Skip to main content

Stock Market Price Prediction Employing Artificial Neural Network Optimized by Gray Wolf Optimization

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1005))

Abstract

As the stock market is highly volatile and chaotic in nature, prediction about this is a highly challenging task. To achieve better prediction accuracy, this article presents a model that uses artificial neural network (ANN) optimized by gray wolf optimization (GWO) technique. The model is applied on Bombay stock exchange (BSE) data. The range of data selection was from 25 August 2004 to 24 October 2018. To evaluate the performance of the model, many evaluation metrics such as mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and median average error (MedAE) are used. The end result shows that the proposed model outperforms ANN model.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

References

  1. Zhou, F., Zhou, H.M., Yang, Z., Yang, L.: EMD2FNN: a strategy combining empirical mode decomposition and factorization machine based neural network for stock market trend prediction. Expert Syst. Appl. 115, 136–151 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Chen, Y., Hao, Y.: Integrating principle component analysis and weighted support vector machine for stock trading signals prediction. Neurocomputing 321, 381–402 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Das, S.R., Mishra, D., Rout, M.: A hybridized ELM-Jaya forecasting model for currency exchange prediction. J. King Saud Univ.-Comput. Inf. Sci. (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Mirjalili, S., Mirjalili, S.M., Lewis, A.: Grey wolf optimizer. Adv. Eng. Softw. 1(69), 46–61 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Long, W., Jiao, J., Liang, X., Tang, M.: Inspired grey wolf optimizer for solving large-scale function optimization problems. Appl. Math. Model. 60, 112–126 (2018)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  6. Dash, R., Dash, P.K., Bisoi, R.: A differential harmony search based hybrid interval type 2 fuzzy EGARCH model for stock market volatility prediction. Int. J. Approximate Reasoning 59, 81–104 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Wang, J., Wang, J.: Forecasting stock market indexes using principle component analysis and stochastic time effective neural networks. Neurocomputing 156, 68–78 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Wang, J.Z., Wang, J.J., Zhang, Z.G., Guo, S.P.: Forecasting stock indices with back propagation neural network. Expert Syst. Appl. 38(11), 14346–14355 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Rather, A.M., Agarwal, A., Sastry, V.N.: Recurrent neural network and a hybrid model for prediction of stock returns. Expert Syst. Appl. 42(6), 3234–3241 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Göçken, M., Özçalıcı, M., Boru, A., Dosdoğru, A.T.: Integrating metaheuristics and artificial neural networks for improved stock price prediction. Expert Syst. Appl. 44, 320–331 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Nayak, A., Pai, M.M., Pai, R.M.: Prediction models for indian stock market. Procedia Comput. Sci. 89, 441–449 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Hafezi, R., Shahrabi, J., Hadavandi, E.: A bat-neural network multi-agent system (BNNMAS) for stock price prediction: case study of DAX stock price. Appl. Soft Comput. 29, 196–210 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Hadavandi, E., Shavandi, H., Ghanbari, A.: Integration of genetic fuzzy systems and artificial neural networks for stock price forecasting. Knowl. Based Syst. 23(8), 800–808 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Dash, R., Dash, P.: Efficient stock price prediction using a self evolving recurrent neuro-fuzzy inference system optimized through a modified differential harmony search technique. Expert Syst. Appl. 52, 75–90 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mihir Narayan Mohanty .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Sahoo, S., Mohanty, M.N. (2020). Stock Market Price Prediction Employing Artificial Neural Network Optimized by Gray Wolf Optimization. In: Patnaik, S., Ip, A., Tavana, M., Jain, V. (eds) New Paradigm in Decision Science and Management. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1005. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9330-3_8

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics