Abstract
Prediction of the probable future pick-ups is one of the most beneficial and challenging tasks for taxi drivers. Efficient prediction of the same requires proper study of the past history. In this paper we have considered the past history of the New York Yellow Taxi Data Set to predict the number of pick-ups. Prediction of the passenger demand for cab driver is made based on the criteria- area of region, travel time, distance between each region and trip fare etc. By taking all these criteria into consideration the passengers demand is predicted which is expected to help build strong advanced traffic management system (ATMS) and intelligent traffic system (ITS) and also solve other challenges related to traffic. In all six modeling techniques have been taken into consideration. The modeling techniques used being Simple Moving Average, Weighted Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average, Linear Regression, Random Forest and XGBoost Regressor. Appropriate weights are assigned to the predictions from these models, depending on the accuracy of their prediction. A combined decision of the prediction is thereafter given.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Lv, Y., Duan, Y., Kang, W., Li, Z., Wang, F.: Traffic flow prediction with big data: a deep learning approach. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 16(2), 865–873 (2015)
Huang, Z., et al.: PRACE: a taxi recommender for finding passengers with deep learning approaches. In: Huang, D.-S., Hussain, A., Han, K., Gromiha, M.M. (eds.) ICIC 2017. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 10363, pp. 759–770. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63315-2_66
Rodrigues, F., Ioulia, M., Pereira, F.: Combining time-series and textual data for taxi demand prediction in event areas: a deep learning approach. Inform. Fusion 49 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inffus.2018.07.007
Jindal, I., Qin, T., Chen, X., Nokleby, M., Ye, J.: A Unified Neural Network Approach for Estimating Travel Time and Distance for a Taxi Trip (2017)
Kuang, L., Yan, X., Tan, X., Li, S., Yang, X.: Predicting taxi demand based on 3D convolutional neural network and multi-task learning. Remote Sens. 11, 1265 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11111265
Jiang, W., Zhang, L.: Geospatial data to images: a deep-learning framework for traffic forecasting. Tsinghua Sci. Technol. 24(1), 52–64 (2019)
Moreira-Matias, L., Gama, J., Ferreira, M., Mendes-Moreira, J., Damas, L.: Predicting taxi-passenger demand using streaming data. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 14(3), 1393–1402 (2013)
Li, B., et al.: Hunting or waiting? Discovering passenger-finding strategies from a large-scale real-world taxi dataset. In: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Pervasive Computing and Communications Workshops (PERCOM Workshops), Seattle, WA, pp. 63–68 (2011)
Zheng, Y., Liu, Y., Yuan, J., Xie, X.: Urban computing with taxicabs. In: UbiComp 2011 – Proceedings of the 2011 ACM Conference on Ubiquitous Computing, pp. 89–98 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1145/2030112.2030126
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Rajak, S., Baruah, U. (2020). An Ensemble Model for Predicting Passenger Demand Using Taxi Data Set. In: Bhattacharjee, A., Borgohain, S., Soni, B., Verma, G., Gao, XZ. (eds) Machine Learning, Image Processing, Network Security and Data Sciences. MIND 2020. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1241. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-6318-8_28
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-6318-8_28
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-15-6317-1
Online ISBN: 978-981-15-6318-8
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)