Abstract
In order to better mine and analyze effective information from massive electric power big data and improve the short-term power prediction accuracy of photovoltaic power generation data, this paper proposes a short-term power prediction method based on improved kernel principal component analysis and back propagation neural network optimized by particle swarm optimization (IKPCA-PSO-BPNN). The IKPCA method is used to reduce the feature dimension, and the processed data is trained and predicted in the PSO-BPNN model, which improves the model performance and prediction accuracy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Wang, Z.P., Zhao, B., et al.: Short-term load forecasting method based on GRU-NN Model. Autom. Electr. Power Syst. 43(5), 53–58 (2019)
Yang, M., Huang, X., Su, X.: Study on ultra-short term prediction method of photovoltaic power based on ANFIS. J. Northeast Electr. Power Univ. 38(4), 14–18 (2018)
Xue, L., Huang, N.T., Zhao, S.Y., Wang, P.P.: Low redundancy feature selection using conditional mutual information for short-term load forecasting. J. Northeast Electr. Power Univ. 39(2), 30–38 (2019)
Lu, J.X., Zhang, Q.P., et al.: Short-term load forecasting method based on CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network model. Autom. Electr. Power Syst. 43(8), 131–137 (2019)
Liu, N.Z., Geng, Q., Wang, G.M., Zhang, K., Li, W.J., Zhou, L.M.: An integrated clustering algorithm for nonlinear seasonal power load curves. Bull. Sci. Technol. 35(6), 193–196 (2019)
Ye, X., Xue, J.X.: Research on photovoltaic power generation prediction based on improved LSTM network. China Meas. Test 45(11), 14–20 (2019)
Gao, H.B., Hou, J., Li, R.G.: Research on dimension reduction of data stream based on kernel principal component analysis. Comput. Eng. Appl. 49(11), 105–109(2013)
Wang, Z., Zhang, J.H., Yang, S.X.: An improved particle swarm optimization algorithm for dynamic job shop scheduling problems with random job arrivals. Swarm Evol. Comput. 51 (2019)
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” for scientific and technological research and planning of the Education Department of Jilin Province (JJKH20200121KJ).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Wu, Y., Shi, Y. (2021). Short-Term Power Prediction for Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on IKPCA and PSO-BPNN. In: Pan, JS., Li, J., Ryu, K.H., Meng, Z., Klasnja-Milicevic, A. (eds) Advances in Intelligent Information Hiding and Multimedia Signal Processing. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 212. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-6757-9_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-6757-9_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-33-6756-2
Online ISBN: 978-981-33-6757-9
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)