Abstract
The overall impact of disasters on local economies varies in the extent and absolute severity of the damage sustained depending on the scale of the disaster, the level of production activity, and the local industrial structure. In Chapter 5, I attempt to identify factors that affect companies' decisions to use a port such as Nagoya and to review circumstances that might lead to changes of choice, including options of ports in other areas. I will focus particularly in this study on factors relating to natural disasters and countermeasures, first summarizing the investments required to ensure the port’s safety and resilience against risks of major disasters and then analyzing the further impact they have on the Nagoya region. The results of the initial survey show that the factors most important in favoring the choice of Nagoya for exports are lower logistics costs, lower domestic transport costs to the port and lower port costs overall. For imports through Nagoya, the factors of importance are similarly lower domestic transport costs from the port and lower total port costs. For the contingency of some natural disaster making the port at Nagoya unavailable, many local companies would consider a change to Osaka or Kobe, but those without any plan for an alternative account for as much as 59% of the total. The analysis of the local economic ripple effects of port disaster prevention projects shows that the production inducement coefficient of these is 1.5 for the local prefecture (Aichi), as compared with 1.9 for the rest of Japan. The total employment effect as projected in the 2012 Aichi Prefecture budget is a plus of 1,616 jobs.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
The Japanese name style Great East Japan Earthquake was assigned by a Cabinet decree.
- 2.
These figures were calculated from export amounts published in the Ministry of Finance Trade Statistics, adjusted to real values using the Bank of Japan’s Export Price Index.
- 3.
These figures for exports and imports following the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake are as estimated by Tanaka (2011).
- 4.
The Basic Act for National Resilience Contributing to Preventing and Mitigating Disasters for Developing Resilience in the Lives of the Citizenry was enacted in 2013 and, under this legislation, a Basic Plan for National Resilience was issued the following year as a blueprint for building up Japan as a more resilient country. The National Resilience Action Plan 2014 was also issued that year and has since been reviewed annually.
- 5.
See pp. 1 and 2 of the National Resilience Action Plan (2015) of the Cabinet Secretariat.
- 6.
This Yearbook can be found online on the Nagoya Port Authority website. https://www.port-of-nagoya.jp/shokai/toukei/toukeinagoyako/index.html
- 7.
This questionnaire survey was carried out in cooperation between Senior Researchers Hachiya, K., Tsuchiya, K. and Oishi, M. of the Policy Evaluation Group, Social Systems Research Division, Mitsubishi Research Institute and the author Asahi, S., of Mie University.
- 8.
Analysis of the economic ripple effects at Nagoya Port was conducted five times by the Nagoya Port Authority by 2,000 years. Please see Nagoya Port Authority (1991) and Arakawa (1991). Port Investment Evaluation Study Group (ed.) (2001) is indicated analysis of the social evaluation of Japanese ports.
References
Akai, N., Uemura, T., Sawano, K., Takemoto, T., & Yokomi, M. (2009). Financial analysis of efficient and effective maintenance and operation of ports and harbors: structural analysis of maintenance, regulation and operation (in Japanese). DP—RIETI Discussion Paper Series 09-J-010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI). https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/09050012.html. Accessed September 27, 2023
Akita, N., & Kotani, M. (2007). Analysis of shipper’s consciousness on port choice behavior. In Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning (in Japanese). JSCE Committee of Infrastructure Planning and Management, Japan Society of Civil Engineers. “Proceedings of 2007 Civil Engineering Planning Research Conference”.
Arakawa, M. (1991). The structure of industrial linkage in Aichi Prefecture and the induced effects of outflow and export from the Port of Nagoya. Aichi University Chubu Sangyo Kenkyu Hokokusho (Chubu Industry Research Report), No. 44, Institute of Regional Research of Chubu, Aichi University (in Japanese)
Asahi, S. (2003a). Input-output table and economic structure of Nagoya City, research on methods for estimating and using regional input-output tables (in Japanese). Yamada, M. (Research Representative), (Grant-in-Aid number 12630030) Report of the Scientific Research Project of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology.
Asahi, S. (2003b, March). 1995 Input-output table and economic structure of Nagoya City (in Japanese). Discussion Paper Series 0210, 1–41, Chukyo University Institute of Economics.
Asari, I., & Doi, E. (2016). Theory and practice of inter-regional input-output analysis (in Japanese). Nippon Hyoronsha.
Cabinet Secretariat, Japan (2015, June 16). Action plan for national resilience 2015 (in Japanese). https://www.cas.go.jp/jp/seisaku/kokudo_kyoujinka/pdf/ap2015.pdf. Accessed September 25, 2023
Chang, S. E. (2000). Disasters and transport systems: Loss, recovery and competition at the Port of Kobe after the 1995 earthquake. Journal of Transport Geography, 8(1), 53–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-6923(99)00023-X
Doi, E., Asari, I., & Nakano, C. (1996). Introduction to regional input-output analysis (Hajimeyo Sangyo Renkan Bunseki) (in Japanese). Nippon Hyoronsha.
Ishikawa, Y., & Katada, T. (2004). The economic impact of a disaster and inter-regional input-output analysis (in Japanese). Paper presented at the 15th Annual Conference (October 30–31, 2004) of the Pan Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies.
Katada, T. (1997). Changes in the multiplier effects of Japanese construction investment during the period 1965–1990 (in Japanese). Sangyo Renkan (Input-Output Analysis), 7(3), 42–54. https://doi.org/10.11107/papaios.7.42
Kobayashi, T., Sawa, K., Kagawa, M., & Yoshioka, H. (2001). Modern Japanese economy and ports (in Japanese). Seizando Shoten.
Miller, R. E., & Blair, P. D. (2009). Input-output Analysis: Foundations and extensions. Cambridge University Press.
Nagoya Port Authority. (1991, June). Port of Nagoya and regional economy: Economic ripple effect analysis using the input-output table (in Japanese).
Okamoto, N. (1999). Effects and future direction of a regional gateway port development (in Japanese). Transport Policy Studies Review, 2(3), 2–8. https://doi.org/10.24639/tpsr.TPSR_2R_10
Port Investment Evaluation Study Group (Ed.). (2001). The role and socio-economic evaluation of ports (in Japanese). Keizai Shinposha.
Tanaka, A. (2011, March 29). Special feature article: Great East Japan Earthquake—Challenges and policies for economic recovery (Column: No. 307). ‘What impact will the earthquake have on international trade?’. Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI). https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/columns/a01_0307.html. Accessed September 25, 2023
Yamada, M. (1996a). An interregional input-output table of Mie Prefecture, Japan: Estimation and applications. Journal of Applied Input-Output Analysis, 3, 64–79. http://www.gakkai.ne.jp/papaios/en/img/jaia1996_3-4.pdf. Accessed October 10, 2023
Yamada, M. (1996b). Two regions’ input-output table of Mie Prefecture: Estimation and its application. The Journal of Law and Economics (hokei Ronso), 13(2), 175–189. (in Japanese).
Yamada, M. (2015). Construction of a multi-regional input-output table for Nagoya metropolitan area, Japan. Journal of Economic Structures, 4, 1–18. https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186%2Fs40008-015-0022-7.pdf?pdf=core
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Asahi, S. (2024). Economic Ripple Effects of Choice Factors and Disaster-Related Investments at Nagoya Port. In: Econometric Analysis of Regional Economy. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-8707-8_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-8707-8_5
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-99-8706-1
Online ISBN: 978-981-99-8707-8
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)