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Strategy for an Atomic Monopoly

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The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy

Abstract

So long as the United States enjoyed a monopoly of atomic bombs hard choices on military policy and strategy could be avoided. Security threats were manageable without the sort of effort required during the recent war. In part this also reflected a favourable geographical position. There was no danger of a direct invasion which is why traditionally there had been little interest in a large standing army for territorial defence. All potential enemies were distant and so a strong navy should keep them at bay. Airpower promised to keep any enemy’s political and economic centres at risk and now with atom bombs no great exertions in battle would be required to defeat and punish an aggressor. America could protect itself from the effects of war while still emerging victorious.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Walter Lippmann, ‘Why are we disarming ourselves?’, Redbrook Magazine (September 1946), p. 106.

  2. 2.

    Walter Lippman, The Cold War (Boston: Little Brown, 1947). Ronald Steel, Walter Lippmann and the American Century (London: Bodley Head, 1980), p. 445 For more on the various claims to have introduced the term see William Safire, Safire’s New Political Dictionary (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 134–5. The novelist George Orwell had used the term as early as 1945 when he did envisage a Cold War in which the major powers had ‘a tacit agreement never to use the bomb against one another.’ George Orwell, “You and the Atomic Bomb,” Tribune, October 19, 1945, reprinted in Sonia Orwell and Ian Angus, eds., The Collected Essays; Journalism and Letters of George Orwell, vol. 4 (New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1968), pp. 8–10.

  3. 3.

    Bernard Brodie, ‘The atom bomb as policy-maker’, Foreign Affairs, XXVII:1 (October 1948), p. 21.

  4. 4.

    William Fox, The Superpowers: The United States, Britain and the Soviet Union and Their Responsibility for Peace (New York: Harcourt & Brace, 1944), p. 102.

  5. 5.

    Perry Smith, The Air Force Plans for Peace, pp. 52–3.

  6. 6.

    William Fox, Atomic Energy and International Relations, p. 14.

  7. 7.

    Campbell Craig and Sergey Radchenko, The Atomic Bomb and the Origins of the Cold War (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2008).

  8. 8.

    ‘Spaatz Report’, The Implications of the Atom Bomb for the Size, Composition, Organization and Role of the Future Air Force (23 October 1945); Joint Staff Strategic Survey, Statement of the Effect of Atomic Weapons on National Security and Military Organization (12 January 1946). See Frank Klotz, The US President and the Control of Strategic Nuclear Weapons, unpublished DPhil. Thesis (Oxford, 1980).

  9. 9.

    ‘X’, ‘The sources of Soviet conduct’, Foreign Affairs, XXV (July 1947); George F. Kennan, Memoirs, 1925–1950 (Boston, Little Brown: 1967), p. 358. John Gaddis, George F. Kennan: An American Life (New York: Norton, 2011), pp. 251–2.

  10. 10.

    Cited in Matthew Jones, After Hiroshima: The United States, Race and Nuclear weapons in Asia, 1945–1965 (Cambridge; Cambridge University Press, 2010), pp. 24–5.

  11. 11.

    John Hersey, ‘Hiroshima’, New Yorker, 31 August 1946, online. Available: http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1946/08/31/hiroshima.

  12. 12.

    Lilienthal, The Atomic Energy Years, p. 391.

  13. 13.

    MIT Convocation Speech, March 31, 1949. Text available at: https://www.nationalchurchillmuseum.org/mit-mid-century-convocation.html.

  14. 14.

    Walter Millis (ed.), The Forrestal Diaries (London: Cassell & Co. 1952), p. 45.

  15. 15.

    NSC-30, United States Policy on Atomic Weapons (10 September 1948). Reprinted in Etzold and Gaddis, op. cit., p. 341.

  16. 16.

    Rosenberg, Origins of Overkill, pp. 12–3.

  17. 17.

    Millis, op. cit., pp. 433–4, 457.

  18. 18.

    Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, April 1949.

  19. 19.

    Louis Ridenour, ‘A US Physicist’s Reply to Professor Blackett’, Scientific American, March 1949.

  20. 20.

    Steven T. Ross, American War Plans, 1945–1950 (New York: Garland Publishing Inc., 1988), p. 31.

  21. 21.

    Air Staff, Strategic Implications of the Atomic Bomb on Warfare (3 February 1947). See Klotz, op. cit.

  22. 22.

    Ross, op. cit., p. 51.

  23. 23.

    Ross, op. cit. p. 31, 74–5, 152.

  24. 24.

    Joint Chiefs of Staff, Evaluation of Current Strategic Air Offensive Plans (21 December 1948), in Etzold and Gaddis, op. cit., pp. 357–60.

  25. 25.

    Presentation by the Strategic Air Command, Commanders Conference United States Air Force, Ramey Air Force Base, 25–27 April 1950.

  26. 26.

    Letter from General George Kenney to General Hoyt Vandenberg, 29 April 1950.

  27. 27.

    ‘Atom Bomb as Policy-Maker’, op. cit., p. 30.

  28. 28.

    The Harmon Report, Evaluation of Effect on Soviet War Effort Resulting from the Strategic Air Offensive (11 May 1949). Reprinted in Etzold and Gaddis, op. cit., pp. 360–4.

  29. 29.

    Alfred Vagts, ‘Capitalist Encirclement; A Russian Obsession—Genuine or Feigned?’, The Journal of Politics, Vol. 18, No. 3 (Aug., 1956), pp. 499–519.

  30. 30.

    H. S. Dinerstein, War and the Soviet Union (New York: Praeger, 1959), p. 32.

  31. 31.

    In 1949, cited in Raymond L. Garthoff, Soviet Military Doctrine (Illinois: The Free Press, 1953), p. 174.

  32. 32.

    Colonel-General of Aviation Nikitin, cited in Raymond L. Garthoff, Soviet Strategy in the Nuclear Age (New York: Praeger, 1958), pp. 173–4.

  33. 33.

    David Holloway, Stalin and the Bomb: The Soviet Union and Atomic Energy, 1936–1956 (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1994), p. 242.

  34. 34.

    Garthoff (1953), p. 67.

  35. 35.

    Lawrence S. Wittner, One World or None: A History of the World Nuclear Disarmament Movement through 1953 (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993), pp. 181–3.

  36. 36.

    Zaloga, p. 7.

  37. 37.

    Holloway, pp. 225–6, 240–1.

  38. 38.

    Vladislav M. Zubok, ‘Stalin and the Nuclear Age’ in John Lewis Gaddis, Philip H. Gordon, Ernest R. May and Jonathan Rosenberg eds., Cold War Statesmen Confront the Bomb: Nuclear Diplomacy Since 1945 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999), p. 58–9.

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Freedman, L., Michaels, J. (2019). Strategy for an Atomic Monopoly. In: The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-57350-6_5

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