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Role of Regional and International Powers

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Abstract

The unending Syrian civil war has involved every major and regional power against the Assad regime. Except for Russia and Iran, their active military involvement against a sovereign country, with a legally constituted government, has thrown overboard the cardinal UN principle of non-interference in internal affairs of states. Russian and Iranian participation on the side of the government has helped the Assad regime to regain the country. It has divided the UN Security Council, and the General Assembly, making Syria the septic focus of a world order in change. Both camps have thrown to the wind the founding UN Security Council principles and international law that these very powers have applied, during the last seven decades, to international crises. It has demonstrated the increasing self-serving use, by its permanent members, of the Security Council. The chapter delves deeper into the motivations and role of the countries actively involved: France, Iran, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, United Kingdom and United States.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Marc Lynch, ‘The New Arab Order: Power and Violence in Today’s Middle East’, Foreign Affairs, September-October 2018, issue, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2018-08-13/new-arab-order.

  2. 2.

    Volker Perthes, ‘Conflict and Realignment in the Middle East’, Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, Vol. 60, No. 3, pp. 95–104, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00396338.2018.1470760.

  3. 3.

    Geoff Brumfiel, ‘Outside Experts See Iran’s Hand In Attack on Saudi Oil Facility’, NPR, September 16, 2019, https://www.npr.org/2019/09/16/761378683/outside-experts-see-irans-hand-in-attack-on-saudi-oil-facility.

  4. 4.

    News Report, ‘Riyadh: Qatar Boycott Result of 20 years of Plots’, Gulf News, September 7, 2019, https://gulfnews.com/world/gulf/qatar/riyadh-qatar-boycott-result-of-20-years-of-plots-1.66278440.

  5. 5.

    Nazife Selcen Pinar Akgul, ‘From Stillness to Aggression: The policy of Saudi Arabia towards Syria after the Arab Spring’, International Journal of Humanities and Social Science, Vol. 6, No. 9, September 2016, http://www.ijhssnet.com/journals/Vol_6_No_9_September_2016/5.pdf.

  6. 6.

    Ibid.

  7. 7.

    Line Khatib, ‘Syria, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar: The ‘Sectarianization’ of the Syrian Conflict and Undermining of Democratization in the Region’, British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 2019, Vol. 46, No. 3, pp. 385–403, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13530194.2017.1408456?needAccess=true.

  8. 8.

    Ibid.

  9. 9.

    Ibid. Line Khatib.

  10. 10.

    Arab News, ‘Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition (IMCTC),’ Arab News, November 30, 2019, https://www.arabnews.com/tags/islamic-military-counter-terrorism-coalition-imctc.

  11. 11.

    Nawaf Obaid, ‘Saudi Arabia’s Master Plan Against ISIS, Assad and Iran in Syria’, The National Interest, February 16, 2016, https://nationalinterest.org/feature/saudi-arabias-master-plan-against-isis-assad-iran-syria-15221.

  12. 12.

    Julien Barnes-Darcy, ‘Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Impact of the Syrian Conflict’, Middle East Centre Blog, London School of Economics and Political Science, May 7, 2018, https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/mec/2018/06/22/saudi-iranian-rivalry-and-the-impact-on-the-syrian-conflict/.

  13. 13.

    245Efe Can Gurcan, ‘Political Geography of Turkey’s Intervention in Syria: Underlying Causes and Consequences’, Journal of Aggression, Conflict and Peace Research, December 2017, https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JACPR-10-2017-0329/full/html.

  14. 14.

    Ibid.

  15. 15.

    Bill Faries, ‘Erdogan signals Lasting Turkey Role in Syria Amid US Confusion’, Bloomberg, January 7, 2019, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-07/erdogan-signals-lasting-turkey-role-in-syria-amid-u-s-confusion.

  16. 16.

    Ibid.

  17. 17.

    Aaron Stein, ‘Turkish Policy in Syria: Divining Intent and Options for the United States’, Atlantic Council, November 16, 2018, https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/turkish-policy-in-syria-divining-intent-and-options-for-the-united-states/.

  18. 18.

    Ranjit Gupta, ‘Understanding the War in Syria and the Roles of External Players: Way Out of the Quagmire?’, The Commonwealth Journal of International Affairs, January 25, 2016, Vol. 105, No. 1, pp. 29–41, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00358533.2016.1128630.

  19. 19.

    Ibid.

  20. 20.

