The Future of Crises

  • Ian I Mitroff
  • Can M. Alpaslan


Assumptions, not facts, are the building blocks of our knowledge of the world around us. Therefore, monitoring of key assumptions is an integral part of strategic thinking and crisis management. Our guiding motto is “Know thy assumptions and prepare for the highly likely event that they will be rendered false.” We hope that we have examined enough crises and assumptions so that the reader is better equipped to face new crises head on and to anticipate and uncover the critical assumptions that underlie them.


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  1. 1.
    See Barabba, Vincent P. and Mitroff, Ian I., Business Strategies for a Messy World: Tools for Systemic Problem-Solving, Palgrave Macmillan, New York, NY, 2014.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Ian I. Mitroff and Can M. Alpaslan 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ian I Mitroff
    • 1
  • Can M. Alpaslan
    • 2
  1. 1.Center for Catastrophic Risk Management, Haas School of BusinessUniversity of CaliforniaBerkeleyUSA
  2. 2.Department of ManagementCalifornia State UniversityNorthridgeUSA

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