Abstract
To facilitate the multi-sectoral investment, the Thai government has initiated a new development project titled Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC), located in the eastern provinces, namely Chachoengsao, Rayong, and Chonburi. This project accommodates the construction of a new high-speed train and the extensions of existing seaports, highways, and airports. Also, investment promotion has been implemented, offering the tax incentive and other benefits to the targeted industries. This study aimed to quantitatively examine the economic impacts of the EEC project by utilizing two methods. First, the multi-regional input–output table (MRIO) and multiplier analysis were applied to investigate the cross-province and cross-region impacts. Second, based on the national Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), the dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model was utilized for examining the inter-temporal effects. The result obtained from MRIO showed that investment expansion in the EEC area could induce cross-regional spillover, accounting for approximately 30% of GDP. The dynamic CGE model demonstrated that if the planned investments were continuously implemented, the GDP would consistently increase, resulting in an average household income rise of around 31% in 2034 compared to the base case. This study highlights the complementary use of two models to evaluate the multidimensional impacts of the EEC development project, including short-term spatial spillovers and long-term national effects.
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Notes
- 1.
This project was jointly initiated by the discovery of natural gas in the Gulf of Thailand and the expansion of FDI inflows. This special development zone includes Chonburi, Chachoengsao, and Rayong provinces. Based on NESDC’s statistics in 2014, these three provinces contributed an economic output of US$ 65,264 million, approximately 18% of Thailand’s GDP. In particular, there were 39 industrial parks in this development zone, generating 34% of the national industrial production.
- 2.
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Appendix
Appendix
1.1 Appendix 1 Details of Investment (for MRIO Multiplier Analysis)
1.2 Appendix 2 Lists of Sets, Parameters, Variables, and Equations of CGE Model
1.2.1 List of Sets
j | : | All sectors |
pub | : | Public sectors |
pri | : | Private industries |
j0 | : | All sectors except sugar cane and petroleum refinery sector |
j1 | : | Sugar cane and petroleum refinery sector |
i | : | All commodities |
ij | : | All commodities (alias commodities) |
i1 | : | All commodities except mixed gasohol and mixed biodiesel |
i2 | : | Mixed gasohol |
i3 | : | Mixed biodiesel |
i4 | : | Mass transportation |
i5 | : | Freight transportation |
l | : | Labor |
k | : | Capital |
ag | : | All agents (firms, households, government, and the rest of the world) |
agng | : | Non-government agents (firms, households, and the rest of the world) |
agd | : | Domestic agents (firms, households, and government) |
gvt | : | Government |
row | : | The rest of the world |
f | : | Firms |
h | : | Households |
t | : | Time for simulation |
1.2.2 Lists of Parameters
Input–output coefficient
aij | : | Input–output coefficient of intermediate commodity i for industry j |
admj | : | Input–output coefficient of mixed biodiesel for industry j |
agmj | : | Input–output coefficient of mixed gasohol for industry j |
aftj | : | Input–output coefficient of freight transportation for industry j |
amtj | : | Input–output coefficient of mass transportation for industry j |
ioj | : | Input–output coefficient (total intermediate consumption) for industry j |
vj | : | Input–output coefficient (total value-added) for industry j |
Scale share and elasticity of production function
\( {B}_{j,t}^{VAT} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Value-added) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_j^{VA} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Value-added) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{VA} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Value-added) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{VA}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{VA} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Value-added) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{VA}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{VA}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{VA}}{\sigma_j^{VA}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{KD} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Composite capital) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_{k,j}^{KD} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Composite capital) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{KD} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Composite capital) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{KD}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{KD} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Composite capital) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{KD}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{KD}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{KD}}{\sigma_j^{KD}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{LD} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Composite labor) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_{l,j}^{LD} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Composite labor) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{LD} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Composite labor) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{LD}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{LD} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Composite labor) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{LD}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{LD}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{LD}}{\sigma_j^{LD}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{GM} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Composite mixed gasohol) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_j^{GM} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Composite mixed gasohol) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{GM} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Mixed gasohol) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{GM}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{GM} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Mixed gasohol) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{GM}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{GM}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{GM}}{\sigma_j^{GM}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{DM} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Composite mixed biodiesel) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_j^{DM} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Composite mixed biodiesel) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{DM} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Mixed biodiesel) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{DM}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{DM} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Mixed biodiesel) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{DM}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{DM}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{DM}}{\sigma_j^{DM}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{MT} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Mass transportation) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_j^{MT} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Mass transportation) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{MT} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Mass transportation) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{MT}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{MT} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Mass transportation) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{MT}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{MT}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{MT}}{\sigma_j^{MT}} \) |
