Skip to main content

Modeling and Analysis of Defect Data—A Time Series Approach

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Recent Advances in Mechanical Engineering

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering ((LNME))

  • 706 Accesses

Abstract

Defect data analysis is gaining importance as defects directly impact not only product performance but productivity of an organization as well. Further, defects can neither be completely isolated nor be removed from a product or process but can only be reduced. So to reduce defects in a product or a manufacturing process, it is important that manufacturing defect data may be modeled and analyzed. From such data analysis, it is possible to ascertain significant correlation among the defect data or determine any persistence behavior and make forecasting on the basis of the prevailing situation. Hence in this paper, manufacturing defect data of refrigerator liners has been modeled and analyzed using time series approach. From the study, significant correlations among the data is determined which further enabled forecasting trends and understanding manufacturing process problems at a greater depth.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Perzyk M, Biernacki R, Kochanski A, Kozlowski J, Soroczynski A (2011) Knowledge-oriented applications in data mining. e-edn. IN-TECH

    Google Scholar 

  2. Liao S, Chu P, Hsiao P (2012) Data mining techniques and applications—a decade review from 2000 to 2011. Expert Syst Appl 39:11303–11311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Choudhary AK, Harding JA, Tiwari MK (2009) Data mining in manufacturing: a review based on the kind of knowledge. J Intell Manuf 20(5):501–521

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Tsay RS (2002) Analysis of financial time series, 3rd edn. Wiley

    Google Scholar 

  5. Pfaff B (2008) Analysis of integrated and cointegrated time series with R, 2nd edn. Springer

    Google Scholar 

  6. Koksal G, Batmaz I, Testik MC (2011) A review of data mining applications for quality improvement in manufacturing industry. Expert Syst Appl 38:13448–13467

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Fu TC (2011) A review on time series data mining. Eng Appl Artif Intell 24:164–181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Baheti A, Toshniwal D (2014) Trend analysis of time series data using data mining. IEEE International Congress on Big Data, IEEE Xplore, pp 430–437. https://doi.org/10.1109/BigData.Congress.2014.69

  9. Jensen SK, Pedersen TB, Thomsen C (2017) Time series management systems: a survey. IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 29(11):2581–2600

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Baer M, Ariyachandra T, Frolick MN (2013) Initiating and implementing data mining practices within a small to medium sized business organization. J Econ Bus Manage 1(4):334–338

    Google Scholar 

  11. Wang K (2007) Applying data mining to manufacturing: the nature and implications. J Intell Manuf 18(4):487–495

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Box GEP, Jenkins GM, Reinsel GC, Ljung GM (2015) Time series analysis-forecasting and control, 5th edn. Wiley

    Google Scholar 

  13. Perzyk M, Krawiec K, Kozłowski J (2009) Application of time-series analysis in foundry production. Arch Foundry Eng 9(3):109–114

    Google Scholar 

  14. Perzyk M, Maciejak S, Kozłowski J (2011) Application of time-series analysis for prediction of molding sand properties in production cycle. Arch Foundry Eng 11(2):95–100

    Google Scholar 

  15. Ruohonen J, Hyrynsalmi S, Leppänen V (2015) Software evolution and time series volatility: an empirical exploration. In: 14th international workshop on principles of software evolution, pp 56–65. Association for Computing Machinery New York, Bergamo

    Google Scholar 

  16. Goulão M, Fonte N, Wermelinger M, Abreu FB (2012) Software evolution prediction using seasonal time analysis: a comparative study. In: Proc. IEEE 16th european conf. on software maintenance and reengineering, pp 213–222. IEEE, Hungary

    Google Scholar 

  17. Raja U, Hale DP, Hale JE (2009) Modeling software evolution defects: a time series approach. J Softw Maintenance Evol Res Pract 21(1):49–71

    Google Scholar 

  18. Amin A, Grunske L, Colman A (2013) An approach to software reliability prediction based on time series modeling. J Syst Softw Arch 86(7):1923–1932

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Wu W, Zhang W, Yang Y, Wang Q (2010) Time series analysis for bug number prediction. In: Proc. IEEE international conference on software engineering and data mining, pp 589–596. IEEE, China