    Osama Al Sharif, ‘Turkey’s Role in Syria Essential’, Arab News, January 1, 2016, https://www.arabnews.com/columns/news/858336.

  21. 21.

    Julien Barnes-Dacey, ‘What it means for the Syrian War’ in ‘Three Views on Turkey’s Syrian intervention’, European Council on Foreign Affairs, January 25, 2018, https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_three_views_on_turkeys_syria_intervention#.

  22. 22.

    GunayYildiz, ‘What it Means for the Kurds’in ‘Three Views on Turkey’s Syrian Intervention’, European Council on Foreign Affairs, January 25, 2018, https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_three_views_on_turkeys_syria_intervention#.

  23. 23.

    253AsliAydintasbas, ‘ What it means for Turkey’ in ‘Three Views on Turkey’s Syrian intervention’, European Council on Foreign Affairs, January 25, 2018, https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_three_views_on_Turkeys_syria_intervention#.

  24. 24.

    Ibid. Asli Aydintasbas.

  25. 25.

    Farrah Najjar, ‘New Front in Syria’s War: Why Manbij Matters, Al Jazeera’, October 10, 2019, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/10/front-syria-war-manbij-matters-191015143157365.html.

  26. 26.

    John Holland-McCowan, ‘War of Shadows: How Turkey’s Conflict with PKK Shapes the Syrian Civil War and Iraq Kurdistan’, ICSR, King’s College, London, 2017, https://icsr.info/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/ICSR-Report-War-of-Shadows-How-Turkey%E2%80%99s-Conflict-with-the-PKK-Shapes-the-Syrian-Civil-War-and-Iraqi-Kurdistan.pdf.

  27. 27.

    Steven E. Cook, ‘Erdogan Plays Washington Like a Fiddle’, Council on Foreign Relations, September 3, 2019, https://www.cfr.org/article/erdogan-plays-washington-fiddle.

  28. 28.

    Ibid. Aaron Stein.

  29. 29.

    Steven A. Cook, ‘Syria’s Changing Power Grid: What Turkey Wants’, Council on Foreign Relations, December 21, 2018, https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/syrias-changing-power-grid-what-turkey-wants.

  30. 30.

    John Hall, ‘Emir of Qatar profile: Who is Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, how did he turn Qatar the world’s richest nation and why has he decided to abdicate?’, The Independent, June 25, 2013, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/emir-of-qatar-profile-who-is-sheikh-hamad-bin-khalifa-al-thani-how-did-he-turn-qatar-into-the-world-8672997.html.

  31. 31.

    Michael Stephens, ‘What is Qatar Doing in Syria?’, The Guardian, August 8, 2012, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/aug/08/qatar-syria-opposition.

  32. 32.

    Ibid. Line Khatib.

  33. 33.

    Ibid.

  34. 34.

    Roula Khalaf & Abigail Fielding-Smith, ‘How Qatar Seized Control of the Syrian Revolution’, Financial Times, May 17, 2013, https://www.ft.com/content/f2d9bbc8-bdbc-11e2-890a-00144feab7de.

  35. 35.

    Ibid. Khalaf and Fielding-Smith.

  36. 36.

    Andreas Krieg & Andrew J. Bowen, ‘Qatar’s Pragmatic Syria Gamble’, The National Interest, October 4, 2017, https://nationalinterest.org/feature/qatars-pragmatic-syria-gamble-22602.

  37. 37.

    Ibid.

  38. 38.

    As’ad Abu Khalil, ‘How the Saudi-Qatari Rivalry has Fueled the War in Syria’, The Intercept, June 29, 2018, https://theintercept.com/2018/06/29/syria-war-saudi-arabia-qatar/.

  39. 39.

    Gardiner Harris and Mark Landler, ‘Qatar Charm Offensive Appears to Have Paid Off, US Officials Say’, The New York Times, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/09/us/politics/qatar-trump-embargo-charm-offensive.html.

  40. 40.

    Hassan Hassan, ‘Qatar Won the Saudi Blockade’, Foreign Policy, June 4, 2018, https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/06/04/qatar-won-the-saudi-blockade/.

  41. 41.

    Joze M. Pelayo, ‘Doha’s Diplomatic Potential in Syria’, International Policy Digest, April 19, 2019, https://intpolicydigest.org/2018/04/19/doha-s-diplomatic-potential-in-syria/.

  42. 42.

    Ibid. Joze M. Pelayo.

  43. 43.

    Robert Fisk, ‘Once the Syrian War is Over, Qatar Could Become an Empire Once More’, The Independent, May 3, 2018, https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-war-assad-qatar-saudi-arabia-israel-golan-occupation-a8334056.html.

  44. 44.

    Sami Moubayed, ‘Syria and Qatar Silently Mend Broken Fences’, Gulf News, April 25, 2019, https://gulfnews.com/world/gulf/qatar/syria-and-qatar-silently-mend-broken-fences-1.63545446.

  45. 45.

    Christopher Phillips, ‘Eyes Bigger Than Stomachs: Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar in Syria’, Middle East Policy, March 19, 2017, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/mepo.12250.

  46. 46.

    Alireza Nader, ‘Iran’s Goals in Syria’, The RAND Blog, January 1, 2015, https://www.rand.org/blog/2015/01/irans-goals-in-syria.html.

  47. 47.

    Mohammad-Reza Djalili & Thierry Kellner, ‘Scramble for Syria’, The Cairo Review of Global Affairs, The American University in Cairo, Summer 2017, https://www.thecairoreview.com/essays/scramble-for-syria/.

  48. 48.

    Brandon Friedman, ‘Iran’s Hezbollah model in Iraq and Syria: Fait Accompli?’, Orbis, 2018, Vol. 62, No. 3, pp. 438–453, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0030438718300413.

  49. 49.

    Peter Beaumant, ‘Making of a Martyr: How Qassem Suleimani Was Hunted Down’, The Observer, January, 5, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/05/making-of-a-martyr-how-qassem-suleimani-was-hunted-down.

  50. 50.

    Ibid.

  51. 51.

    Ibid.

  52. 52.

    Ibid. Brandon Friedman.

  53. 53.

    Ibid.

  54. 54.

    Editor, ‘Zainab bint Ali(as): The Woman who saved Islam’, Khamenei.IR, March 23, 2020, http://english.khamenei.ir/news/4376/Zainab-bint-Ali-as-The-woman-who-saved-Islam.

  55. 55.

    Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi & Rafaello Pantucci, ‘Understanding Iran’s Role in the Syrian Conflict’, Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies (RUSI), August 2016, https://rusi.org/sites/default/files/201608_op_understanding_irans_role_in_the_syrian_conflict_0.pdf.

  56. 56.

    Ibid. Djalili & Kellener.

  57. 57.

    Edward Wastnidge, ‘Iran and Syria: An Enduring Axis’, Middle East Policy, 2017, Vol. 24, No. 2, pp. 148–159, https://eds.b.ebscohost.com/eds/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=9ac35453-4be3-442f-ad2d-c81df0a43dc3%40pdc-v-sessmgr06.

  58. 58.

    Derek Averre & Lance Davies, ‘Russia, humanitarian intervention and Responsibility to Protect: The Case of Syria’, International Affairs, July 2015, Vol. 91, No. 4, pp. 813–834, https://search-ebscohost-com.proxyiub.uits.iu.edu/login.aspx?direct=true&db=24h&AN=108358727&site=eds-live&scope=site.

  59. 59.

    Angela Stent, ‘Putin’s Power Play in Syria: How to Respond to Russia’s intervention’, Foreign Affairs, 2016, Vol. 95, No. 1, pp. 106–113, https://eds.b.ebscohost.com/eds/detail/detail?vid=0&sid=905b4591-43cd-4571-b3a7-ff82a6fbdb1c%40pdc-v-sessmgr01&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWRzLWxpdmUmc2NvcGU9c2l0ZQ%3d%3d#AN=ICHA975725&db=ich.

  60. 60.

    Hannah Van Hoose, ‘Understanding Russian Response to Intervention in Libya’, Center for American Progress, April 12, 2011, https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/news/2011/04/12/9529/understanding-the-russian-response-to-the-intervention-in-libya/.

  61. 61.

    James Rodgers, ‘Russia and Syria: Policies, Problems, Perspectives’, Forbes, January 11, 2019, https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesrodgerseurope/2019/01/11/russia-and-syria-prospects-and-prizes/#2397dfc36852.

  62. 62.

    Rod Thornton, ‘Countering Prompt Global Strike: The Russian Military Presence in Syria and the Eastern Mediterranean and Its Strategic Deterrence Role’, The Journal of Slavic Military Studies, 2019, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 1–24, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13518046.2019.1552655.