\( {B}_j^{FT} \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Freight transportation) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_j^{FT} \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Freight transportation) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{FT} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Freight transportation) for industry j; \( -1<{\rho}_j^{FT}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{FT} \) | : | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Freight transportation) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{FT}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{FT}=\frac{1-{\sigma}_j^{FT}}{\sigma_j^{FT}} \) |
\( {B}_i^M \) | : | Scale parameter (CES—Composite commodity) |
\( {\beta}_i^M \) | : | Share parameter (CES—Composite commodity) |
\( {\rho}_i^M \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CES—Composite commodity); \( -1<{\rho}_i^M<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_i^M \) | Elasticity of substitution (CES—Composite commodity); \( 0<{\sigma}_i^M<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_i^M=\frac{1-{\sigma}_i^M}{\sigma_i^M} \) | |
\( {B}_{j,i}^X \) | : | Scale parameter (CET—Exports and local sales) |
\( {\beta}_{j,i}^X \) | : | Share parameter (CET—Exports and local sales) |
\( {\rho}_{j,i}^X \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CET—Exports and local sales); \( 1<{\rho}_{j,i}^X<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_{j,i}^X \) | : | Elasticity of transformation (CET—Total output); \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{XT}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_{j,i}^X=\frac{1+{\sigma}_{j,i}^X}{\sigma_{j,i}^X} \) |
\( {B}_j^{XT} \) | : | Scale parameter (CET—Total output) for industry j |
\( {\beta}_{j,i}^{XT} \) | : | Share parameter (CET—Total output) for industry j |
\( {\rho}_j^{XT} \) | : | Elasticity parameter (CET—Total output) for industry j; \( 1<{\rho}_j^{XT}<\infty \) |
\( {\sigma}_j^{XT} \) | : | Elasticity of transformation (CET—Total output) for industry j; \( 0<{\sigma}_j^{XT}<\infty \), Where \( {\rho}_j^{XT}=\frac{1+{\sigma}_j^{XT}}{\sigma_j^{XT}} \) |
\( {\sigma}_i^{XD} \) | : | Price-elasticity of the world demand for exports of product i |
extri, t | : | Export growth rate of product i |
Parameters for income saving and investment of institutes
\( {\lambda}_{ag,k}^{RK} \) | : | Share of type k capital income received by agent ag |
\( {\lambda}_{h,l}^{WL} \) | : | Share of type l labor income received by type h households |
sh0h, t | : | Intercept (type h household savings) |
sh1h, t | : | Slope (type h household savings) |
\( {\gamma}_{i,h}^{LES} \) | : | Marginal share of commodity i in type h household consumption budget |
\( {\gamma}_i^{INVPRI} \) | : | Share of commodity i in total private investment expenditures |
\( {\gamma}_i^{INVPUB} \) | : | Share of commodity i in total public investment expenditures |
\( {\gamma}_i^{GVT} \) | : | Share of commodity i in total current public expenditures on goods and services |
AK _ PRI | : | Scale parameter (price for new private capital) |
AK _ PUB | : | Scale parameter (price for new public capital) |
ϕk, pri | : | Scale parameter (allocation of investment to industry) |
δk, pub | : | Deprecation rate of capital k used in public |
Tax and transfer
\( {\lambda}_{ag, ag}^{TR} \) | : | Share parameter (transfer functions) between ag |
η | : | Price elasticity of indexed transfers and parameters |
tmrgi, i | : | Rate of transport margin applied to domestic commodity i |
\( tmr{g}_{i,i}^X \) | : | Rate of transport margin applied to export commodity i |
tr0gvt, h, t | : | Intercept (transfers by type h households to government) |
tr1gvt, h, t | : | Marginal rate of transfers by type h households to government |
ttici, t | : | Tax rate on commodity i |
ttdf0f, t | : | Intercept (income taxes of type f businesses) |
ttdf1f, t | : | Marginal income tax rate of type f businesses |
ttdh0h, t | : | Intercept (income taxes of type h households) |
ttdh1h, t | : | Marginal income tax rate of type h households |
ttikk, j, t | : | Tax rate on type k capital used by industry j |
ttimi, t | : | Rate of taxes and duties on imports of commodity i |
ttipj, t | : | Tax rate on the production of industry j |
ttiwl, j, t | : | Tax rate on type l worker compensation in industry j |
ttixi, t | : | Export tax rate on exported commodity i |
1.2.3 List of Variables
Prices and wages
Pj, i, t | : | Basic price of industry j’s production of commodity i |
PCi, t | : | Purchaser price of composite commodity i (including all taxes and margins) |
\( P{C}_i^0 \) | : | Purchaser price of composite commodity i (base year) |
PCIj, t | : | Intermediate consumption price index of industry j |
PDi, t | : | Price of local product i sold on the domestic market |
PDMj, t | : | Aggregate price of mixed biodiesel by industry j |
PEi, t | : | Price received for exported commodity i (excluding export taxes) |
\( P{E}_{i,t}^{FOB} \) | : | FOB price of exported commodity i (in local currency) |
PFTj, t | : | Aggregate price of freight transportation by industry j |
PGMj, t | : | Aggregate price of mixed gasohol by industry j |
\( PIXCO{N}_t^{\eta } \) | : | Consumer price index |
PIXGDPt | : | GDP deflator |
PIXGVTt | : | Public expenditures price index |
\( PIXIN{V}_t^{PRI} \) | : | Private investment price index |
\( PIXIN{V}_t^{PUB} \) | : | Public investment price index |
\( P{K}_t^{PRI} \) | : | Price of new private capital |
\( P{K}_t^{PUB} \) | : | Price of new public capital |
PLi, t | : | Price of local product i (excluding all taxes on products) |
PMi, t | : | Price of imported product i (including all taxes and margins) |
PMTj, t | : | Aggregate price of mass transportation by industry j |
PPj, t | : | Industry j unit cost |
PTj, t | : | Basic price of industry j output |
PVAj, t | : | Price of industry j value-added |
PWMi, t | : | World price of imported product i (expressed in foreign currency) |
PWXi, t | : | World price of exported product i (expressed in foreign currency) |
Rk, j, t | : | Rental rate of type k capital in industry j |
RCj, t | : | Rental rate of industry j composite capital |
RTIk, j, t | : | Rental rate paid by industry j for type k capital, including capital taxes |
Wl, t | : | Wage rate of type l labor |
WCj, t | : | Wage rate of industry j composite labor |
WTIl, j, t | : | Wage rate paid by industry j for type l labor, including payroll taxes |
Uk, pri, t | : | User cost of type k capital in private industry |
Uk, pub, t | : | User cost of type k capital in public industry |
Taxes
TDFf, t | : | Income taxes of type f businesses |
TDFTt | : | Total government revenue from business income taxes |
TDHh, t | : | Income taxes of type h households |
TDHTt | : | Total government revenue from household income taxes |
TICi, t | : | Government revenue from indirect taxes on product i |
TICTt | : | Total government receipts of indirect taxes on commodities |
TIKk, j, t | : | Government revenue from taxes on type k capital used by industry j |
TIKTt | : | Total government revenue from taxes on capital |
TIMi, t | : | Government revenue from import duties on product i |
TIMTt | : | Total government revenue from import duties |
TIPj, t | : | Government revenue from taxes on industry j production (excluding taxes directly related to the use of capital and labor) |
TIPTt | : | Total government revenue from production taxes (excluding taxes directly related to the use of capital and labor) |
TIWl, j, t | : | Government revenue from payroll taxes on type l labor in industry j |
TIWTt | : | Total government revenue from payroll taxes |
TIXi, t | : | Government revenue from export taxes on product i |
TIXTt | : | Total government revenue from export taxes |
Quantity
Ci, h, t | : | Consumption of commodity i by type h households |
