Abstract
It is an urgent issue to ensure safety of tourists under an earthquake. How do tourists behave under the disaster? This study focuses on tourists’ evacuation behavior who don’t have enough knowledge of evacuation sites and routes. This study shows an agent modeling technique using a sampling survey of the web-based questionnaire considering the information behaviors and the earthquake experiences and a tourist evacuation agent model using this technique. We analyze the tourists’ evacuation behavior using samples of 1086 respondents who made the domestic trip from 20 to 69 years old collected by the web survey in November 2016. The results were summarized into four orientation categories: transport information, safety confirmation, personal safety, and balanced. Next, when two groups, one group with and one without experience of a great earthquake, were compared using four groups, a significant difference was found in any age and sex of each group. Further, this study uses decision tree analysis to model evacuation behavior rules incorporating information behaviors and shows a tourist evacuation simulation using the tourists’ evacuation behavior rules. The results confirm an agent modeling technique using sampling survey and decision tree analysis, and a tourist evacuation behavior agent model incorporating information behaviors by the agent modeling technique is enabled.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Cui Q, Toyoda Y, Taniguchi H, Kanegae H, Izuno K (2013) A study on decision making process of evacuation after earthquake: a case study of the vicinity of Kiyomizudera-temple in Kyoto. J Disaster Mitig Hist Cities 7:23–30
Fujihara A, Miwa H (2013) On the use of congestion information for rerouting in the disaster evacuation guidance using opportunistic communication. In: The 2013 IEEE 37th annual computer software and applications conference workshops, pp 563–568
Fukuda K, Nomura Y, Kawasaki Y, Izuno K (2016) Multi-agent simulation for disaster emergency evacuation in Tsuruga City. J Soc Mater Sci Japan 65:391–396
Furukawa Y, Sano T, Tsuchiya S, Fujii K, Satoh T, Hatakeyama Y, Hasemi Y (2016) Evacuation safety strategy for nursery school children based on the survey of the evacuation behavior drill. J Environ Eng (Transactions AIJ) 81:845–853
Hamada Y, Kondo A, Watanabe K, Takeuchi T, Yamaguchi M (2005) Planning of allocation of evacuation facilities based on residents awareness of disaster prevention. Infrastruct Plan Rev 22:315–323
Hoshino M, Ito M, Sezaki K (2016) Pedestrian flow detection using bluetooth for evacuation route finding. In: Proceedings of the 5th ACM SIGSPATIAL international workshop on mobile geographic information systems. ACM, New York, USA, pp 84–87
Ishii H, Harada F, Shimakawa H (2008) Information sharing by evacuee collaboration for assured evacuation under Lack of power supply. In: Sixth international conference on creating, connecting and collaborating through computing (C5 2008). IEEE, pp 54–61
Jeong B, Zama S, Takizawa O, Endo M, Shibayama A (2009) Development of a disaster information collection system using cellular phone. J Japan Assoc Earthq Eng 9:102–112
Kinugasa S, Izumi T, Nakatani Y (2012) Evaluation of a support system for large area tourist evacuation guidance: Kyoto simulation results. In: The 6th international conference on soft computing and intelligent systems, and the 13th international symposium on advanced intelligence systems. IEEE, pp 440–445
Kitahara T, Kishi Y, Kubo K (2013) Crowd refuge behavior from tsunami disaster with consideration for difference in height. J Japan Soc Civ Eng Ser A1 (Struct Eng Earthq Eng) 69:I_1067–I_1075
Kuroda M (1969) Pattern of human behavior against pressing disaster in City, with respect to Niigata earthquake. Japanese J Ergon 5:164–173
Kuwasawa N, Hosoi K, Katada T (2015) Study on proper location in consideration of guidance effect of tsunami shelter. J Japan Soc Civil Eng Ser D3 (Infrastruct Plan Manag) 71:117–126