  63. 63.

    Ibid.

  64. 64.

    Ibid. Rod Thornton.

  65. 65.

    Ibid. Rod Thornton.

  66. 66.

    Marwan Kabalan, ‘Russia’s New Game in Syria’, Al Jazeera, October 29, 2018, https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/istanbul-summit-failed-181029102112796.html.

  67. 67.

    Samuel Ramani, ‘Russia’s Eye on Syrian Reconstruction’, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, January 31, 2019, https://carnegieendowment.org/sada/78261.

  68. 68.

    297 Ibid. Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi & Rafaello Pantucci.

  69. 69.

    Mireille Court & Chris Den Hond, ‘Is this the end of Rojava?’, The Nation, February 18, 2020, https://www.thenation.com/article/world/rojava-kurds-syria/.

  70. 70.

    Zeidon Alkinani, ‘Russia’s Cautious Role in Syria’, Open Democracy, June 20, 2018, https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/north-africa-west-asia/russia-s-cautious-role-in-syria/.

  71. 71.

    Mark Galeotti, ‘Putin is Playing a Dangerous Game in Syria’, The Atlantic, February 15, 2018, https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/02/the-costs-of-russian-intervention-in-syria-are-rising/553367/.

  72. 72.

    Ibid.

  73. 73.

    Maksymilian Czuperski et al., ‘Distract, Deceive, Destroy: Putin at War in Syria’, The Atlantic Council, April 2016, https://publications.atlanticcouncil.org/distract-deceive-destroy/assets/download/ddd-report.pdf.

  74. 74.

    Hanna Notte, ‘Russia in Chechnya and Syria: Pursuit of Strategic Goals’, Middle East Policy, 2016, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 59–74, https://onlinelibrary-wiley-com.proxyiub.uits.iu.edu/doi/pdf/10.1111/mepo.12174.

  75. 75.

    Ibid. Galeotti.

  76. 76.

    Peter Juul, ‘The United States Still Needs a Syria Strategy’, FP, October 15, 2019, https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/10/15/the-united-states-still-needs-a-syria-strategy/.

  77. 77.

    Jim Garamone, ‘DOD Official Explains US Strategy in Syria to House Panel’, U.S. Department of Defense, September 26, 2018, https://dod.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1646188/dod-official-explains-us-strategy-in-syria-to-house-panel/.

  78. 78.

    Greg Jaffe, ‘Washington’s Policy Elite Breaks With Obama Over Syrian Bloodshed’, The Washington Post, October 20, 2016, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/washington-foreign-policy-elites-not-sorry-to-see-obama-go/2016/10/20/bd2334a2-9228-11e6-9c52-0b10449e33c4_story.html?utm_term=.01cfdeaf34cf.

  79. 79.

    Barbara Plett Usher,‘Obama’s Syria Legacy: Measured Diplomacy, Strategic Explosion’, BBC News, January 13, 2017, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-38297343.

  80. 80.

    Ibid.

  81. 81.

    Ibid. Barbara Plett Usher.

  82. 82.

    Ibid. Barbara Plett Usher.

  83. 83.

    Robert M. Danin, ‘President’s Syria Strikes Are Not About Syria’, Middle East Matters, Council on Foreign Relations, April 16, 2018, https://www.cfr.org/blog/president-trumps-syria-strikes-are-not-about-syria.

  84. 84.

    Ibid. Robert M. Danin.

  85. 85.

    Ibid. Robert M. Danin.

  86. 86.

    Seth G. Jones, ‘Developing a Containment Strategy in Syria’, Center for Strategic and International Studies, May 17, 2018, https://www.csis.org/analysis/developing-containment-strategy-syria.

  87. 87.

    Colin P. Clarke, ‘Countering Iran’s Grey Zone Strategy in Syria’, Lawfare, January 24, 2018, https://www.lawfareblog.com/counteracting-irans-gray-zone-strategy-syria.

  88. 88.

    Ibid.

  89. 89.

    Michael Clarke, ‘Syria: What Can Western Intervention Achieve?’, BBC News, April 12, 2018, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-43738713.

  90. 90.

    Christopher J. Bolan, ‘Strategic Insight: After the Smoke Clears in Syria: Dilemmas for US Strategy Remain’, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, May 18, 2018, https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/index.cfm/articles/After-The-Smoke-Clears-in-Syria/2018/05/18.