\( {C}_{i,h,t}^{MIN} \) | : | Minimum consumption of commodity i by type h households |
CGi, t | : | Public consumption of commodity i (volume) |
CIj, t | : | Total intermediate consumption of industry j |
CTHh, t | : | Consumption budget of type h households |
\( CT{H}_{h,t}^{REAL} \) | : | Real consumption expenditure of households h |
DDi, t | : | Domestic demand for commodity i produced locally |
DIi, j, t | : | Intermediate consumption of commodity i by industry j |
DIDMj, t | : | Aggregate intermediate consumption of mixed biodiesel by industry j |
DIFTj, t | : | Aggregate intermediate consumption of freight transportation by industry j |
DIGMj, t | : | Aggregate intermediate consumption of mixed gasohol by industry j |
DIMTj, t | : | Aggregate intermediate consumption of mass transportation by industry j |
DITi, t | : | Total intermediate demand for commodity i |
DSj, i, t | : | Supply of commodity i by sector j to the domestic market |
EXj, i, t | : | Quantity of product i exported by sector j |
EXDi, t | : | World demand for exports of product i |
EXDi | : | World demand for exports of product i (base year) |
IMi, t | : | Quantity of product i imported |
INDk, j, t | : | Volume of new type k capital investment to sector j |
INVi, t | : | Final demand of commodity i for investment purposes |
\( IN{V}_{i,t}^{PRI} \) | : | Final demand of commodity i for private investment purposes |
\( IN{V}_{i,t}^{PUB} \) | : | Final demand of commodity i for public investment purposes |
KDk, j, t | : | Demand for type k capital by industry j |
KDCj, t | : | Industry j demand for composite capital |
KSk, t | : | Supply of type k capital |
LDl, j, t | : | Demand for type l labor by industry j |
LDCj, t | : | Industry j demand for composite labor |
LSl, t | : | Supply of type l labor |
MRGNi, t | : | Demand for commodity i as a trade or transport margin |
Qi, t | : | Quantity demanded of composite commodity i |
VAj, t | : | Value-added of industry j |
VSTKi, t | : | Inventory change of commodity i |
XSj, i, t | : | Industry j production of commodity i |
XSTj, t | : | Total aggregate output of industry j |
Value
CABt | : | Current account balance |
Gt | : | Current government expenditures on goods and services |
\( {G}_t^{REAL} \) | : | Real government expenditures |
\( GD{P}_t^{BP\_ REAL} \) | : | Real GDP at basic price |
\( GD{P}_t^{MP\_ REAL} \) | : | Real GDP at market price |
\( GFC{F}_t^{PRI\_ REAL} \) | : | Real private gross fixed capital formation |
\( GFC{F}_t^{PUB\_ REAL} \) | : | Real public gross fixed capital formation |
GFCFt | : | Gross fixed capital formation |
GDPBP | : | GDP at basic prices |
GDPFD | : | GDP at purchasers’ prices from the perspective of final demand |
GDPIB | : | GDP at market prices (income-based) |
GDPMP | : | GDP at market prices |
ITt | : | Total investment expenditures |
\( I{T}_t^{PRI} \) | : | Total private investment expenditures |
\( I{T}_t^{PUB} \) | : | Total public investment expenditures |
RINVk, j, t | : | Reallocation budget k for industry j |
SFf, t | : | Savings of type f businesses |
SGt | : | Government savings |
SROWt | : | Rest-of-the-world savings |
SHh, t | : | Savings of type h households |
TRh, ag, t | : | Transfers from agent ag to type h households |
TPRCTSt | : | Total government revenue from taxes on products and imports |
TPRODNt | : | Total government revenue from other taxes on production |
YDFf, t | : | Disposable income of type f businesses |
YDHh, t | : | Disposable income of type h households |
YFf, t | : | Total income of type f businesses |
YFKf, t | : | Capital income of type f businesses |
YFTRf, t | : | Transfer income of type f businesses |
YGt | : | Total government income |
YGKt | : | Government capital income |
YGTRt | : | Government transfer income |
YHh, t | : | Total income of type h households |
YHKh, t | : | Capital income of type h households |
YHLh, t | : | Labor income of type h households |
YHTRh, t | : | Transfer income of type h households |
YROWt | : | Rest-of-the-world income |
Monetary
et | : | Exchange rate; price of foreign currency in terms of local currency |
