Skip to main content

Integrated Modelling Systems

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Hydrological Processes Modelling and Data Analysis

Part of the book series: Water Science and Technology Library ((WSTL,volume 127))

  • 150 Accesses

Abstract

The present chapter attempted to briefly overview integrated modelling systems and their applications for hydrologic sciences. Integrated modelling systems provide non-invasive ways of utilising the synergetic effect of two models. In conventional hydrologic research, integrated modelling focused on considering the surface and groundwater interactions (e.g., MIKE SHE) for accurate water balance estimation. However, in modern hydrology, integrated modelling is more inclined towards combining data-driven and process-based hydrologic modelling. In this aspect, ‘big data’ can further strengthen the credibility of the hybrid model by providing the opportunity to validate them on extensive, diverse data. The chapter also attempted to highlight the emerging techniques like explainable machine ML and physics-constraint ML that are useful in interpreting the black-box ML models and making the process opaque. Incorporation of these techniques can leverage the strengths of hybrid models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Abbott MB, Bathurst JC, Cunge JA, Oconnell PE, Rasmussen J (1986) An introduction to the European Hydrological System—Systeme Hydrologique Europeen, “SHE”, 1: history and philosophy of a physically-based, distributed modelling system. J Hydrol 87:45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aduah M, Jewitt G, Toucher M (2017) Assessing impacts of land use changes on the hydrology of a lowland rainforest catchment in Ghana. West Africa. Water 10:9

    Google Scholar 

  • Althoff D, Bazame HC, Nascimento JG (2021) Untangling hybrid hydrological models with explainable artificial intelligence. H2Open J 4:13–28

    Google Scholar 

  • Bateman I, Agarwala M, Binner A, Coombes E, Day B, Ferrini S et al (2016) Spatially explicit integrated modeling and economic valuation of climate driven land use change and its indirect effects. J Environ Manage 181:172–184

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beven K (2006) A manifesto for the equifinality thesis. J Hydrol 320:18–36

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bindi M, Olesen JE (2011) The responses of agriculture in Europe to climate change. Reg Environ Change 11:151–158

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brown I, Towers W, Rivington M, Black HIJ (2008) Influence of climate change on agricultural land-use potential. Clim Res 37:43–57

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brunner P, Simmons CT (2012) HydroGeoSphere: a fully integrated, physically based hydrological model. Ground Water 50:170–176

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Chawla I, Mujumdar PP (2015) Isolating the impacts of land use and climate change on streamflow. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 19:3633–3651

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chawla I, Mujumdar PP (2018) Partitioning uncertainty in streamflow projections under nonstationary model conditions. Adv Water Resour 112:266–282

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crawford HH, Linsley RK (1966) Digital simulation in hydrology: Stanford Watershed Model IV. Technical Report No. 39, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford

    Google Scholar 

  • Demirel MC, Mai J, Mendiguren G, Koch J, Samaniego L, Stisen S (2018) Combining satellite data and appropriate objective functions for improved spatial pattern performance of a distributed hydrologic model. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 22:1299–1315

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dobson B, Liu L, Mijic A (2023) Water systems integrated modelling framework, WSIMOD: a Python package for integrated modelling of water quality and quantity across the water cycle. JOSS 8

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunn SM, Brown I, Sample J, Post H (2012) Relationships between climate, water resources, land use and diffuse pollution and the significance of uncertainty in climate change. J Hydrol 434–435:19–35

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ejigu MT (2021) Overview of water quality modeling. Cogent Eng 8

    Google Scholar 

  • Fant C, Srinivasan R, Boehlert B, Rennels L, Chapra S, Strzepek K et al (2017) Climate change impacts on US water quality using two models: HAWQS and US basins. Water 9:118

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farjad B, Gupta A, Razavi S, Faramarzi M, Marceau D (2017a) An integrated modelling system to predict hydrological processes under climate and land-use/cover change scenarios. Water 9:767

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farjad B, Pooyandeh M, Gupta A, Motamedi M, Marceau D (2017b) Modelling interactions between land use, climate, and hydrology along with stakeholders’ negotiation for water resources management. Sustainability 9:2022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fischer G, Shah M, Tubiello FN, van Velhuizen H (2005) Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated assessment, 1990–2080. Philos Trans R Soc 60:2067–2083

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeze RA (1971) Three-dimensional, transient, saturated-unsaturated flow in a groundwater basin. Water Resour Res 7:347–366

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gaffoor Z, Pietersen K, Jovanovic N, Bagula A, Kanyerere T (2020) Big data analytics and its role to support groundwater management in the southern African development community. Water 12:2796

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gandomi A, Haider M (2015) Beyond the hype: big data concepts, methods, and analytics. Int J Inf Manage 35:137–144

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gaur S, Bandyopadhyay A, Singh R (2020) Modelling potential impact of climate change and uncertainty on streamflow projections: a case study. J Water Clim Chang 12:384–400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gaur S, Singh B, Bandyopadhyay A, Stisen S, Singh R (2022a) Spatial pattern-based performance evaluation and uncertainty analysis of a distributed hydrological model. Hydrol Process 36:e14586

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gaur S, Singh R, Bandyopadhyay A, Singh R (2023) Diagnosis of GCM-RCM-driven rainfall patterns under changing climate through the robust selection of multi-model ensemble and sub-ensembles. Clim Change 176:13

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gaur S, Krishna CT, Bandyopadhyay A, Singh R (2022b) Diagnosing the combined impact of climate and land use land cover changes on the streamflow in a mountainous watershed. In: Yadav B, Mohanty MP, Pandey A, Singh VP, Singh RD (eds) Sustainability of water resources. Water science and technology. Springer

    Google Scholar 

  • Gaur S (2022) Distributed hydrological modelling under climate change: a way-forward for accounting, planning and management of water resources. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India

    Google Scholar 

  • Goderniaux P, Brouyère S, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Therrien R, Orban P et al (2009) Large scale surface–subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves. J Hydrol 373:122–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gohil J, Patel J, Chopra J, Chhaya K, Taravia J, Shah M (2021) Advent of big data technology in environment and water management sector. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:64084–64102

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guo L, Vargo CJ (2017) Global intermedia agenda setting: a big data analysis of international news flow. J Commun 67:499–520. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harbaugh AW (2005) MODFLOW-2005, the U.S. Geological Survey modular ground-water model the ground-water flow process: U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods 6-A16

    Google Scholar 

  • Harrison PA, Dunford RW, Holman IP, Rounsevell MDA (2016) Climate change impact modelling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions. Nature Clim Chang 6:885–890

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hawkins E, Sutton R (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 90:1095–1107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Henriksen HJ, Troldborg L, Nyegaard P, Sonnenborg TO, Refsgaard JC, Madsen B (2003) Non-stationary approach to at-site flood frequency modelling. III. Flood analysis of Polish rivers. J Hydrol 280:52

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones JE, Woodward CS (2001) Newton–Krylov-multigrid solvers for large-scale, highly heterogeneous, variably saturated flow problems. Adv Water Resour 24:763

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karpatne A, Watkins WD, Read JS, Kumar V (2017) Physics-guided neural networks (PGNN): an application in lake temperature modeling. arXiv:1710.11431v3 [cs.LG]

    Google Scholar 

  • Kay AL, Davies HN (2008) Calculating potential evaporation from climate model data: a source of uncertainty for hydrological climate change impacts. J Hydrol 358:221–239

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kay AL, Davies HN, Bell VA, Jones RG (2009) Comparison of uncertainty sources for climate change impacts: flood frequency in England. Clim Chang 92:41–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kitchin R, Mcardle G (2016) What makes big data, big data? Exploring the ontological characteristics of 26 datasets. Big Data Soc 3(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053951716631130

  • Koch J, Cornelissen T, Fang Z, Bogena H, Diekkrüger B, Kollet S et al (2016) Inter-comparison of three distributed hydrological models with respect to seasonal variability of soil moisture patterns at a small forested catchment. J Hydrol 533:234–249

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Konapala G, Mishra AK, Wada Y, Mann ME (2020a) Climate change will affect global water availability through compounding changes in seasonal precipitation and evaporation. Nature Comm 11:3044

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Konapala G, Kao S, Painter SL, Lu D (2020b) Machine learning assisted hybrid models can improve streamflow simulation in diverse catchments across the conterminous US. Environ Res Lett 15:104022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Koppa A, Rains D, Hulsman P, Poyatos R, Miralles DG (2022) A deep learning-based hybrid model of global terrestrial evaporation. Nat Comm 13:1912

    Google Scholar 

  • Kown M, Kwon H, Han D (2020) A hybrid approach combining conceptual hydrological models, support vector machines and remote sensing data for rainfall-runoff modeling. Remote Sens 12:1801

    Google Scholar 

  • Kraft B, Jung M, Körner M, Koirala S, Reichstein M (2022) Towards hybrid modeling of the global hydrological cycle. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 26:1579–1614

    Google Scholar 

  • Krysanova V, Vetter T, Eisner S, Huang S, Pechlivanidis I, Strauch M et al (2017) Intercomparison of regional-scale hydrological models and climate change impacts projected for 12 large river basins worldwide—a synthesis. Environ Res Lett 12:105002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Y, Yang W, Shao H, Yu Z, Lindsay J (2018) Development of an integrated modelling system for evaluating water quantity and quality effects of individual wetlands in an agricultural watershed. Water 10:774

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Z, Wang Y, Xu Z, Duan Q (2017) Conceptual hydrological models. In: Handbook of hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Loucks DP, van Beek E (2017) Water resources planning and management: an overview. In: Water resource systems planning and management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44234-1_1

  • Lü H, Wang Q, Horton R, Zhu Y (2021) The response of the HydroGeoSphere model to alternative spatial precipitation simulation methods. Water 13:1891

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lundberg SM, Lee SI (2017) A unified approach to interpreting model predictions. Adv Neural Inf Process Syst, 4765–4774

    Google Scholar 

  • Lundberg SM, Erion G, Chen H et al (2020) From local explanations to global understanding with explainable AI for trees. Nat Mach Intell 2:56–67. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-019-0138-9

  • Lyra A, Loukas A, Sidiropoulos P, Tziatzios G, Mylopoulos N (2017) An integrated modeling system for the evaluation of water resources in coastal agricultural watersheds: application in Almyros Basin, Thessaly, Greece. Water 13:268

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Markstrom SL, Regan RS, Hay LE, Viger RJ, Webb RM, Payn RA, LaFontaine JH (2015) PRMS-IV, the precipitation-runoff modeling system. US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia

    Google Scholar 

  • Mavromatis T (2012) Changes in exceptional hydrological and meteorological weekly event frequencies in Greece. Clim Chang 110:249–267

    Google Scholar 

  • Maxwell RM, Kollet SJ (2008) Interdependence of groundwater dynamics and land-energy feedbacks under climate change. Nature Geosci 1:665–669

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Maxwell RM, Condon LE, Danesh-Yazdi M, Bearup LA (2019) Exploring source water mixing and transient residence time distributions of outflow and evapotranspiration with an integrated hydrologic model and Lagrangian particle tracking approach. Ecohydrol 12:e2042

    Google Scholar 

  • Mehdi B, Ludwig R, Lehner B (2015) Evaluating the impacts of climate change and crop land use change on streamflow, nitrates and phosphorus: a modeling study in Bavaria. J Hydrol Reg Stud 4:60–90

    Google Scholar 

  • Nearing GS, Kratzert F, Sampson AK, Pelissier CS, Klotz D, Frame JM et al (2021) What role does hydrological science play in the age of machine learning? Water Resour Res 57:e2020WR028091

    Google Scholar 

  • Niswonger RG, Panday S, Ibaraki M (2011) MODFLOW-NWT, a Newton formulation for MODFLOW-2005. US Geol Surv Tech Methods 6(A37):44

    Google Scholar 

  • Ntona MM, Busico G, Mastrocicco M, Kazakis N (2022) Modeling groundwater and surface water interaction: an overview of current status and future challenges. Sci Total Environ 846:157355

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • O’Neill MMF, Tijerina DT, Condon LE, Maxwell RM (2021) Assessment of the ParFlow–CLM CONUS 1.0 integrated hydrologic model: evaluation of hyper-resolution water balance components across the contiguous United States. Geosci Model Dev 14:7223–7254. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7223-202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olesen JE, Carter TR, Díaz-Ambrona CH, Fronzek S, Heidmann T, Hickler T et al (2007) Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models. Clim Chang 81:123–143

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olesen JE, Trnka M, Kersebaum KC, Skjelvåg AO, Seguin B, Peltonen-Sainio P, Rossi F, Kozyra J, Micale F (2011) Impacts and adaptation of European crop production systems to climate change. Eur J Agron 34(2):96–112

    Google Scholar 

  • Panday S, Huyakorn PS (2004) A fully coupled physically-based spatially-distributed model for evaluating surface/subsurface flow. Adv Water Resour 27:361–382

    Google Scholar 

  • Raissi M, Perdikaris P, Karniadakis GE (2019) Physics-informed neural networks: a deep learning framework for solving forward and inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations. J Comput Phys 378:686–707

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Refsgaard JC (1997) Parameterisation, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models. J Hydrol 198:69

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Refsgaard JC, Stisen S, Koch J (2022) Hydrological process knowledge in catchment modelling—lessons and perspectives from 60 years development. Hydrol Process 36:e14463

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Regan RS, Niswonger RG (2021) GSFLOW version 2.2.0: coupled groundwater and surface-water FLOW model: U.S. Geological Survey Software Release, 18 Feb 2021

    Google Scholar 

  • Reichstein M, Camps-Valls G, Stevens B, Jung M, Denzler J, Carvalhais N et al (2019) Deep learning and process understanding for data-driven Earth system science. Nature 566:195

    Google Scholar 

  • Roosmalen Lv, Sonnenborg TO, Jensen KH (2009) Impact of climate and land use change on the hydrology of a large-scale agricultural catchment. Water Resour Res 45:W00A15

    Google Scholar 

  • Sachindra DA, Huang F, Barton A, Perera BJC (2014) Statistical downscaling of general circulation model outputs to precipitation—part 2: bias-correction and future projections. Int J Climatol 34:3282

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sahoo GB, Ray C, De Carlo EH (2006) Calibration and validation of a physically distributed hydrological model, MIKE SHE, to predict streamflow at high frequency in a flashy mountainous Hawaii stream. J Hydrol 327:94–109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stisen S, McCabe MF, Refsgaard JC, Lerer S, Butts MB (2011) Model parameter analysis using remotely sensed pattern information in a multi-constraint framework. J Hydrol 409:337–349

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sun AY, Scanlon BR (2019) How can Big Data and machine learning benefit environment and water management: a survey of methods, applications, and future directions. Environ Res Lett 14:73001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Swain JB, Patra KC (2019) Impact of catchment classification on streamflow regionalization in ungauged catchments. SN Appl Sci 1:456

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Teutschbein C, Seibert J (2010) Regional climate models for hydrological impact studies at the catchment scale: a review of recent modeling strategies. Geogr Compass 4:834–860

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trolle D, Nielsen A, Andersen HE, Thodsen H, Olesen JE, Børgesen CD et al (2019) Effects of changes in land use and climate on aquatic ecosystems: coupling of models and decomposition of uncertainties. Sci Total Environ 657:627–633

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tsai W, Feng D, Pan M, Beck H, Lawson K, Yang Y et al (2021) From calibration to parameter learning: harnessing the scaling effects of big data in geoscientific modeling. Nature Comm 12:5988

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • VanderKwaak JE, Loague K (2001) Hydrologic-response simulations for the R-5 catchment with a comprehensive physics-based model. Water Resour Res 37:999–1013

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wijesekara GN, Farjad B, Gupta A, Qiao Y, Delaney P, Marceau DJ (2014) Comprehensive land-use/hydrological modeling system for scenario simulations in the Elbow River Watershed, Alberta, Canada. Environ Manage 53:357–381

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xu T, Longyang Q, Tyson C, Zeng R, Neilson BT (2022) Hybrid physically based and deep learning modeling of a snow dominated, mountainous, karst watershed. Water Resour Res 58:e2021WR030993. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR030993

  • Yang Y, Chui TFM (2020) Modeling and interpreting hydrological responses of sustainable urban drainage systems with explainable machine learning methods. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 25:5839–5858

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yip S, Ferro CAT, Stephenson DB, Hawkins E (2011) A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions. J Clim 24:4634–4643

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zessner M, Schönhart M, Parajka J, Trautvetter H, Mitter H, Kirchner M et al (2017) A novel integrated modelling framework to assess the impacts of climate and socio-economic drivers on land use and water quality. Sci Total Environ 579:1137–1151

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao WL, Gentine P, Reichstein M, Zhang Y, Zhou S, Wen Y et al (2019) Physics-constrained machine learning of evapotranspiration. Geophys Res Lett 46:14496

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rajendra Singh .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Singh, V.P., Singh, R., Paul, P.K., Bisht, D.S., Gaur, S. (2024). Integrated Modelling Systems. In: Hydrological Processes Modelling and Data Analysis. Water Science and Technology Library, vol 127. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-1316-5_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics