Probabilistic Selection of Event Scenarios

  • Jeom Kee PaikEmail author
Part of the Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality book series (TSRQ, volume 37)


An extreme or accidental event in a structural system is always associated with multiple parameters which are random and probabilistic by nature. Therefore, a huge number of possible scenarios must be relevant for the real event. For advanced structural safety studies that involve refined computations and physical model testing, it is essential to select a set of realistic scenarios which must represent all the possible events but with a limited number which is needed to minimize the computational costs. This chapter presents practical methods to select a set of realistic scenarios but with a limited number by making use of probabilistic sampling techniques. The selected scenarios shall be used for advanced structural safety studies associated with limit states and risks.


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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity College LondonLondonUK
  2. 2.The Korea Ship and Offshore Research Institute (Lloyd’s Register Foundation Research Centre of Excellence)Pusan National UniversityBusanKorea (Republic of)

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