IRt | : | Interest rate |
1.2.4 List of Equations
VAj, t = vjXSTj, t | (11.1) |
CIj, t = iojXSTj, t | (11.2) |
\( V{A}_{j,t}={B}_j^{VA}{\left[{\beta}_j^{VA} LD{C}_{j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{VA}}+\left(1-{\beta}_j^{VA}\right) KD{C}_{j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{VA}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{VA}}} \) | (11.3) |
\( LD{C}_{j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_j^{VA}}{1-{\beta}_j^{VA}}\frac{R{C}_{j,t}}{W{C}_{j,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{VA}} KD{C}_{j,t} \) | (11.4) |
\( LD{C}_{j,t}={B}_j^{LD}{\left[{\sum}_l{\beta}_{l.j}^{LD}L{D}_{l.j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{LD}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{LD}}} \) | (11.5) |
\( KD{C}_{j,t}={B}_j^{KD}{\left[{\sum}_k{\beta}_{k.j}^{KD}K{D}_{k.j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{KD}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{KD}}} \) | (11.6) |
\( L{D}_{l,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{l.j}^{LD}W{C}_{j,t}}{WT{I}_{l,j,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{LD}}{\left({B}_j^{LD}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{LD}-1} LD{C}_{j,t} \) | (11.7) |
\( K{D}_{k,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{k.j}^{KD}R{C}_{j,t}}{RT{I}_{k,j,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{KD}}{\left({B}_j^{KD}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{KD}-1} KD{C}_{j,t} \) | (11.8) |
DIi1, j, t = aiji1, jCIj, t | (11.9) |
DIGMj, t = agmjCIj, t | (11.10) |
DIDMj, t = admjCIj, t | (11.11) |
DIMTj, t = amtjCIj, t | (11.12) |
DIFTj, t = aftjCIj, t | (11.13) |
\( DIG{M}_{j,t}={B}_j^{GM}{\left[{\sum}_{i2}{\beta}_{i2,j}^{GM}D{I}_{i2.j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{GM}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{GM}}} \) | (11.14) |
\( D{I}_{i2,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{i2.j}^{GM} PG{M}_{j,t}}{P{C}_{i2,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_{j1}^{GM}}{\left({B}_j^{GM}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{GM}-1} DIG{M}_{j,t} \) | (11.15) |
\( DID{M}_{j,t}={B}_j^{DM}{\left[{\sum}_{i3}{\beta}_{i3,j}^{DM}D{I}_{i3,j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{DM}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{DM}}} \) | (11.16) |
\( D{I}_{i3,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{i3.j}^{DM} PD{M}_{j,t}}{P{C}_{i3,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{GM}}{\left({B}_j^{DM}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{DM}-1} DID{M}_{j,t} \) | (11.17) |
\( DIM{T}_{j,t}={B}_j^{MT}{\left[{\sum}_{i4}{\beta}_{i4,j}^{MT}D{I}_{i4,j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{MT}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{MT}}} \) | (11.18) |
\( D{I}_{i4,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{i4.j}^{MT} PM{T}_{j,t}}{P{C}_{i4,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{MT}}{\left({B}_j^{MT}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{MT}-1} DIM{T}_{j,t} \) | (11.19) |
\( DIF{T}_{j,t}={B}_j^{FT}{\left[{\sum}_{i5}{\beta}_{i5,j}^{FT}D{I}_{i5,j,t}^{-{\rho}_j^{FT}}\right]}^{-\frac{1}{\rho_j^{FT}}} \) | (11.20) |
\( D{I}_{i5,j,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_{i5.j}^{FT} PF{T}_{j,t}}{P{C}_{i5,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_j^{FT}}{\left({B}_j^{FT}\right)}^{\sigma_j^{FT}-1} DIF{T}_{j,t} \) | (11.21) |
YHh, t = YHLh, t + YHKh, t + YHTRh, t | (11.22) |
\( YH{L}_{h,t}={\sum}_l{\lambda}_{h,l}^{WL}\left({W}_{l,t}{\sum}_jL{D}_{l,j,t}\right) \) | (11.23) |
\( YH{K}_{h,t}={\sum}_k{\lambda}_{h,k}^{RK}\left({\sum}_j{R}_{k,j,t}K{D}_{k,j,t}\right) \) | (11.24) |
YHTRh, t = ∑agTRh, ag, t | (11.25) |
YDHh, t = YHh, t − TDHh, t − TRgvt, h, t | (11.26) |
CTHh, t = YDHh, t − SHh, t − ∑agngTRagng, h, t | (11.27) |
SHh, t = PIXCONtηsh0h, t + sh1h, tYDHh, t | (11.28) |
YFf, t = YFKf, t + YFTRf, t | (11.29) |
\( YF{K}_{f,t}={\sum}_k{\lambda}_{f,k}^{RK}\left({\sum}_j{R}_{k,j,t}K{D}_{k,j,t}\right) \) | (11.30) |
