Skip to main content

Abstract

As an important part of urban rail transit system, metro traction power supply system has important significance for ensuring the safe and stable operation of the system. In order to evaluate the reliability of the metro traction substation, the reliability model of the system based on Bayesian network is established, and the initial failure probability of the system is calculated in this paper firstly. Secondly, the dynamic Bayesian network is used to analyze the reliability of the typical metro traction substation in the time dimension, and the curve of system failure probability with time is accurately calculated. Finally, the two-way inference function of Bayesian network is used to find the weak link of the system, so that the reliability analysis of the metro traction substation is realized.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 299.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 379.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 379.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Cui H, Ma T (2009) Research on Urban Transportation Sustainable Development Strategy Based on Traffic Demand. J Wuhan Univ Technol (Social Science Edition) 22(3):80–84

    Google Scholar 

  2. Yang W (2016) Research on reliability analysis method and its application in high speed railway, Southwest Jiaotong University (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Karaduman O, Eren H, Kurum H, Celenk M (2013) Interactive risky behavior model for 3-car overtaking scenario using joint Bayesian network. Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV), 2013 IEEE. IEEE

    Google Scholar 

  4. Zhang L, Wu X, Skibniewski MJ et al (2014) Bayesian-network-based safety risk analysis in construction projects. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 131(3):29–39

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Zhai S, Lin SZ (2013) Bayesian networks application in multi-state system reliability analysis. Appl Mech Mater 347–350:2590–2595. Brown B, Aaron M (2001) The politics of nature. In: Smith J (ed) The rise of modern genomics, 3rd edn. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  6. Yao J Y, Jiao L, Li H et al (2015) Modeling system based on fuzzy dynamic Bayesian network for fault diagnosis and reliability prediction. In: Reliability & Maintainability Symposium, 2015

    Google Scholar 

  7. Wu X, Liu H, Zhang L et al (2015) A Dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 134:157–168

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Cai B, Liu Y et al (2015) Real-time reliability evaluation methodology based on dynamic bayesian networks: a case study of a subsea pipe ram bop system. ISA Transactions, 58, S0019057815001470

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work is supported by National Key R&D Program of China (2017YFB1201202).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zongyi Xing .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Cong, G., Xu, W., Xing, Z. (2020). Reliability Analysis of Metro Traction Substation Based on Bayesian Network. In: Jia, L., Qin, Y., Liu, B., Liu, Z., Diao, L., An, M. (eds) Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Electrical and Information Technologies for Rail Transportation (EITRT) 2019. EITRT 2019. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 638. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2862-0_42

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2862-0_42

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-15-2861-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-15-2862-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics