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Tangent Vector Field Approach to Mortality Projection

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Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications

Part of the book series: SpringerBriefs in Population Studies ((POPULAT))

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Abstract

This chapter describes mortality projection that uses the tangent vector field (TVF) model. It provides an in-depth discussion of the method for building an entire age model by applying the concept of TVFs.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Notably, the results of the projection here are different from those of the 2017 official projection, because, for example, we simplify the method and use other procedures for parameter estimation.

References

  • Girosi F, King G (2008) Demographic forecasting. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ

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  • IPSS (2017) Population projections for Japan (2017)—2016 to 2065. National Institute of Population and Social Security Research

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  • Ishii F, Lanzieri G (2013) Interpreting and projecting mortality trends for European countries by using the LD model. Paper presented at the XXVII IUSSP international population conference

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  • Lee R, Carter L (1992) Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. J Am Statist Assoc 87(419):659–675

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Correspondence to Futoshi Ishii .

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© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

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Ishii, F. (2023). Tangent Vector Field Approach to Mortality Projection. In: Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications. SpringerBriefs in Population Studies(). Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2509-4_5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2509-4_5

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-99-2508-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-99-2509-4

  • eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)

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