YFTRf, t = ∑agTRf, ag, t | (11.31) |
SFf, t = YDFf, t − ∑agTRag, f, t | (11.32) |
YDFf, t = YFf, t − TDFf, t | (11.33) |
YGt = YGKt + TDHTt + TDFTt + TPRODNt + TPRCTSt + YGTRt | (11.34) |
\( YG{K}_t={\sum}_k{\lambda}_{gvt,k}^{RK}\left({\sum}_j{R}_{k,j,t}K{D}_{k,j,t}\right) \) | (11.35) |
TDHTt = ∑hTDHh, t | (11.36) |
TDFTt = ∑fTDFf, t | (11.37) |
TPRODNt = TIWTt + TIKTt + TIPTt | (11.38) |
TIWTt = ∑l, jTIWl, j, t | (11.39) |
TIKTt = ∑k, jTIKk, j, t | (11.40) |
TIPTt = ∑jTIPj, t | (11.41) |
TPRCTSt = TICTt + TIMTt + TIXTt | (11.42) |
TICTt = ∑iTICi, t | (11.43) |
TIMTt = ∑iTIMi, t | (11.44) |
TIXTt = ∑iTIXi, t | (11.45) |
YGTRt = ∑agngTRgvt, agng, t | (11.46) |
TDHh, t = PIXCONtηttdh0h, t + ttdh1h, tYHh, t | (11.47) |
TDFf, t = PIXCONtηttdf0f, t + ttdf1f, tYFKf, t | (11.48) |
TIWl, j, t = ttiwl, j, tWl, tLDl, j, t | (11.49) |
TIKk, j, t = ttikk, j, tRk, j, tKDk, j, t | (11.50) |
TIPj, t = ttipj, tPPj, tXSTj, t | (11.51) |
TICi, t = ttici, t[(PLi, t + ∑ijPCij, ttmrgij, i)DDi, t + ((1 + ttimi, t)PWMi, tet + ∑ijPCij, ttmrgij, j)IMi, t] | (11.52) |
TIMi, t = ttimi, tPWMi, tetIMi, t | (11.53) |
\( TI{X}_{i,t}= tti{x}_{i,t}\left(P{E}_{i,t}+{\sum}_{ij}P{C}_{ij,t} tmr{g}_{ij,i,t}^X\right) EX{D}_{i,t} \) | (11.54) |
SGt = YGt − ∑agngTRagng, gvt, t − Gt | (11.55) |
\( YRO{W}_t={e}_t{\sum}_i PW{M}_{i,t}I{M}_{i,t}+{\sum}_k{\lambda}_{row,k}^{RK}\left({\sum}_j{R}_{k,j,t}K{D}_{k,j,t}\right)+{\sum}_{agd}T{R}_{row, agd,t} \) | (11.56) |
\( SRO{W}_t= YRO{W}_t-{\sum}_iP{E}_{i,t}^{FOB} EX{D}_{i,t}-{\sum}_{agd}T{R}_{agd, row,t} \) | (11.57) |
SROWt = − CABt | (11.58) |
\( T{R}_{agng,h,t}={\lambda}_{agng,h}^{TR} YD{H}_{h,t} \) | (11.59) |
\( T{R}_{ag,f,t}={\lambda}_{ag,f}^{TR} YD{F}_{f,t} \) | (11.60) |
TRgvt, h, t = PIXCONtηtr0h, t + tr1h, tYHh, t | (11.61) |
\( T{R}_{agng, gvt,t}= PIXCO{N_t}^{\eta }T{R}_{agng, gvt}^0 po{p}_t \) | (11.62) |
\( T{R}_{agd, row,t}= PIXCO{N_t}^{\eta }T{R}_{agd, row}^0 po{p}_t \) | (11.63) |
\( P{C}_{i,t}{C}_{i,h,t}=P{C}_{i,t}{C}_{i,h,t}^{MIN}+{\gamma}_{i,h}^{LES}\left( CT{H}_{h,t}-{\sum}_{ij}P{C}_{ij,t}{C}_{ij,h,t}^{MIN}\right) \) | (11.64) |
`GFCFt = ITt − ∑iPCi, tVSTKi, t | (11.65) |
\( P{C}_{i,t} IN{V}_{i,t}^{PRI}={\gamma}_i^{INVPRI}I{T}_t^{PRI} \) | (11.66) |
\( P{C}_{i,t} IN{V}_{i,t}^{PUB}={\gamma}_i^{INVPUB}I{T}_t^{PUB} \) | (11.67) |
\( IN{V}_{i,t}= IN{V}_{i,t}^{PRI}+ IN{V}_{i,t}^{PUB} \) | (11.68) |
\( P{C}_{i,t}C{G}_{i,t}={\gamma}_i^{GVT}{G}_t \) | (11.69) |
DITi, t = ∑jDIi, j, t | (11.70) |
\( MRG{N}_{i,t}={\sum}_{ij} tmr{g}_{i, ij}D{D}_{ij,t}+{\sum}_{ij} tmr{g}_{i, ij}I{M}_{ij,t}+{\sum}_{ij} tmr{g}_{i, ij}^X EX{D}_{ij,t} \) | (11.71) |
\( XS{T}_{j1,t}={B}_{j1}^{XT}{\left[{\sum}_i{\beta}_{j1,i}^{XT}X{S}_{j1,i,t}^{\rho_j^{XT}}\right]}^{\frac{1}{\rho_{j1}^{XT}}} \) | (11.72) |
\( X{S}_{j1,i,t}=\frac{XS{T}_{j1,t}}{{\left({B}_{j1}^{XT}\right)}^{1+{\sigma}_{j1}^{XT}}}{\left[\frac{P_{j1,i,t}}{\beta_{j1,i}^{XT}P{T}_{j1,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_{j1}^{XT}} \) | (11.73) |
XSj0, i, t = XSTj0, t | (11.74) |
\( X{S}_{j,i,t}={B}_{j,i}^X{\left[{\beta}_{j,i}^XE{X}_{j,i,t}^{\rho_{j,i}^X}+\left(1-{\beta}_{j,i}^X\right)D{S}_{j,i,t}^{\rho_{j,i}^X}\right]}^{\frac{1}{\rho_{j,i}^X}} \) | (11.75) |
\( E{X}_{j,i,t}={\left[\frac{1-{\beta}_{j,i}^XP{E}_{i,t}}{\beta_{j,i}^XP{L}_{i,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_{j,i}^X}D{S}_{j,i,t} \) | (11.76) |
\( EX{D}_{i,t}=\mathit{\operatorname{ext}}{r}_{i,t} EX{D}_i^O po{p}_t{\left(\frac{e_t PW{X}_{i,t}}{P{E}_{i,t}^{FOB}}\right)}^{\sigma_i^{XD}} \) | (11.77) |
\( {Q}_{i,t}={B}_i^M{\left[{\beta}_i^MI{M}_{i,t}^{-{\rho}_i^M}+\left(1-{\beta}_i^M\right)D{D}_{i,t}^{-{\rho}_i^M}\right]}^{\frac{-1}{\rho_i^M}} \) | (11.78) |
\( I{M}_{i,t}={\left[\frac{\beta_i^MP{D}_{i,t}}{1-{\beta}_i^MP{M}_{i,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_i^M}D{D}_{i,t} \) | (11.79) |
\( P{P}_{j,t}=\frac{PV{A}_{j,t}V{A}_{j,t}+ PC{I}_{j,t}C{I}_{j,t}}{XS{T}_{j,t}} \) | (11.80) |
PTj, t = (1 + ttipj, t)PPj, t | (11.81) |
\( PC{I}_{j,t}=\frac{\sum_iP{C}_{i,t}D{I}_{i,j,t}}{C{I}_{j,t}} \) | (11.82) |
