Monetary Analysis at Central Banks pp 93-129 | Cite as
Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income Countries: The Tanzanian Experience
Abstract
This chapter describes the evolution of monetary policy in Tanzania since the mid-1990s, when the Bank of Tanzania pursued a conventional reserve money programme, with broad money as the intermediate anchor for inflation and reserve money growth as the principal policy instrument. While this approach, and a managed floating exchange rate regime, supported a sustained period of high economic growth, the increased globalization of Tanzania’s economy and the associated move towards greater capital account openness has prompted the Bank of Tanzania to embark on a transition towards a price-based monetary policy framework, in which the money aggregates are replaced by an explicit inflation target and a greater reliance is placed on the short-term interest rate as the main policy instrument.
Keywords
Bank of Tanzania Reserve money programme Exchange rate Money aggregates Policy rate IMF Monetary transmission mechanismReferences
- Abbas, S.M., & Sobolev, Y.V. (2008). High and volatile treasury yields in Tanzania: The role of strategic bidding and auction microstructure. IMF Working Paper WP/08/81.Google Scholar
- Adam, C., & Kessy, P. (2010). Assessing the stability and predictability of the money multiplier in the EAC: The Case of Tanzania. International Growth Centre Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Adam, C., Kessy, P., Nyella, J., & O’Connell, S. (2012). The demand for money in Tanzania. Tanzanian Economic Review, 2(1), 1–38.Google Scholar
- Adam, C., Kwimbere, D., Mbowe, W., & O’Connell, S. (2012). Food prices and inflation in Tanzania. African Development Bank Working Paper No. 163.Google Scholar
- Berg, A., Charry, L., Portillo, R., & Vlcek, J. (2013). The monetary transmission mechanism in the tropics: A narrative approach. IMF Working Paper WP/13/197.Google Scholar
- Bevan, D., Collier, P., & Gunning, J. W. (1990). Controlled open economies: A neo-classical critique of structuralism. Oxford, England: OUP.Google Scholar
- Collier, P., & Gunning, J. W. (1991). Money creation and financial liberalization in a socialist banking system: Tanzania 1983-88. World Development, 19(5), 533–538.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Coulson, A. (2013). Tanzania: A political economy. Oxford, England: OUP.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cull, R., & Spreng, C. (2011). Pursuing efficiency while retaining outreach: Bank privatization in Tanzania. Journal of Development Economics, 94(2), 254–261.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Edwards, S. (2014). Toxic aid. Oxford, England: OUP.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Frankel, J. (2012). Choosing an exchange rate Regime. In J. James, I. Marsh, & L. Sarno (Eds.), The handbook of exchange rates. London: Wiley.Google Scholar
- Honohan, P., & O’Connell, S. (1997). Contrasting monetary regimes in Africa. IMF Working Paper WP 97/64.Google Scholar
- IMF. (2013). Kenya—Sixth and final review under the three-year arrangement under the extended credit facility. IMF Country Report No. 13/358, December 2013.Google Scholar
- IMF. (2014a). Conditionality in evolving monetary policy regime. IMF Policy Paper, March 2014.Google Scholar
- IMF. (2014b). Modernising the monetary operational framework in Tanzania. Mimeo, June 2014.Google Scholar
- Jerven, M. (2013). Poor numbers: How we are misled by African development statistics and what to do about it. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
- Mishra, P., & Montiel, P. (2012). How effective is monetary transmission in low income countries? A survey of the empirical evidence. IMF Working Paper 12/143.Google Scholar
- Nyella, J. (2013). Proposal for review of the Bank of Tanzania policy rate. Mimeo, February 2013.Google Scholar
- O’Connell, S.A. (2013). The Bank of Tanzania: A monetary policy framework in transition. Mimeo, International Growth Centre.Google Scholar
- Poole, W. (1970). Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(2), 197–216.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Sanya, S., & Gaertner, M. (2012). Assessing Bank Competition with the East African Community. IMF Working Paper WP/12/32.Google Scholar