Abstract
While the global financial crisis of 2007–09 was concentrated in the United States and Europe, it also affected other advanced countries, as well as emerging markets. But the effects were mostly due to contagion through the trade channel, the financial systems of Asian and Latin American countries, as well as those of most of the smaller advanced countries and South Africa, withstanding the crisis much better than those hosting large financial centers. The emerging countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) were not so fortunate. Most of them fell into a serious financial swoon that brought some of them to the brink of sovereign default and steep economic decline. In several instances large official support operations, involving both the IMF and the EU, were needed. On top of that, in early 2010 Greece, a member of the Euro Area, got into serious trouble following a sudden stop of capital inflows. Other Euro Area countries were affected as well, leading to an attack on the common currency itself.
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Notes
B. Bakker and I. Vladkova-Hollar (2006). “Asia 1996 and Eastern Europe: Deja-Vu All Over Again?” Mimeo. International Monetary Fund.
Åslund describes how in 2004 a sense of hubris prevailed, with the “elite” thinking “that they could get away with anything.” Anders Åslund (2009). How Ukraine Became a Market Economy and Democracy. Washington D.C.: Peterson Institute for International Economics, p. 164.
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Brian Sturgess (2010). “Greek Economics Statistics: A Decade of Deceit.” World Economics, Vol. 11, No. 2. (April–June).
The process is described lucidly in Patrick Honohan (2009). “Resolving Ireland’s Banking Crisis.” The Economic and Social Review, Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 207–31. See also Klaus Regling and Max Watson (2010). Report on the Sources of Ireland’s Banking Crisis. Dublin: Government Publications Office.
Lorenzo Bini Smaghi (2010). “The Financial and Fiscal Crisis: A Euro Area Perspective.” Speech held for Le Cercle: Brussels (June 12). www.ech.europa.eu/press/hey/date/2010/html/sp200618_1.en.html.
Kierkegaard has stressed that Europe’s leaders are credible when they pledge to do what it takes to save the euro and the Euro Area, but that the process could be messy: Jacob F. Kierkegaard (2010). “How Europe Can Muddle through Its Crisis.” Policy Brief No. 10–27. Washington D.C.: Peterson Institute for International Economics. www.piie.com/publications/pb1027.
Willem Buiter (2011). “The Debt of Nations.” Global Economic Review. New York: Citibank (January 17).
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© 2011 Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds
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de Beaufort Wijnholds, O. (2011). Europe’s Turn. In: Fighting Financial Fires. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230354203_11
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230354203_11
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