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Situational Intelligence and Early Warning

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Intelligence Security in the European Union

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Abstract

This chapter is devoted to crisis management in the EU and the role of intelligence in developing early warning and crisis-management capabilities. The mechanisms comprising the Crisis Management Procedures are considered against the need to process and efficiently direct a large flow of information to appropriate EU agencies, such as the Situation Room or Watch-Keeping Capability. The EU Crisis Response System is also examined in the light of institutional capabilities of translating intelligence into effective decisions and actions. The chapter concludes with remarks on the EU’s capacity for forecast analysis and scenario planning in terms of effective risk management and threat assessment.

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Gruszczak, A. (2016). Situational Intelligence and Early Warning. In: Intelligence Security in the European Union. New Security Challenges. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-45512-3_5

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