    Google Scholar 

  20. Liang YH (2011) Analyzing and forecasting the reliability for repairable systems using the time series decomposition method. Qual Reliab Manage Int 28(3):317–327

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Tunnell J, Anvik J (2015) Using time series models for defect prediction in software release planning. In: 27th international conference on software engineering and knowledge engineering, pp 166–171. KSI Research Inc, Pittsburgh

    Google Scholar 

  22. Raja U, Hale J, Hale D (2011) Temporal patterns of software evolution defects: a comparative analysis of open source and closed source projects. J Softw Eng Appl 4(8):497–511

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Camisani-Calzolari FR, Craig IK, Pistorius PC (2003) Defect and mould variable prediction in continuous casting. In: 31st international symposium on application of computers and operations research in the minerals industries, pp 253–259. The South African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Cape Town

    Google Scholar 

  24. Rodziewicz A, Perzyk M (2016) Application of time-series analysis for predicting defects in continuous steel casting process. Arch Foundry Eng 4:125–130

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Perzyk M, Rodziewicz A (2012) Application of time-series analysis in control of chemical composition of grey cast iron. Arch Foundry Eng 12(4):171–175

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Wu SM, Hu SJ (1993) Defect preventive quality control in manufacturing. In: Haug EJ (ed) Concurrent engineering: tools and technologies for mechanical system design, NATO ASI series (Series F: Computer and Systems Sciences), vol 108. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 405–431

    Google Scholar 

  27. Yourstone SA, Montgomery DC (1989) A time-series approach to discrete real-time process quality control. Qual Reliab Eng Int 5(4):309–317

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Hoga Y (2018) Detecting tail risk differences in multivariate time series. J Time Ser Anal

    Google Scholar 

  29. Walls LA, Bendell A (1987) Time series methods in reliability. Reliab Eng 18(4):239–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Etuk EH, Mohamed TM (2014) Time series analysis of monthly rainfall data for the gadaref rainfall station, Sudan, by SARIMA methods. Int J Sci Res Knowl 2(7):320–327

    Google Scholar 

  31. Anderson PL, Sabzikar F, Meerschaert MM (2021) Parsimonious time series modeling for high frequency climate data. J Time Ser Anal 42(4):442–470

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  32. Kong J, Gu L, Yang L (2018) Prediction interval for autoregressive time series via oracally efficient estimation of multi-step-ahead innovation distribution function. J Time Ser Anal 39(5):690–708

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  33. Grigaliūnienė Ž (2013) Time series models forecasting performance in the baltic stock market. Organ Mark Emerg Econ 4(7):104–120

    Google Scholar 

  34. Desikan P, Srivastava J (2021) Time series analysis and forecasting methods for temporal mining of interlinked documents. https://www-sers.cs.umn.edu/~desikan/publications/TimeSeries.doc, last accessed 2021/06/15

  35. Moral P, González P (2003) Univariate time series modelling. In: Poo JR(ed) Computer-aided introduction to econometrics, pp 163–224. Springer, Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  36. Bisgaard S, Kulahci M (2008) Quality quandaries: using a time series model for process adjustment and control. Qual Eng 20(1):134–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Hong T, Fan S (2016) Probabilistic electric load forecasting: a tutorial review. Int J Forecast 32(3):914–938

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Chujai P, Kerdprasop N, Kerdprasop K (2013) Time series analysis of household electric consumption with ARIMA and ARMA Models. In: International multi conference of engineers and computer scientists, vol I

    Google Scholar 

  39. Antoniol G, Casazza G, Di Penta M, Merlo E (2001) Modeling clones evolution through time series. In: Proceedings of IEEE international conference on software maintenance, pp 273–280. IEEE, Florence

    Google Scholar 

  40. Li Y, Pan E, Xiao Y (2020) On autoregressive model selection for the exponentially weighted moving average control chart of residuals in monitoring the mean of autocorrelated processes. Qual Reliab Eng Int 36(7):2351–2369

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Barnali Chowdhury .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Chowdhury, B., Deb, S.K. (2023). Modeling and Analysis of Defect Data—A Time Series Approach. In: Manik, G., Kalia, S., Verma, O.P., Sharma, T.K. (eds) Recent Advances in Mechanical Engineering. Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-2188-9_85

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-2188-9_85

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-19-2187-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-19-2188-9

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics