Abstract
As an important part of urban rail transit system, metro traction power supply system has important significance for ensuring the safe and stable operation of the system. In order to evaluate the reliability of the metro traction substation, the reliability model of the system based on Bayesian network is established, and the initial failure probability of the system is calculated in this paper firstly. Secondly, the dynamic Bayesian network is used to analyze the reliability of the typical metro traction substation in the time dimension, and the curve of system failure probability with time is accurately calculated. Finally, the two-way inference function of Bayesian network is used to find the weak link of the system, so that the reliability analysis of the metro traction substation is realized.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Cui H, Ma T (2009) Research on Urban Transportation Sustainable Development Strategy Based on Traffic Demand. J Wuhan Univ Technol (Social Science Edition) 22(3):80–84
Yang W (2016) Research on reliability analysis method and its application in high speed railway, Southwest Jiaotong University (in Chinese)
Karaduman O, Eren H, Kurum H, Celenk M (2013) Interactive risky behavior model for 3-car overtaking scenario using joint Bayesian network. Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV), 2013 IEEE. IEEE
Zhang L, Wu X, Skibniewski MJ et al (2014) Bayesian-network-based safety risk analysis in construction projects. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 131(3):29–39
Zhai S, Lin SZ (2013) Bayesian networks application in multi-state system reliability analysis. Appl Mech Mater 347–350:2590–2595. Brown B, Aaron M (2001) The politics of nature. In: Smith J (ed) The rise of modern genomics, 3rd edn. Wiley, New York
Yao J Y, Jiao L, Li H et al (2015) Modeling system based on fuzzy dynamic Bayesian network for fault diagnosis and reliability prediction. In: Reliability & Maintainability Symposium, 2015
Wu X, Liu H, Zhang L et al (2015) A Dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 134:157–168
Cai B, Liu Y et al (2015) Real-time reliability evaluation methodology based on dynamic bayesian networks: a case study of a subsea pipe ram bop system. ISA Transactions, 58, S0019057815001470
Acknowledgements
This work is supported by National Key R&D Program of China (2017YFB1201202).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Cong, G., Xu, W., Xing, Z. (2020). Reliability Analysis of Metro Traction Substation Based on Bayesian Network. In: Jia, L., Qin, Y., Liu, B., Liu, Z., Diao, L., An, M. (eds) Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Electrical and Information Technologies for Rail Transportation (EITRT) 2019. EITRT 2019. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 638. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2862-0_42
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2862-0_42
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-15-2861-3
Online ISBN: 978-981-15-2862-0
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)