EBRD Working Paper no. 112, London: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • de Haas, R., Korniyenko, Y., Pivovarsky, A. and T. Tsankova (2014) ‘Taming the Herd? Foreign Banks, the Vienna Initiative and Crisis Transmission’, Journal of Finanical Intermediation, 24(3), pp. 325–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Haas, R. and I. van Lelyveld (2014) ‘Multinational Banks and the Global Financial Crisis: Weathering the Perfect Storm?’, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 46(1), pp. 333–64.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dietrich, D., Knedlik, T. and A. Lindner (2011) ‘Central and Eastern European Countries in the Global Financial Crisis: A Typical Twin Crisis?’, Post-Communist Economies, 23(4), pp. 415–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ėgert, B., Backė, P. and T. Zumer (2006) ‘Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe: New (Over)Shooting Stars?’, ECB Working Paper no. 687, Frankfurt: European Central Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • EBRD (2009) Transition Report: Transition in Crisis, London: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • ECB (2012) Convergence Report, Frankfurt: European Central Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elekdag, S. and D. Muir (2013) ‘Trade Linkages, Balance Sheets, and Spillovers: The Germany-Central European Supply Chain’, IMF Working Paper 13/210, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eurostat (2015) http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database.

  • Friedrich, C., Schnabel, I. and J. Zettelmeyer (2010) ‘Financial Integration and Growth — Is Emerging Europe Different?’, EBRD Working Paper no. 123, London: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frömmel, M. and F. Schobert (2006) ‘Monetary Policy Rules in Central and Eastern Europe’, Discussion Paper no. 341, School of Economics and Management, University of Hannover.

    Google Scholar 

  • Furceri, D. and A. Zdzienicka (2011) ‘The Real Effect of Financial Crises in the European Transition Economies’, Economics of Transition, 19(1), pp. 1–25.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gallego, S., Gardó, S., Martin, R., Molina, L. and J. M. Serena (2010) ‘The Impact of the Global Economic and Financial Crisis on Central Eastern and South Eastern Europe (CESEE), and Latin America’, Occasional Paper Series, Banco de Espana, Madrid.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gardó, S. and R. Martin (2010) ‘The Impact of Economic and Financial Crisis On Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe: A Stock Taking Exercise’, ECB Occasional Paper Series, no. 114, Frankfurt: European Central Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goldstein, M. and D. Xie (2009) ‘The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Emerging Asia’, paper prepared for the conference on ‘Asia and the Global Financial Crisis’, sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Santa Barbara, 18–20 October.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2014) Economic Outlook: Legacies, Clouds, Uncertainties, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2015) http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2015/01/weodata/weoselgr.aspx.

  • IMF (2015) Republic of Poland: Assessment of the Impact of the Proposed Flexible Credit Line Arrangement on the Fund’s Finances and Liquidity, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaminsky, G. and C. Reinhart (1996) ‘The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems’, International Finance Discussion Papers no. 544, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, March.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaminsky, G. and C. Reinhart (1999) ‘The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems’, American Economic Review, 89(3), pp. 473–500.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klein, N. (2014) ‘Non-Performing Loans in CESEE: Determinants and Impact on Macroeconomic Performance’, IMF Working Paper no. 13/72, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kruszka, M. and M. Kowalczyk (2011) ‘Macro-Prudential Regulation of Credit Booms and Busts: The Case of Poland’, Policy Research Working Paper, no. 5832, Washington, DC: World Bank.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Lane, P. R. (2008) ‘The Macroeconomics of Financial Integration: A European Perspective’, Discussion Paper no. 265, Institute for International Integration Studies, Trinity College, Dublin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Leven, B. (2012) ‘The Impact of Global Recession on FDI — Poland’s Case Study’, International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3(13), pp. 60–6.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lütz, S. and M. Kranke (2013) ‘The European Rescue of the Washington Consensus? EU and IMF Lending to Central and Eastern European Countries’, Review of International Political Economy, 21(2), pp. 310–38.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maria-Dolores, R. (2005) ‘Monetary Policy Rules in Accession Countries to EU: Is the Taylor Rule a Pattern?’, Economic Bulletin, 5(5), pp. 1–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mihaljek, D. (2010) ‘The Spread of the Financial Crisis to Central and Eastern Europe: Evidence from the BIS Data’, in R. Matousek (ed.), Banking and Financial Markets in Central and Eastern Europe after 20 Years of Transition, London: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 5–31.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R. (1963) ‘Capital Mobility and Stabilisation Policy Under Fixed and Flexible Exchnage Rates’, Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29(4), pp. 475–85.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Myant, M. and J. Drahokoupil (2010) Transition Economies: Political Economy in Russia, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia, London: Wiley-Blackwell.

    Google Scholar 

  • Obstleld, M. and A. M. Taylor (1997) ‘The Great Depression as a Watershed: International Capital Mobility in the Long Run’, National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 5960.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • PAED (2010) Enterprise the Polish Way, Warsaw: Polish Agency for Enterprise Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinhart, C. and K. Rogoll (2009) This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Skarica, B. (2014) ‘Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in Central and East European Countries’, Financial Theory and Practice, 38(1), pp. 37–59.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spence, M. [and twenty others] (2008) The Growth Report: Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development, Commission on Growth and Development, Washington, DC: World Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Svejnar, J. (2002) ‘Transition Economies: Performance and Challenges’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(1), pp. 3–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Hagen, J. and I. Siedschlag (2008) ‘Managing Capital Flows: Experiences from Central and Eastern Europe’, ADB Institute Discussion Paper no. 103, Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zettelmeyer, J., Nagy, P. and S. Jellery (2010) ‘Addressing Privtate Sector Currency Mismatches in Emerging Europe’, EBRD Working Paper no. 115, London: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 2016 Nigel F.B. Allington, John S.L. McCombie

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Allington, N.F.B., McCombie, J.S.L. (2016). An Eastern European Perspective on the Recent Financial Crisis and an Examination of Poland’s Exceptionalism. In: Arestis, P., Sawyer, M. (eds) Emerging Economies During and After the Great Recession. International Papers in Political Economy Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137485557_6

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics