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The Effect of the Elderly on Taxation and Minimum Wages in the US States

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The Political Economy of Population Aging

Abstract

Consider individual labor supply and consumption from the life-cycle perspective. Because many of the elderly are retired, they may little directly benefit from state policies that increase wage income. But they may benefit indirectly: lower taxes on labor may consequently increase labor supply and reduce the price of services the elderly buy, for instance, nursing care.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Using the US data, Cadena (2014) and Monras (2019) show that low-skilled labors tend to leave or avoid moving to the regions that increase minimum wage.

  2. 2.

    For the empirical literature, see the survey by Breuckner (2003).

  3. 3.

    If a governor is replaced by another governor in midyear, a weighted sum of these values is calculated on the basis of the length of incumbency.

  4. 4.

    See Sect. 5.3.1 on the relation of average temperature and elderly population ratio.

  5. 5.

    As explained in Sect. 5.3.1, the statewide data for Hawaii are unavailable, so that we use city-level annual average temperature of Honolulu International Airport.

  6. 6.

    We conducted panel data analysis without instrumenting the percent elderly population, to select fixed-effects versus random-effects models. The result of the test using the Sargan-Hansen statistic requires us to select fixed-effects model.

  7. 7.

    We follow Chirinko and Wilson (2017) who use the governorship as an instrument.

  8. 8.

    The updated data are available at http://www.statepolicyindex.com.

  9. 9.

    The data are collected by Survey of Income and Program Participation, US Census Bureau, and retrieved from: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2016/demo/wealth/wealth-asset-ownership.html.

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Terai, K., Glazer, A., Miyazato, N. (2021). The Effect of the Elderly on Taxation and Minimum Wages in the US States. In: The Political Economy of Population Aging. Advances in Japanese Business and Economics, vol 30. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-5536-4_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-5536-4_6

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