  91. 91.

    An analysis of UNSCR 2254 (2015) can be seen at Chapters 6 and 7.

  92. 92.

    Op. cit. Bolan.

  93. 93.

    Xander Snyder, ‘In Syria, An Opportunity for US-Russian Cooperation, Geopolitical Futures (GPF),’ June 20, 2019, https://geopoliticalfutures.com/in-syria-an-opportunity-for-us-russian-cooperation/.

  94. 94.

    Ibid.

  95. 95.

    Ibid. Xander Snyder.

  96. 96.

    Op. cit. Xander Snyder.

  97. 97.

    Sarah Scott, ‘British Foreign Policy Towards Syria: Its Importance, Its Distinctiveness and Its Relation to the Policy of Other Actors in the Region’ Ph.D Thesis, University of St. Andrews, 2016, https://research-repository.st-andrews.ac.uk/bitstream/handle/10023/9903/SarahScottPhDThesis.pdf?sequence=2&isAllowed=y.

  98. 98.

    Paul Rogers, ‘The UK’s Creeping Intervention in Syria’, Oxford Research Group, September 16, 2015, https://www.oxfordresearchgroup.org.uk/the-uks-creeping-intervention-in-syria.

  99. 99.

    BBC, ‘Syria Air Strikes: The UK Government’s Legal Position in Full’, April 18, 2018, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-43768145.

  100. 100.

    Op. cit. BBC.

  101. 101.

    Ibid. Mark Curtis.

  102. 102.

    Mark Curtis, ‘How Britain Engaged in a Covert Operation to Overthrow Assad’, Middle East Eye, April 25, 2018, https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/how-britain-engaged-covert-operation-overthrow-assad.

  103. 103.

    Jon Stone, ‘Britain to Ramp up Aid to Syria Over the Next Two Years’, The Independent, April 25, 2018, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/syria-brussels-summit-uk-aid-penny-mordaunt-a8320436.html.

  104. 104.

    Shehab Khan, ‘Theresa May’s Policy on Syria is ‘Prolonging Suffering, Cross-Party Group Including Ambassadors Says’, The Independent, July 19, 2018, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-syria-foreign-policy-suffering-cross-party-group-a8455126.html.

  105. 105.

    Ibid. Shehab Khan.

  106. 106.

    Samuel Ramani, ‘Why France is So Deeply Entangled in Syria’, The Washington Post, November 11, 2015, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2015/11/19/why-france-is-so-deeply-entangled-in-syria/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.673d50a87498.

  107. 107.

    Ibid.

  108. 108.

    Ibid. Samuel Ramani.

  109. 109.

    Karina Piser, ‘Despite Falls, France Ramps Up Its Role in Syria’, WPR Trend Lines, October 1, 2015, https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trend-lines/16840/despite-pitfalls-france-ramps-up-its-role-in-syria.

  110. 110.

    Lara Marlowe, ‘François Holland in bid to Form ‘Grand Coalition’ Against IS’, The Irish Times, November 18, 2015, https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/fran%C3%A7ois-hollande-in-bid-to-form-grand-coalition-against-is-1.2433869.

  111. 111.

    Judah Grunstein, ‘Paris Attacks Signal New Phase in France’s War Against Islamic State’, WPR Trend Lines, November 16, 2015, https://search-ebscohost-com.proxyiub.uits.iu.edu/login.aspx?direct=true&db=wpr&AN=111233254&site=eds-live&scope=site.

  112. 112.

    Mas Cedric, ‘After US Withdrawal, What’s Next for France’s Military Operations in Syria’, World Politics Review, February 22, 2019, https://search-ebscohost-com.proxyiub.uits.iu.edu/login.aspx?direct=true&db=wpr&AN=134908914&site=eds-live&scope=site.

  113. 113.

    Robert Zaretsky, ‘France’s Existential Loneliness in Syria’, December 21, 2018, https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/12/21/frances-existential-loneliness-in-syria/.

  114. 114.

    Ibid. Mas Cedric.

  115. 115.

    Ibid.

  116. 116.

    France Diplomatie, ‘War in Syria: Understanding France’s Position’, June 2018, https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/syria/war-in-syria-understanding-france-s-position/.

  117. 117.

    Ibid.

  118. 118.

    Ibid.

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Abhyankar, R.M. (2020). Role of Regional and International Powers. In: Syria. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4562-7_5

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