Langner N, Kray C (2014) Assessing the impact of dynamic public signage on mass evacuation. In: Proceedings of the international symposium on pervasive displays. ACM, New York, NY, USA, pp 136:136–136:141
Matsubayashi Y, Nakahata M (2015) Evacuation behavior on foot and by car in Noda village during the great East Japan earthquake and tsunami. J Japan Soc Civil Eng Ser B2 (Coast Eng) 71:I_1627–I_1632
Matsushima H, Aranha C, Kano H (2014) Wide area simulation of disaster evacuation considering information-carrying capacity of evacuee. Trans Math Model its Appl 100:1–6
Nishino T, Ohashi K, Hokugo A (2016) Tourist’s behavioral tendency expected in post-earthquake fire evacuation. J Environ Eng (Trans AIJ) 81:1–8
Nomura N, Miyajima M, Yamagishi N, Fujiwara A (2013) Questionnaire Survey on Resident Consciousness for Local Community Against Earthquake and Tsunami Disaster in Wajima City Harbourfront Area. J Japan Soc Civil Eng Ser A1 (Struct Eng Earthq Eng) 69:I_1002–I_1012
Ogasawara T, Nakahata M, Matsubayashi Y, Sakai S (2013) Survey on Evacuation against 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami in Kushimoto Town in Wakayama Prefecture. J Japan Soc Civil Eng Ser B3 (Ocean Eng) 69:I_37–I_42
Ogawa K, Maegawa T, Matsuno N, Tsukaguchi H, Ahn Y (2014) A study on the evacuation routes for tourists in historical cities considering traffic capacity. J Disaster Mitig Hist Cities 7:7–14
Ogawa K, Maegawa T, Matsuno N, Tsukaguchi H, Ahn Y (2012) A study on the planning methods for identification of evacuation routes for tourists in historical cities. J Disaster Mitig Hist Cities 6:265–272
Osaragi T, Tsuchiya T (2017) Influence of information-hearsay on wide-area evacuation immediately after a large earthquake. J Archit Plan (Trans AIJ) 82:2325–2333
Sakai K, Honda A, Monkonkerd S, Toyoda Y, Taniguchi H, Kanegae H (2014) A study on evacuation behavior pattern of tourists after earthquake in Himeji Castle: a survey of consciousness based on multicriteria decision making. J Disaster Mitig Hist Cities 8:189–194
Sakuma A, Kashiwada S, Araki M, Matsuo I, Sekiya N (2017) The problem of information dissemination and evacuation behavior in Joso City under Kanto-Tohoku heavy rainfall disaster in September 2015. Interfaculty initiative in information studies, the University of Tokyo
Sato S, Abe K, Otsuka T, Nakagawa M, Minakawa M, Iwasaki M, Imamura F (2015) A Behavior Experiment and Analysis of Tsunami Evacuation Focused on Visitors and Navigation – Case of the Central Area of Ishinomaki City. J Japan Soc Civ Eng Ser B2 (Coast Eng) 71:I_1639–I_1644
Shaw R, Shiwaku K, Kobayashi H, Kobayashi M (2004) Study on new system of earthquake-disaster education at high school : analysis of factors affecting awareness in questionnaire survey targeted for high school students. J Environ Eng (Trans AIJ) 69:69–74
Shibata Y, Goto T, Sato G, Hashimoto K (2017) Disaster information sharing system considering communication status and elapsed time. In: The 31st international conference on advanced information networking and applications workshops (WAINA). IEEE, pp 621–626
Takada K, Fujiu M, Ohara M, Yamashita T, Konno T (2016) Estimation of disaster evacuation behavior model using stated preference data. J JAEE 16:46–55
Tange M, Mineko I, Tomonori S, Yoshifumi O (2016) Image processing of pedestrian behavior with multiple color markers and its application to crowd evacuation experiment. J Archit Plan 81:2645–2652
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Sonohara, M., Sakai, K., Takahshi, M., Kaneda, T. (2018). A Study on Agent Modeling of Tourist Evacuation Behaviors in an Earthquake: A Case Study of an Evacuation Simulation of Himeji Castle. In: Kurahashi, S., Takahashi, H. (eds) Innovative Approaches in Agent-Based Modelling and Business Intelligence. Agent-Based Social Systems, vol 12. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1849-8_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1849-8_14
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-13-1848-1
Online ISBN: 978-981-13-1849-8
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)