Abstract
Expectations have had a prominent role in macroeconomics ever since the publication of Keynes’s General Theory. In that book, the word ‘expectation’ appeared in the title of two chapters, and the concept was used throughout. Expectations were central to the determination of both the interest rate and the level of investment and the trade cycle in the longer run. This is most clearly illustrated in chapter 5, ‘Expectation as determining output and employment’, where Keynes identifies the importance of expectations in determining the level of employment: ‘To-day’s employment can be correctly described as being governed by to-day’s expectations taken in conjunction with to-day’s capital equipment’ (1936 [1973], p. 50).
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Baddeley, M.C. (2003), Investment: Theories and Analysis, London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) (2005), Triennial Central Bank Survey: Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in 2004, Basel: BIS Press and Communications.
Blanchard, O. (1997), ‘Is there a core of usable macroeconomics?’, American Economic Review, May, 244–6.
Blinder, A. (1997), ‘Is there a core of practical macroeconomics that we should all believe?’, American Economic Review, May, 240–43.
Dow, S. (1996), The Methodology of Macroeconomic Thought, Cheltenham, UK and Brookfield, USA: Edward Elgar.
Eichenbaum, M. (1997), ‘Some thoughts on practical stabilization policy’, American Economic Review, May, 236–9.
Freedman, C., G.C. Harcourt and P. Kriesler (2004), ‘Has the long-run Phillips curve turned horizontal?’, in G. Argyrous, M. Forstater and G. Mongiovi (eds), “Growth, Distribution and Effective Demand: Alternatives to Economic Orthodoxy”, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, pp. 144–62.
Gans, J., S. King, R. Stonecash and N. Mankiw (2003), Principles of Economics, Southbank, Vic.: Thompson.
Hall, R. and M. Lieberman (2005), Economics: Principles and Applications, International Student edn, Mason, OH: Southwestern.
Harvey, J. (1999), ‘Exchange rates’ in P.A. O’Hara (ed.), Encyclopedia of Political Economy, vol. 1, London and New York: Routledge, pp. 302–4.
Harvey, J. (2001), ‘Exchange rate theory and “the fundamentals”’, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 23, 3–15.
Harvey, J. (2003), ‘Exchange rates’, in J. King (ed.), Elgar Companion to Post Keynesian Economics, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar pp. 131–5.
Kalecki, M. (1968), ‘Trend and the business cycle’, reprinted in J. Osiatynski (ed.), (1990), Collected Works of Michał Kalecki. Volume 1: Capitalism: Business Cycles and Full Employment, Oxford: Clarendon Press, pp. 65–108.
Keynes, J.M. (1936), The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, London: Macmillan, reprinted 1973 in The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, Vol. VII, London: Macmillan.
Kriesler, P. (1999), ‘Harcourt, Hicks and Lowe; incompatible bedfellows?’, in C. Sardoni, and P. Kriesler (eds), Themes in Political Economy: Essays in Honour of Geoff Harcourt, London: Routledge, pp. 400–417.
Kriesler, P. (2003), ‘The traverse’, in J. King (ed.), Elgar Companion to Post Keynesian Economics, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, pp. 355–9.
Kriesler, P. and M. Lavoie (2005), ‘A critique of the new consensus view of monetary policy’, Economics and Labour Relations Review, 16 (1), July, 7–15.
Kriesler, P. and J. Nevile (2006), ‘Does the foreign exchange rate constrain full employment policy in Australia?’, in G. Wrightson (ed.), The Constraint to Full Employment or Work Choices and Welfare-to-Work Conference, University of Newcastle, December 7–8, proceedings, refereed papers, Newcastle, Australia: Center of Full Employment and Equity, University of Newcastle, pp. 142–9.
Meese, R.A. and K. Rogoff (1983), ‘Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies: do they fit out of sample?’, Journal of International Economics, 14(1), 3–24.
Nevile, J. (2000), ‘Can Keynesian policies stimulate growth in output and employment?’, in S. Bell (ed.), The Unemployment Crisis in Australia: Which Way Out?, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 149–70.
Solow, R. (1997), ‘Is there a core of usable macroeconomics we should all believe in?’, American Economic Review, May, 230–32.
Taylor, J. (1997), ‘A core of practical macroeconomics?’, American Economic Review, May, 233–6.
Taylor, J.B. (1999), ‘Monetary policy guidelines for employment and inflation stability’, in R.M. Solow and J.B. Taylor (eds), Inflation, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, pp. 29–54.
Taylor, J.B. (2000), ‘Teaching modern macroeconomics at the principles level’, American Economic Review, 90 (2), (May), 90–94.
Taylor, L. (2004), Reconstructing Macroeconomics: Structuralist Proposals and Critiques of the Mainstream, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Copyright information
© 2016 Joseph Halevi, G. C. Harcourt, Peter Kriesler and J. W. Nevile
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Nevile, J.W., Kriesler, P. (2016). Expectations and Unemployment. In: Post-Keynesian Essays from Down Under Volume IV: Essays on Theory. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-47529-9_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-47529-9_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-137-47528-2
Online ISBN: 978-1-137-47529-9
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)