Abstract
The report has reviewed the development and evolution process of the concept of “Indo-Pacific”, outlined the attitude of the United States, Japan, India and Australia towards the Trump version of the “Indo-Pacific” concept, analyzed the strategic intention of the parties concerned to push “Indo-Pacific” from concept to actual operation and on this basis, discussed the future trends and policy prospects of the interaction among the United States, Japan, India and Australia under the “Indo-Pacific” concept. The report believes that although Trump’s “Indo-Pacific” concept shows the strategic intent of the United States to prevent the rise of its strategic rivals, reinforces its collaboration with major allies in the Pacific, satisfies India’s vanity as a world power and can contain China to some extent, however, due to the lack of implementation means, inadequate geopolitical conditions and the difficulty to coordinate the strategic demands of all parties concerned, it is hard for “Indo-Pacific” strategy led by the US to achieve the goal of reconstructing global strategic pattern and preventing by the US of the rise of strategic rivals.
Ye Hailin is the director of the Editorial Dept. of South Asian Studies published by National Institute of International Strategy, CASS, director of South Asia Research Centre, National Institute of International Strategy, CASS, director of International Strategy Institute, Research Institute for Indian Ocean Economies, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics.
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Notes
- 1.
From 2013 to early 2018, nearly 100 papers on the concept of “Indo-Pacific” have been published in the field of international relations in China, especially since the beginning of 2017, with the enhancement of the interaction among the United States, Japan, Australia and India under the concept of “Indo-Pacific”, the scholars of international relations in China have attached greater importance to the study of “Indo-Pacific”. Among the most representative achievements in recent years are Wei (2013), Wu (2014), Zhao (2013), Xia (2015), Zhang (2013, 2017), Song (2016), etc., these papers focus on the four countries of the United States, Japan, India and Australia and the concept of “Indo-Pacific” as a whole for research. Since Trump introduced the new version of the “Indo-Pacific” concept at the end of 2017, many scholars have made targeted research and provided valuable countermeasures, such as Zhang and Wang (2018), Lin (2018), Xu (2018), Wu (2018), Zhou and Wang (2018), Li (2018), etc.
- 2.
“Confluence of the Two Seas” Speech by H. E. Mr. Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan at the Parliament of the Republic of India. http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/pmv0708/speech-2.html.
- 3.
Hillary Clinton: America‘s Pacific Century, Foreign Policy. http://foreignpolicy.com/2011/10/11/americas-pacific-century/.
- 4.
Keynote address at the 16th IISS Asia Security Summit, Shangri-La Dialogue.https://www.malcolmturnbull.com.au/media/keynote-address-at-the-16th-iiss-asia-security-summit-shangri-la-dialogue.
- 5.
Ibid.
- 6.
Top White House officials visit Sydney for terrorism talks. www.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-06/05/c_136341297.htm.
- 7.
Rex Tillerson’s visit to India highlights emerging Indo-US ties. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/rex-tillersons-visit-to-india-highlights-emerging-indo-us-ties/articleshow/61256055.cms.
- 8.
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hua Chunying’s Regular Press Conference on May 31, 2017. http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/fyrbt_673021/t1466605.shtml.
- 9.
India, Australia, Japan, US discuss cooperation in Indo-Pacific region. http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/india-australia-japan-us-discuss-cooperation-in-indo-pacific-region/496499.html.
- 10.
- 11.
- 12.
- 13.
China a disruptive power: Quadrilateral nations navy chiefs. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/china-a-disruptive-power-quadrilateral-nations-navy-chiefs/articleshow/62565183.cms.
- 14.
For more on the strategic direction of China’s rise, please refer to my article “The Rise of China and the Response to the Challenges from Secondary Strategic Direction - Taking the Sino-India Relationship After the Dong Lang Incident as an Example”, World Economics and Politics, Issue No. 4, 2018.
- 15.
- 16.
For relevant studies, please refer to my article “Selection of Strategic Objectives, Strategic Priorities and the Possibility of Strategic Overdraft”, Journal of Strategy and Decision Making, Issue No. 3, 2017.
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Ye, H. (2019). The Prospect of the “Indo-Pacific” Concept and China’s Countermeasures. In: Zhu, C. (eds) Annual Report on the Development of the Indian Ocean Region (2018). Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China’s Development Path. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-7693-1_2
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