\( PV{A}_{j,t}=\frac{W{C}_{j,t} LD{C}_{j,t}+R{C}_{j,t} KD{C}_{j,t}}{V{A}_{j,t}} \) | (11.83) |
WTIl, j, t = Wl, t(1 + ttiwl, j, t) | (11.84) |
RTIk, j, t = Rk, j, t(1 + ttikk, j, t) | (11.85) |
Pj0, i, t = PTj0, t | (11.86) |
\( {P}_{j,i,t}=\frac{P{E}_{i,t}E{X}_{j,i,t}+P{L}_{i,t}D{S}_{j,i,t}}{X{S}_{j,i,t}} \) | (11.87) |
\( P{E}_{i,t}^{FOB}=\left(P{E}_{i,t}+{\sum}_{ij}P{C}_{ij,t} tmr{g}_{ij,i}^X\right)\left(1+ tti{x}_{i,t}\right) \) | (11.88) |
PDi, t = (1 + ttici, t)(PLi, t + ∑ijPCij, ttmrgij, it) | (11.89) |
PMi, t = (1 + ttici, t)((1 + ttimi, t)etPWMi, t + ∑ijPCij, ttmrgij, i) | (11.90) |
\( P{C}_{i,t}=\frac{P{M}_{i,t}I{M}_{i,t}+P{D}_{i,t}D{D}_{i,t}}{Q_{i,t}} \) | (11.91) |
\( PIXGD{P}_t=\sqrt{\frac{\sum_j\left( PV{A}_{j,t}+\frac{TI{P}_{j,t}}{V{A}_{j,t}}\right)V{A}_j^O{\sum}_j\left( PV{A}_{j,t}V{A}_{j,t}+ TI{P}_{j,t}\right)}{\sum_j\left( PV{A}_j^OV{A}_j^O+ TI{P}_j^O\right){\sum}_j\left( PV{A}_j^O+\frac{TI{P}_j^O}{V{A}_j^O}\right)V{A}_{j,t}}} \) | (11.92) |
\( PIXCO{N}_t=\frac{\sum_iP{C}_{i,t}{\sum}_h{C}_{i,h}^0}{\sum_{ij}P{C}_{ij}^0{\sum}_h{C}_{ij,h}^0} \) | (11.93) |
\( PIXIN{V}_t^{PRI}={\prod}_i{\left(\frac{P{C}_{i,t}}{P{C}_i^0}\right)}^{\gamma_i^{INVPRI}} \) | (11.94) |
\( PIXIN{V}_t^{PUB}={\prod}_i{\left(\frac{P{C}_{i,t}}{P{C}_i^0}\right)}^{\gamma_i^{INVPUB}} \) | (11.95) |
\( PIXGV{T}_t={\prod}_i{\left(\frac{P{C}_{i,t}}{P{C}_i^0}\right)}^{\gamma_i^{GVT}} \) | (11.96) |
Qi0, t = ∑hCi0, h, t + CGi0, t + INVi0, t + VSTKi0, t + DITi0, t + MRGNi0, t | (11.97) |
∑jLDl, j, t = LSl, t | (11.98) |
∑jKDk, j, t = KSk, t | (11.99) |
ITt = ∑hSHh, t + ∑fSFf, t + SGt + SROWt | (11.100) |
\( I{T}_t^{PRI}=I{T}_t-I{T}_t^{PUB}-{\sum}_iP{C}_{i,t} VST{K}_{i,t} \) | (11.101) |
∑jDSj, i, t = DDi, t | (11.102) |
∑jEXj, i, t = EXDi, t | (11.103) |
\( GD{P}_t^{BP}={\sum}_j PV{A}_jV{A}_{j,t}+ TIP{T}_t \) | (11.104) |
\( GD{P}_t^{MP}= GD{P}_t^{BP}+ TPRCT{S}_t \) | (11.105) |
\( GD{P}_t^{IB}={\sum}_{l,j}{W}_{l,t}L{D}_{l,j,t}+{\sum}_{k,j}{R}_{k,j,t}K{D}_{k,j,t}+ TPROD{N}_t+ TPRCT{S}_t \) | (11.106) |
\( GD{P}_t^{FD}={\sum}_iP{C}_{i,t}\left[{\sum}_h{C}_{i,h,t}+C{G}_{i,t}+ IN{V}_{i,t}+ VST{K}_{i,t}\right]+{\sum}_iP{E}_{i,t}^{FOB} EX{D}_{i,t}-{\sum}_i{e}_t PW{M}_{i,t}I{M}_{i,t} \) | (11.107) |
\( CT{H}_{h,t}^{REAL}=\frac{CT{H}_{h,t}}{PIXCO{N}_t} \) | (11.108) |
\( {G}_t^{REAL}=\frac{G_t}{PIXV{T}_t} \) | (11.109) |
\( GD{P}_t^{BP\_ REAL}=\frac{GD{P}_t^{BP}}{PIXGD{P}_t} \) | (11.110) |
\( GD{P}_t^{MP\_ REAL}=\frac{GD{P}_t^{MP}}{PIXCO{N}_t} \) | (11.111) |
\( GFC{F}_t^{PRI\_ REAL}=\frac{I{T}_t^{PRI}}{PIXIN{V}_t^{PRI}} \) | (11.112) |
\( GFC{F}_t^{PUB\_ REAL}=\frac{I{T}_t^{PUB}}{PIXIN{V}_t^{PUB}} \) | (11.113) |
KDk, j, t + 1 = KDk, j, t(1 − δk, j) + INDk, j, t + RINVk, j, t | (11.114) |
\( I{T}_t^{PUB}=P{K}_t^{PUB}{\sum}_{k, pub} IN{D}_{k, pub,t} \) | (11.115) |
\( I{T}_t^{PRI}=P{K}_t^{PRI}{\sum}_{k, pri} IN{D}_{k, pri,t} \) | (11.116) |
\( P{K}_t^{PRI}=\frac{1}{A^{K\_ PRI}}{\prod}_i{\left[\frac{P{C}_{i,t}}{\gamma_i^{INVPRI}}\right]}^{\gamma_i^{INVPRI}} \) | (11.117) |
\( P{K}_t^{PUB}=\frac{1}{A^{K\_ PUB}}{\prod}_i{\left[\frac{P{C}_{i,t}}{\gamma_i^{INVPUB}}\right]}^{\gamma_i^{INVPUB}} \) | (11.118) |
\( IN{D}_{k, pri,t}={\phi}_{k, pri}{\left[\frac{R_{k, pri,t}}{U_{k, pri,t}}\right]}^{\sigma_{k, pri}^{INV}}K{D}_{k, pri,t} \) | (11.119) |
\( {U}_{k, pri,t}=P{K}_t^{PRI}\left({\delta}_{k, pri}+I{R}_t\right){U}_{k, pub,t}=P{K}_t^{PUB}\left({\delta}_{k, pub}+I{R}_t\right) \) | (11.120) |
LEONt = Qi, t − ∑hCi, h, t − CGi, t − INVi, t − VSTKi, t − DITi, t − MRGNi, t | (11.121) |
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Puttanapong, N., Sangsubhan, K. (2024). Impact Analysis of the Economic Eastern Corridor on the Thai Economy: An Application of Multi-Regional Input–Output Model and Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model. In: Resosudarmo, B.P., Mansury, Y. (eds) The Indonesian Economy and the Surrounding Regions in the 21st Century. New Frontiers in Regional Science: Asian Perspectives, vol 76. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-0122-3_11
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